The College Football Market Share Report – Season Recap

That’s all, folks! The 2015-16 College Football season is officially over. It’s almost time to turn our attention to draft season, but before we do here is one final Market Share Report.

For this edition I’ve made a few tweaks, including a section for best past-catching running backs. Also, for anyone who I know is entering the 2016 NFL Draft, I’ve put an asterisk by their name.

How you might want to interact with this article:
1) Skim the dense parts and read the summaries at the end of each section
2) Find rockstar performances and focus on those in your film-watching endeavors
3) Leave a comment because comments are fun

With this being the last article in this series, I ask that, if you enjoyed this publication throughout the season, you consider supporting my work via a paypal donation.

Quarterbacks of Bowl Season

Sean Maguire, Florida State, 92.7% of team’s offensive yards

  • 22-44, 392 yards, 2 TD, 4 INT vs Houston

Patrick Mahomes II, Texas Tech, 85.7%

  • 28-56, 370 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT vs LSU

Lamar Jackson, Louisville, 84.8%

  • 12-26, 227 yards, 2 TD, 226 rush yards, 2 rush TD vs Texas A&M

Tanner Mangum, BYU, 82.4%

  • 25-56, 315 yards, 2 TD, 3 INT, 1 rush TD vs Utah

*Mike Bercovici, Arizona State, 82.3%

  • 29-52, 418 yards, 4 TD, 10 rush yards vs WVU

*Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 82.3%

  • 14-29, 208 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT vs SJSU

Skyler Howard, West Virginia, 82.1%

  • 28-51, 532 yards, 5 TD, 2 INT, 23 rush yards vs ASU

Nick Mullens, Southern Miss, 81.9%

  • 25-38, 331 yards, 2 TD vs Washington

Thomas Woodson, Akron, 81.2%

  • 14-29, 168 yards, 1 INT, 47 rush yards, rec. TD vs Utah St

Josh Rosen, UCLA, 79.8%

  • 26-40, 319 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT vs Nebraska

ACC fans might want to take note of Louisville and QB Lamar Jackson. He posted massive dual-threat production in the bowl game and is just a sophomore next year. Bobby Petrino will be in his third season, which was a fruitful point during his first stay at Louisville and at Arkansas; he lost no more than three games in either of those “year threes”… it might be fun to go back and watch that ASU-WVU bowl game, considering it had two quarterbacks going absolutely bonkers in it.

 

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 76.8% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’4, 205lbs, Sophomore

*Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 75.9%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 74.6%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, Junior

*Dak Prescott, Mississippi State, 73.2%

  • 6’2, 230lbs, Senior

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 71.8%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, Freshman

*Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 69.4%

  • 6’4, 231lbs, Senior

Riley Neal, Ball State, 68.7%

  • 6’5, 217lbs, Freshman

*Jared Goff, Cal, 68.6%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Junior

Brent Stockstill, MTSU, 68%

  • 6’0, 200lbs, Freshman

Patrick Mahomes II, Texas Tech, 67.9%

  • 6’3, 219lbs, Sophomore

Alex McGough, FIU, 67.5%

  • 6’3, 218lbs, Sophomore

Deshaun Watson, Clemson, 67.5%

  • 6’2, 210lbs, Sophomore

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 67.5%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Junior

It’s fun to see Jared Goff end the year with a bang and climb so high up this list. An early declaration, he’s almost certain to go in the first round. Just for fun, I thought I’d check on how first-round quarterbacks from the last two years fared in terms of final-seasons market share of offense:

  • Winston – 67.8%
  • Mariota – 64.0%
  • Bortles – 67.1%
  • Manziel – 69.6%
  • Bridgewater – 67.6%

The average is 67.2%, which is slightly below Goff’s mark (68.9%), and he did himself no favors with his rushing ability… As later-round prospects, it will be fun to see where Dak Prescott and Jeff Driskel end up going… Say hello to Deshaun Watson, Chad Kelly and Patrick Mahomes, who should be among college football’s most exciting quarterbacks in 2016.

 

Running Backs of Bowl Season

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 64.6%

  • 18 carries, 172 yards, 105 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 91 ret. yards, 1 ret. TD vs Iowa

Joe Williams, Utah, 57.4%

  • 25 carries, 91 yards, 2 TD, 22 rec. yards vs BYU

James Butler, Nevada, 54.8%

  • 24 carries, 189 yards, 2 TD vs Colorado St

Romello Ross, Central Michigan, 51.4%

  • 19 carries, 100 yards, 1 TD, 28 rec. yards vs Minnesota

Joel Bouagnon, Northern Illinois, 48.5%

  • 8 carries, 16 yards vs Boise

*Tyler Ervin, SJSU, 45.1%

  • 30 carries, 132 yards, 98 return yards vs Georgia State

Johnny Jefferson, Baylor, 42.7%

  • 23 carries, 299 yards, 3 TD, 24 pass yards vs UNC

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 40.1%

  • 29 carries, 212 yards, 4 TD, 44 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Texas Tech

Donnel Pumphrey, SDSU, 39.9%

  • 25 carries, 99 yards, 1 TD, 19 rec. yards, 16 pass yards vs Cincinnati

Marcus Cox, Appalachian State, 37.9%

  • 24 carries, 162 yards, 1 TD vs Ohio

Bowl season and pretty much everything else for the last two months (except the Heisman) has belonged to Christian McCaffrey. If there’s a single bowl season performance worth going back to re-watch, it’s him in the Rose Bowl. I know this is going to sound absurd, and there will almost certainly be “white running back” stereotypes to overcome, but I think he’s a borderline Reggie Bush caliber prospect… Johnny Jefferson might be the only player in McCaffrey’s tier of bowl-studliness. When looking at his bowl game and last regular season game, he rushed for 457 yards on 46 carries. Bye bye, Shock Linwood. Heeeeeeereeee’s Johnny!… Keep an eye on Marcus Cox next year for App State. That program is on the rise and he’s their best offensive player.

