Who to watch: Georgia v. Nebraska (Capital One Bowl)

Stay tuned for must-see prospects from every game of the bowl season.

Gator Bowl

Tuesday, January 1, 1:00pm EST


Should he stay or should he go?


Aaron Murray, #11, Junior, QB

By some accounts, Aaron Murray is the #1 QB prospect in the 2014 class.  While I’m not ready to go that far, I can tell you he is lightyears ahead of Tyler Bray and Logan Thomas.  In my preaseason QB ranks, I named Murray the #3 QB in the country, but let’s see how he has evolved from 2011 to 2012.

Key games with 2+ TD passes

  • 2011– 8
  • 2012– 3

Key games with 3+ TD passes

  • 2011– 4
  • 2012– 1


  • 2011– 30.4
  • 2012– 26.2

Completion %

  • 2011– 56.2
  • 2012– 59.9


  • 2011– 13.4
  • 2012– 14.6

TD rate decreased by 27%

INT rate decreased by 28%

Grade in my system (anything above 95 is a potentially elite prospect)

  • 2011–  92
  • 2012– 96.4

In some ways it looks like Murray took a step back, and in other ways it looks like he took a step forward.  Overall, he appears to still be about the same quarterback he was in 2011, but with more support from the running game.  What’s odd to me, however, is that Murray’s role in the offense would be scaled back to about 26 passes per game, which is one of the lowest marks I have in my database of SEC quarterbacks.

While I expect Murray to be sharp in the Capital One bowl, I can’t help but feel like he still has much to prove before declaring for the NFL draft.  See for yourself below, and during the game on New Year’s day.