 

Seasonal RB Leaders

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 44.3% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 42%

  • 6’1, 230lbs, Sophomore

*Devontae Booker, Utah, 41.2%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Senior

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 40.7%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, Sophomore

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 39.7%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 39.2%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, Sophomore

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 37.2%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, Sophomore

Justin Jackson, Northwestern, 37.2%

  • 5’11, 190lbs, Sophomore

*Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 36.8%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

*Derrick Henry, Alabama, 36.1%

  • 6’3, 242lbs, Junior

*Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 35.9%

  • 6’0, 225lbs, Junior

What a remarkable year for college running backs. Not sure how else to say it. And even though  Zeke, Derrick and Devontae are off to the NFL, next year will be loaded to with many of the names on this list returning and a few others like Royce Freeman, Marlon Mack, Saquon Barkley and more to sprinkle in… And for the record, I’m still not over the fact that Derrick Henry won the Heisman, depsite accounting for roughly eight percent less of his offense than McCaffrey did on similarly outstanding teams.

 

Seasonal RB Leaders – Pass Catching

Taquan Mizzell, Virginia, 25.2% of team’s receiving yards

  • 5’10, 195lb, Junior

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 21.8%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

*Jalin Marshall, Ohio State, 21.3%

  • 5’11, 205lbs, RS-Sophomore

Ervin Phillips, Syracuse, 21.3%

  • 5’11, 181lbs, Sophomore

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 20.9%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Arkeel Newsome, Connecticut, 19.3%

  • 5’7, 182lbs, Sophomore

Clinton Lynch, Georgia Tech, 18.7%

  • 6’0, 181lbs, Freshman

*Dwayne Washington, Washington, 17.5%

  • 6’2, 226lbs, Junior

Papi White, Ohio, 17.5%

  • 5’9, 166lbs, Freshman

Raekwon James, Kent State, 17.3%

  • 5’9, 187lbs, Freshman

Ben Lewis, Syracuse, 16.5%

  • 6’2, 213lbs, Junior

*Devontae Booker, Utah, 15.5%

  • 5’11, 212lbs, Senior

This is a new category and I’m not entirely sure how relevant it is, but I thought it was interesting. Two of the more head-scratching NFL Draft early entries – Marshall and Washington – show up on this list, which could help explain their entries despite their substandard rushing production… On the other hand, Devontae Booker is a badass on all fronts… And shoutout to Donnel Pumphrey, who appears on both the overall running back leaderboard and the pass-catching back leaderboard. He’s so tiny, but so talented.

Service academy footnotes: Timothy McVey (Air Force, 22.2%), John Trainor (Army, 20.1%), DeBrandon Sanders (Navy, 19.5%)

 

Wide Receivers of Bowl Season

*Malcolm Mitchell, Georgia, 70.8% of team’s receiving yards

  • 5 rec., 114 yards, 1 TD vs Penn State

Isaiah Ford, Virginia Tech, 66%

  • 12 rec., 227 yards, 1 TD, 23 rush yards vs Tulsa

Josh Reynolds, Texas A&M, 57.7%

  • 11 rec., 177 yards vs Louisville

Jerico Richardson, Nevada, 56.8%

  • 4 rec,. 42 yards vs Colorado St

*Cayleb Jones, Arizona, 55.3%

  • 4 rec., 182 yards, 1 TD vs New Mexico

Corey Davis, Western Michigan, 55.3%

  • 8 rec., 183 yards, 1 TD vs MTSU

Justin Holmes, SJSU, 53.9%

  • 3 rec., 48 yards vs Georgia State

*Mike Thomas, Southern Miss, 53.8%

  • 9 rec., 190 yards, 2 TD, 34 ret. yards vs Washington

Andrew Pratt, Akron, 51.6%

  • 9 rec., 94 yards vs Utah State

Travis Rudolph, Florida State, 50.6%

  • 7 rec., 201 yards, 1 TD vs Houston

Good on Malcolm Mitchell to finish an adventurous career with an epic performance in his bowl game. I’m not that high on him as a prospect (for now), but going over 100 yards and 70% of his team’s passing offense is ridiculous… DEVY OWNERS – keep an eye on Isaiah Ford. He’s just 19 years old, went nuts in his bowl game and accounted for nearly 40% of his team’s receiving yards on the year. That is ELITE… Finally, be aware of Mike Thomas from Southern Miss. Not to be confused with Mike Thomas from Ohio State or a million other Mike Thomases. This kid can play and is almost certainly a top 10 receiver in this draft for me. Much more to come on him.

 

Seasonal WR Leaders

*Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 47.2% of team’s receiving yards

  • 5’10, 175lbs, Senior

*Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 43.6% of receiving yards

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 43.6%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, Junior

*Tajae Sharpe, UMass, 42.7%

  • 6’3, 188lbs, Senior

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 41.8%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Junior

Isaiah Ford, Virginia Tech, 39.6%

  • 6’2, 188lbs, Sophomore

Chris Godwin, Penn State, 39.5%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Sophomore

*Tyler Boyd, Pitt, 39.5%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, Junior

*Pharoh Cooper, South Carolina, 39.1%

  • 5’11, 207lbs, Junior

Kenny Golladay, Northern Illinois, 38.7%

  • 6’4, 200lbs, Junior

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 38.5%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Sophomore

Corey Davis (my love), Western Michigan, 38.4%

  • 6’3, 205lbs, Junior

*Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 38.4%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Senior

Exciting to see that this leaderboard is peppered with players who will be in the 2016 NFL Draft. I’ve already written about a number of them at RotoViz and plan to hit more in the coming weeks:

Looking ahead to 2016, Ford, Godwin, Juju and Corey Davis are among the top returning receiver prospects… About Dezmon Epps, he only played six games this year, and he’s miniature, but he was really good in those games, so I cheated a bit on my games played requirement and included him for draft awareness purposes.

Service Academy footnotes: Jamir Tillman (51.3%, Navy), Edgar Poe (44.6%, Army)

Jerome Lane footnotes: 32% of Akron’s yards

 

Tight Ends of Bowl Season

Cole Hikutini, Louisville, 45.4% of team’s receiving yards

  • 3 rec., 103 yards vs NC State

O.J. Howard, Alabama, 45% (2 games)

  • 8 rec., 267 yards, 2 TD vs Michigan St, Clemson

Pharoah McKever, NC State, 38.3%

  • 1 rec., 82 yards, 1 TD vs Mississippi State

Alex Ellis, Tennessee, 38.1%

  • 3 rec., 74 yards vs Northwestern

Ari Werts, Georgia State, 30.3%

  • 3 rec., 63 yards vs SJSU

*Hunter Henry, Arkansas, 29.2%

  • 5 rec., 92 yards vs Kansas State

*Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 29%

  • 2 rec., 42 yards vs Minnesota

Alec Bloom, UConn, 27.9%

  • 2 rec., 24 yards vs Marshall

Evan Engram, Ole Miss, 27.7%

  • 6 rec., 96 yards vs Oklahoma State

Barrett Burns, Appalachian St, 25.8%

  • 3 rec., 32 yards, 2 TD vs Ohio

After years of hearing about O.J. Howard and not seeing any production, it was exciting to see him blow up in the National Championship game. Paging Lane Kiffin, please use him more next year… Hunter Henry is a name you need to know, if you don’t already. Probably my top TE prospect for the 2016 Draft.

 

Seasonal TE Leaders

*David Morgan II, UTSA, 24.4% of team’s receiving yards

  • 6’4, 260lbs, Senior

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 24%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, Junior

*Rodney Mills, UMass, 21.9%

  • 6’1, 205lbs, Senior

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 21.8%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, Sophomore

O.J. Howard, Alabama, 21.2%

  • 6’6, 242lbs, Junior

*Dan Vitale, Northwestern, 21.2%

  • 6’2, 235lbs, Senior

*Hunter Henry, Arkansas, 21.2%

  • 6’5, 253lbs, Junior

Jake Butt, Michigan, 21.2%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, Junior

Billy Freeman, SJSU, 21.2%

  • 6’3, 232lbs, Junior

*Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 20.9%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, Senior

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 20.5%

  • 6’3, 245lbs, R-Sophomore

Brandon Lingen, Minnesota, 20.2%

  • 6’5, 247lbs, Sophomore

The 2016 TE class looks like it’s going to take a hit by not having Serigne, Hodges, Butt and Engram not declare, but I’m intrigued by what David Morgan II and, to a lesser extent, Matt Weiser might have to offer.

 

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 91.3% of team’s return yards

  • 5’11, 170lbs, Junior

Brisly Estime, Syracuse, WR, 89.6%

  • 5’9, 178lbs, Junior

*Derek Keaton, Georgia Southern, WR, 89.6%

  • 5’11, 185lbs, Senior

Kylen Towner, Western Kentucky, WR, 89.4%

  • 5’8, 175lbs, Sophomore

*Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 87.3%

  • 5’7, 161lbs, Senior

KaVontae Turpin, TCU, WR, 86.7%

  • 5’9, 152lbs, Freshman

*Deandre Reaves, Marshall, WR, 86.2%

  • 5’10, 179lbs, Senior

*Tyler Ervin, SJSU, RB, 85.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, RB, 84.6%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

*Jakeem Grant, Texas Tech, WR, 83.6%

  • 5’7, 168lbs, Senior

I’ve written in the past about how special teams contributions are a key to finding hidden value, and I’m curious about how Jakeem Grant will fare in the coming months. He’s pretty dynamic and looked great against LSU in his bowl game.

And, yes, I’m aware that I used the same Christian McCaffrey photo on this article and the last in-season one, but he’s earned it.

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The College Football Market Share Report – Week 6 Recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense.

By tracking these stats on a weekly basis in season, my hope is that we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment.

Be warned that this article is dense with numbers. I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section. To be included, a player must have played at least three games.

**Finally, if you are introduced to any new players through this article, and you end up writing about them, please link back to this work. Thanks!**

Quarterbacks of the week

Brad Kaaya, Miami (FL), 91.5%

  • 29 – 42, 405 pass yards, 3 TD @ Florida State

Dalton Sturm, UTSA, 87%

  • 18 – 27, 227 pass yards, 4 TD, 2 INT, 34 rush yards vs Louisiana Tech

Eric Dungey, Syracuse, 86.2%

  • 21 – 34, 232 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 31 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ USF

Justin Holman, UCF, 85.4%

  • 27 – 50, 255 pass yards, 1 TD, 3 INT, 14 rush yards vs UConn

John Wolford, Wake Forest, 83.1%

  • 11 – 25, 109 pass yards, 1 INT, 9 rush yards @ Boston College

Joshua Dobbs, Tennessee, 82.9%

  • 25 – 42, 312 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 118 rush yards, 2 rush TD vs Georgia

Brandon Allen, Arkansas, 82.7%

  • 15 – 32, 176 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 6 rush yards @ Alabama

Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 82.2%

  • 28 – 44, 351 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 14 rush yards @ UTSA

Wes Lunt, Illinois, 81.8%

  • 25 – 42, 317 pass yards, 1 TD @ Iowa

Riley Neal, Ball State, 81.7%

  • 31 – 53, 393 pass yards, 4 TD, 1 INT, 18 rush yards @ Northern Illinois

Playing most of the game from behind, Brad Kaaya had a brilliant game on the road against the Seminoles. Only a sophomore, he’s putting together a pretty solid career and could emerge as one of the most coveted 2017-eligible passers. If and when the hype gets going next summer, it will probably be this game that people talk about… Junior QB Joshua Dobbs was marvelous against Georgia. With one of the deepest receiving corps. in America, and talent throughout the roster, more games like this from Dobbs would go a long way toward putting the Vols back on the map.

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 79.6%

  • 6’4, 205lbs, Sophomore

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 77.1%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, Freshman

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 75%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, Junior

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 74.9%

  • 6’3, 220lbs, Senior

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 74.2%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 73.9%

  • 6’3, 214lbs, Sophomore

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 73.3%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, Senior

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 73.2%

  • 6’2, 220lbs, Sophomore

Matt Davis, SMU, 73%

  • 6’0, 212lbs, Junior

Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma, 73%

  • 6’1, 209lbs, Junior

Okay, so maybe I jinxed the Baker Mayfield for Heisman campaign in last week’s article, but it’s not like he played horribly in the loss against the Longhorns; his offensive line got annihilated… Brandon Doughty has now thrown 15 touchdowns in his last three games compared to only one interception. As a sixth-year senior I’m a little skeptical of his prospect status because of his age (think: Brandon Weeden to a lesser extent), but I should probably just relax and learn to love him as a fun & prolific college player… Luke Falk was brilliant in Wazzu’s upset road win against Oregon and, frankly, he’s been brilliant all year. His worst performance saw him complete “only 65.9%” of his passes. Still just a sophomore, don’t be surprised if he goes Graham Harrell over the next 15 months and finishes in the top 10 in the Heisman voting.

Running Backs of the week

Devontae Booker, Utah, 61.4%

  • 34 carries, 222 yards, 2 TD, 45 rec yards vs Cal

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 56.7%

  • 43 carries, 256 yards, 1 TD, 15 rec yards, 1 rec TD vs Illinois

Royce Freeman, Oregon, 54.8%

  • 27 carries, 246 yards, 2 TD, 46 rec yards, 1 rec TD vs Washington State

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 49.9%

  • 22 carries, 222 yards, 2 TD, 47 rec yards, 1 rec TD vs Miami FL

Mike Warren, Iowa State, 49.5%

  • 23 carries, 245 yards @ Texas Tech

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 49%

  • 30 carries, 148 yards, 3 TD, 49 rec yards @ Hawaii

Myles Gaskin, Washington, 45.2%

  • 22 carries, 134 yards, 1 TD, 1 rec yard @ USC

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 43.6%

  • 24 carries, 128 yards, 6 rec. yards @ Air Force

Shannon Brooks, Minnesota, 43.1%

  • 17 carries, 176 yards, 1 TD @ Purdue

C.J. Prosise, Notre Dame, 40.3%

  • 21 carries, 129 yards, 3 TD, 56 rec. yards vs Navy

Speaking of Heisman, has anyone been more valuable to their team this year than Devontae Booker? In a huge national-spotlight game, Booker carried his team to a victory over Cal and has been a workhorse all year. In addition to his rushing prowess he has also accounted for 21% of Utah’s receiving yards for the year. To put that in perspective, buzzy prospect Laquon Treadwell has accounted for 25% of Ole Miss’ receiving yards… Overall there were so many good rushing performances this week. Hat tip to up-and-comer Mike Warren… C.J. Prosise has become a monster for Notre Dame… Royce Freeman almost single-handedly got Oregon past Wazzu.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 48.5%

  • 5’10, 201lbs, Sophomore

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 45.4%

  • 6’1, 230lbs, Sophomore

Devontae Booker, Utah, 44%

  • 5’11, 212lbs, Senior

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 41.5%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 41%

  • 5’10, 180lbs, Junior

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 39.9%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, Sophomore

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 38.8%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 36.9%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, Sophomore

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 35.7%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, Sophomore

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 35.5%

  • 5’9, 192lbs, Senior

If we want to talk about the Heisman as a “most valuable player” type award (sorry, I’m not sure why I keep talking about the Heisman), why shouldn’t Dalvin Cook or Jordan Canzeri get more buzz? To different degrees, the market was bearish on both these teams coming into 2015 and they’ve been the driving forces for getting their teams to their current undefeated perches… To this point in the season, Leonard Fournette and Ezekiel Elliott are the only players in the country who have rushed for 100+ yards in all of their teams’ games. Nick Chubb was on track for that too until his injury against Tennessee. For what it’s worth, Ezekiel Elliott barely missed the top 10 in this metric, as he has accounted for 33.2% of Ohio State’s yards this season.

Wide Receivers of the week

Jerico Richardson, Nevada, 72.9%

  • 9 receptions, 121 yards, 1 TD vs New Mexico

Cole Freytag, UTEP, 69.2%

  • 2 rec., 81 yards, 1 TD @ FIU

Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 64.4%

  • 7 rec., 134 yards, 3 TD vs Michigan State

Marcus Johnson, Texas, 63.6%

  • 4 rec., 35 yards, 1 TD vs Oklahoma

Cortez Lewis, Wake Forest, 59.6%

  • 5 rec., 65 yards @ Boston College

Jerminic Smith, Iowa, 59%

  • 4 rec., 118 yards vs Illinois

Charlie Callinan, Boston College, 56.8%

  • 2 rec., 42 yards vs Wake Forest

Tim White, Arizona State, 55.4%

  • 7 rec., 144 yards, 2 TD, 82 return yards vs Colorado

Calvin Ridley, Alabama, 53.4%

  • 9 rec., 140 yards, 1 TD vs Arkansas

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 52.6%

  • 6 rec., 82 yards vs Washington

I gave Leonte Carroo a shoutout on the new RotoViz College Football Show for his performance against Michigan State. In a vacuum, his 7-134-3 stat line is impressive, but it becomes even more so when you consider that he was suspended from the team for the last three weeks and practiced twice before going bonkers against one of the nation’s best teams and defenses… There’s Calvin Ridley again, having a second huge game in a row for Alabama. The true freshman is playing a huge role for them. One thing to note, though, is that it looks like he’s a 21 year old true freshman. Not sure how that works, but definitely creates some confusion for his prospect status… ASU receiver Tim White has been pretty average for the Sun Devils overall, but this last week’s performance might make that ASU-Colorado game worth checking out just to see him… Hi, JuJu 😉

Service Academy footnotes: Garrett Brown (Air Force, 73.8%), Jamir Tillman (Navy, 72.7%)

Seasonal WR Leaders

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 50.6%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, Senior

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 50.4%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Junior

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 49.5%

  • 5’10, 174lbs, Junior

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 48.8%

  • 5’10, 175lbs, Senior

Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 47.7%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 46.5%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Junior

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 44.4%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, Junior

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 44.1%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, Junior

Jordan Villamin, Oregon State, 43%

  • 6’5, 231lbs, Sophomore

Ajalen Holley, Louisiana-Monroe, 42%

  • 5’10, 193lbs, Junior

I don’t know too much about Carlos Harris, but maybe it’s time to watch him play. The senior has been pretty solid throughout his career and also has some rushing and special teams production to boost his profile. He could be a sneaky-good small-conference prospect that plays a role on the NFL level, like Albert Wilson or Willie Snead… The most premium prospects on this leaderboard are Carroo, Boyd and Villamin… if you’re wondering about BJ Johnson, who has some decent size, know that his high market share is a function of him playing in an option offense, so there are very limited receiving opportunities (think: Demaryius Thomas at Georgia Tech).

Service Academy footnotes: Jamir Tillman (Navy, 66.5%), Garrett Brown (Air Force, 56.6%)

Tight Ends of the week

Jerome Lane, Akron, 46.8%

  • 4 receptions, 104 yards, 2 TD @ Eastern Michigan

David Morgan II, UTSA, 37.4%

  • 9 rec., 85 yards, 2 TD vs Louisiana Tech

Joshua Perkins, Washington, 34.8%

  • 4 rec., 57 yards, 1 TD @ USC

Marcus Smith, North Texas, 32%

  • 3 rec., 39 yards vs Portland State

Stephen Anderson, California, 29.1%

  • 6 rec., 99 yards @ Utah

Kivon Cartwright, Colorado State, 28.5%

  • 2 rec., 43 yards vs Boise State

Scott Orndoff, Pittsburgh, 28.4%

  • 2 rec., 63 yards, 1 TD vs Virginia

Brandon Lingen, Minnesota, 26.8%

  • 3 rec., 22 yards, 2 TD @ Purdue

A.J. Williams, Michigan, 26.8%

  • 4 rec., 48 yards vs Northwestern

Connor Cella, Rice, 26.8%

  • 3 rec,. 76 yards, 1 TD @ Florida Atlantic

I’m totally going to cheat here and say that Jerome Lane Jr. is a tight end, when really he’s not. He’s something different and probably more exciting. The 6’3 220lb sophomore appeared in 12 games last year for Akron as a linebacker. This year, as a wide receiver conversion, he is leading the team in receiving yards and making boss plays like the one below. The reason he’s here and not in the WR section is because he appears in my data set as an LB, so he only revealed himself when I removed the WRs to look at the TEs. As a 19 year old sophomore, there’s some serious age-production upside here to monitor over the next few years. Oh, and I should probably mention his genetic upside, too: his dad, Jerome Lane was a first round pick in the 1988 NBA Draft. You may remember him for his famous “send it in, Jerome!” glass-shattering dunk at Pitt. Here is one of Lane’s two touchdown receptions from last weekend.  (I tried to get the embed to work, but it’s not, so just click the link.)

https://vine.co/v/eEz9DbuwLiZ/embed/simple 

Service Academy footnotes: Kelvin White (Army, 67.3%)

Seasonal TE Leaders

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 29.5%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, Junior

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 28%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, Sophomore

David Morgan II, UTSA, 27.7%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, Senior

Jake Butt, Michigan, 24.1%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, Junior

Scott Orndoff, Pittsburgh, 24.1%

  • 6’5, 265lbs, Junior

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 21.3%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, Senior

Elkanah Dillon, USF, 21.1%

  • 6’5, 245lbs, Freshman

Chris Loving, North Texas, 20.9%

  • 6’4, 258lbs, Senior

Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 20.6%

  • 6’4, 240lbs, Senior

Connor Cella, Rice, 20.1%

  • 6’3, 260lbs, Junior

I had a thought about Jaylen Samuels this week; he’s too small to be a tight end in the NFL, but maybe he can be a highly effective 3rd down back. In addition to his receiving prowess, he’s also carried the ball 34 times in his two-year career to the tune of 8.2 ypc… In addition to his huge game this week, David Morgan II continues to be among the seasonal leaders. Like Carlos Harris, I think it’s time to find some game highlights on this small-school prospect to see what’s really going on here.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Brandon Smith, Texas State, WR, 158 return yards, 1 TD @ Louisiana-Lafayette

Reggie Davis, Georgia, WR, 143 ret. yards, 1 ret. TD, 101 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Tennessee

Jeremiah Bryson, Middle Tennessee, RB, 124 ret. yards, 79 yards from scrimmage @ Western Kentucky

KaVontae Turpin, TCU, WR, 122 ret. yards, 57 rec. yards @ Kansas State

Jovon Durante, West Virginia, WR, 122 ret. yards, 21 rec. yards vs OK State

Jeffrey Wilson, North Texas, RB, 119 ret. yards, 49 rush yards vs Portland State

Raekwon James, Kent State, RB, 114 ret. yards, 81 yards from scrimmage @ Toledo

Aregeros Turner, Northern Illinois, WR, 114 ret. yards, 70 rec. yards vs Ball State

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, RB, 109 ret. yards vs Louisiana Tech

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR, 109 ret. yards @ BYU

Pereese Joas, Hawaii, RB, 109 ret. yards vs San Diego State

Reggie Davis is the on name that stands out here. He had a marvelous multi-faceted game against Tennessee, but dropped what would have been the game winning touchdown on a gorgeous pass from Greyson Lambert late in the fourth quarter.

Service Academy footnotes: Dishan Romine (Navy, 136 yards)

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 104.4 return yards/game

  • 5’11, 170lbs, Junior

Brisly Estime, Syracuse, WR, 100.0

  • 5’9, 178lbs, Junior

Byron Marshall, Oregon, WR, 96.3

  • 5’10, 205lbs, Senior

Brandon Smith, Texas State, WR, 93.2

  • 6’2, 170lbs, Senior

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR, 83.8

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Sophomore

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M, WR, 83.4

  • 5’11, 200lbs, Freshman

J.D. McKissic, Arkansas State, WR, 81.2

  • 5’11, 193lbs, Senior

Devin Fuller, UCLA, WR, 78.8

  • 6’0, 200lbs, Senior

Aregeros Turner, Northern Illinois, WR 78.3

  • 5’11, 178lbs, Junior

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, RB, 77.3

  • 5’9, 185lbs, Freshman

I’ve heaped praise on Byron Marshall, Christian Kirk and J.D. McKissic in the past, so anything more would be redundant at this point. Kirk and Texas A&M play a big game this weekend and I’m excited to watch.

Questions

  1. I’m thinking about doing a “mid season all-conference teams” write up next week for each of the power 5. Is that something you’d want to read? I feel like there are some really good performances that are getting overlooked because there are 120+ teams and only ten players on these leaderboards.
  2. What else could I provide here to make this article more helpful for you?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 5 Recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense.

By tracking these stats on a weekly basis in season, my hope is that we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment. For instance, this week I’ve added height and weight based on a reader request.

Be warned that this article is dense with numbers. I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section.

**Finally, if you are introduced to any new players through this article, and you end up writing about them, please link back to this work. Thanks!**

Quarterbacks of the week

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 93.2%

  • 21 – 36, 232 pass yards, 3 TD, 3 INT, 28 rush yards vs. Georgia Southern

Brent Stockstill, MTSU, 92.8%

  • 32 – 51, 286 pass yards, 1 TD, 11 rush yards vs Vanderbilt

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 91.9%

  • 18 – 29, 394 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -22 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs Liberty

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 91.2%

  • 26 – 40, 259 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 40 rush yards @ Florida

Luke Falk, Washington State, 90.3%

  • 35 – 49, 389 pass yards, 2 pass TD, 1 INT, -25 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Cal

Riley Neal, Ball State, 90.1%

  • 23 – 37, 236 pass yards, 1 pass TD vs Toledo

Ryan Metz, UTEP, 88%

  • 23 – 49, 216 pass yards, 1 TD, 4 INT, 26 rush yards vs UTSA

Thomas Sirk, Duke, 87.7%

  • 18 – 36, 195 pass yards, 5 rush yards vs Boston College

DeShone Kizer, Notre Dame, 87.2%

  • 19 – 34, 321 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 60 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Clemson

Patrick Towles, Kentucky, 84.6%

  • 29 – 42, 329 pass yards, 3 pass TD, 2 INT, -4 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs EKU

The two names that stand out to me on this list are Chad Kelly and DeShone Kizer, both quarterbacks from top 10 teams that lost on the road this week. Yes, they both had an interception, but otherwise performed pretty impressively. I think this just speaks to the idea that every quarterback needs a running game to keep the defense honest.

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 82.8%

  • 6’4, 205lbs, SO

Garrett Smith, Lousiana-Monroe, 80.7%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, FR

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 78.6%

  • 6’3, 220lbs, SR

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 76%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, SR

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 75%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, JR

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 74.5%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, SR

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 74.5%

  • 6’2, 220lbs, SO

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 73.9%

  • 6’3, 214lbs, SO

Matt Davis, SMU, 72.9%

  • 6’0, 212lbs, JR

Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma, 72.8%

  • 6’1, 209lbs, JR

Of quarterbacks on top 25 teams, Baker Mayfield is pretty easily the “best” quarterback, in terms of market share of offense. Obviously his passing contributions go a long way, but Mayfield gets a huge boost from his legs, having accounted for 21% of Oklahoma’s rushing yards. Prior to a season closing stretch @Baylor, vs TCU, @OK State, he’s got a good chance to get his team to 9-0 and get into the discussion as a serious contender for the Heisman … elsewhere in the top 25, Mason Rudolph (Oklahoma State) has quietly amassed 66.8% of his offense, while national-sweetheart Trevone Boykin (TCU) stands at 64.9%. For reference, the last four Heisman-winning quarterbacks averaged 64.6% of their team’s yards… the best top 25 quarterback from a conference other than the Big 12 is Ole Miss’s Chad Kelly (62.9%).

Running Backs of the week

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 62.9%

  • 125 rush yards, 14 rec yards @ Wisconsin

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 62.5%

  • 260 rush yards, 3 rush TD @ New Mexico

Alex Gardner, FIU, 62.2%

  • 59 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 58 rec. yards @ UMass

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 60.4%

  • 160 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 12 rec. yards @ Marshall

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 57.9%

  • 208 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 8 rec. yards @ Appalachian State

Arkeel Newsome, Connecticut, 57%

  • 68 rush yards, 63 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 17 return yards @ BYU

Marcus Cox, Appalachian State, 56.7%

  • 178 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs Wyoming

Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 55.3%

  • 274 rush yards, 3 rush TD, 12 rec. yards @ Indiana

Jarveon Williams, UTSA, 53.1%

  • 133 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 45 rec. yards @ UTEP

Markell Jones, Purdue, 52.8%

  • 157 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 2 rec. yards @ Michigan State

Ezekiel Elliott brought his Superman cape to Bloomington and almost single-handedly lifted the Buckeyes past the Hoosiers. Elliott’s young dominance puts him in rare company… Iowa’s Jordan Canzeri not only lifted Iowa past Wisconsin, but he’s also elevated the program into the top 25 in both polls for the first time since 2010… Purdue’s Markell Jones is the reigning Mr. Football in Indiana and made his first big splash on the national scene against Michigan State. Recently turning 19 years old, he’s an exciting true freshman to monitor.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 51%

  • 6’1, 230lbs, SO

Aaron Jones, UTEP, 51%

  • 5’10, 205lbs, JR

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 48.5%

  • 5’10, 201lbs, SO

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 45.6%

  • 5’10, 180lbs, JR

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 43.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, SR

Devontae Booker, Utah, 39.2%

  • 5’11, 212lbs, SR

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 38.7%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, SO

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 36.6%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, SO

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 36.2%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, JR

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 35.9%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, SO

BREAKING: Leonard Fournette is having a dominant season… Confession: I just realized that UTEP’s Aaron Jones is out for the season with an ankle injury. The minimum number of games played to appear in the seasonal leaderboards is two; he’ll phase out next week… I need to find an Old Dominion game to watch. Ray Lawry was solid last year and has been amazing so far this year too.

Wide Receivers of the week

Edgar Poe, Army, 100%

  • 32 rec yards, 15 return yards @ Penn State

Garrett Brown, Air Force, 87.7%

  • 64 rec. yards, 45 rush yards, 15 return yards @ Navy

Matt VandeBerg, Iowa, 79.2%

  • 61 rec. yards @ Wisconsin

Ajalen Holley, Louisiana-Monroe, 71.6%

  • 166 rec. yards vs Georgia Southern

Thadd Smith, Boston College, 70.2%

  • 99 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Duke

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 67.7%

  • 136 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Southern Mississippi

Calvin Ridley, Alabama, 63.2%

  • 120 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Georgia

Roger Lewis, Bowling Green, 62%

  • 201 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Buffalo

Malcolm Mitchell, Georgia, 61.3%

  • 65 rec. yards vs Alabama

Zach Pascal, Old Dominion, 59.4%

  • 60 rec. yards, 24 ret. yards @ Marshall

Alabama freshman Calvin Ridley came into this season as the #1 (or #2, depending on where you look) wide receiver recruit in the country and broke out in a big way against Georgia. For a Crimson Tide team still trying to replace Amari Cooper, and injured an Robert Foster, Ridley’s emergence could have huge implications… BG’s Roger Lewis now has three games of at least 200 yards and one touchdown this season. That’s a good career for most people… And, yes, there’s a guy named Edgar Poe on this list. Nevermore shall I include service academy players.

Seasonal WR Leaders

Jamir Tillman, Navy, 65.5%

  • 6’4, 206lbs, JR

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 53%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, JR

Garrett Brown, Air Force, 52.9%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, SR

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 51.2%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, SR

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 50.4%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, JR

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 49%

  • 5’10, 174lbs, JR

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 48.8%

  • 5’10, 175lbs, SR

Jordan Villamin, Oregon State, 46.6%

  • 6’5, 231lbs, SO

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 45.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, JR

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 44.9%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, JR

Off the bye week, and thanks to the slide of others, Daniel Braverman makes his first appearance on this list. I came into this season, and still am, higher on his teammate Corey Davis, but what Braverman has done so far this season has been spectacular. He has at least 10 receptions and 100 receiving yards in every game, including contests against Michigan State and Ohio State.

Tight Ends of the week

Cethan Carter, Nebraska, 60%

  • 63 rec. yards @ Illinois

Sam Browning, Eastern Michigan, 54%

  • 87 rec. yards @ LSU

Bucky Hodges, Virginia Tech, 46.2%

  • 42 rec. yards vs Pittsburgh

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 41%

  • 75 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Louisville

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 38.6%

  • 83 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Florida State

Colin Jeter, LSU, 35%

  • 28 rec. yards vs Eastern Michigan

Jason Reese, Missouri, 34.6%

  • 47 rec. yards vs South Carolina

Jake Butt, Michigan, 33.9%

  • 61 rec. yards @ Maryland

Jeremiah Gaines, SMU, 33.2%

  • 96 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs ECU

Sean Price, South Florida, 33.2%

  • 66 rec. yard vs Memphis

Hey, Bucky Hodges, good to see you! The 20 year old, third-year TE from Virginia Tech came into the season with high expectations and has been solid, if unspectacular so far. It’s good to see him surpass 40 yards in three of his last four games.

Seasonal TE Leaders

Elkanah Dillon, USF, 32.5%

  • 6’5, 245lbs, FR

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 29.5%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, JR

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 28.3%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, SO

David Morgan II, UTSA, 25.6%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, SR

Jake Butt, Michigan, 24.5%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, JR

Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 22.3%

  • 6’4, 240lbs, SR

Scott Orndoff, Pittsburgh, 22.1%

  • 6’5, 265lbs, JR

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 21.3%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, SR

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 21.2%

  • 6’3, 245lbs, SO

Hayden Plinke, UTEP, 21%

  • 6’4, 255lbs, JR

The three seniors on this list – Morgan II, McCord and Weiser all have at least one 100-yard game this season. I know that athletic underclassmen like O.J. Howard, Evan Engram and Hunter Henry get lots of attention, but these three are really helping their prospect status in their final season.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Nyheim Hines, NC State, WR, 169 return yards vs Louisville

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR 134 ret. yards @ SMU

Tim White, Arizona State, WR, 129 ret. yards @ UCLA

Artavis Scott, Clemson, WR, 128 ret. yards vs Notre Dame

Eddie Daugherty, Eastern Michigan, WR, 126 ret. yards @ LSU

Jordan Franks, UCF, WR, 125 ret. yards @ Tulane

Charles Nelson, Oregon, WR, 124 ret. yards @ Colorado

Maurice Thomas, Miami OH, RB, 120 ret. yards @ Kent State

Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 112 ret. yards vs South Alabama

Kermit Whitfield, Florida State, WR, 111 ret. yards @ Wake Forest

Artavis Scott is the most exciting name here. The Clemson sophomore only had one return attempt in 2014, but already has 13 so far this season. The fact that the coaches trusted him in the return game in the rainy conditions against Notre Dame is an encouraging sign… Jordan Franks is a name to keep an eye on. He was a 3-star recruit as a LB / WR and appeared in 13 games on defense as a freshman in 2014. He’s now playing on offense and, apparently, returning kicks. At 6’3 225lbs, he must possess some pretty unique athleticism.

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 109 return yards/game

  • 5’11, 170lbs, JR

Brisly Estine, Syracuse, WR, 108.8

  • 5’9, 178lbs, JR

Byron Marshall, Oregon, WR, 96.3

  • 5’10, 205lbs, SR

Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 83.5

  • 5’7, 161bs, SR

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M, WR, 83.4

  • 5’11, 200lbs, FR

J.D. McKissic, Arkansas State, WR, 81.2

  • 5’11, 193lbs, SR

Kylen Towner, Western Kentucky, WR, 80.2

  • 5’8, 175lbs, SO

Eric Hawkins, Arkansas, WR, 79.5

  • 5’11, 180lbs, JR

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR, 79.4

  • 5’10, 177lbs, SO

Devin Fuller, UCLA, WR, 78.8

  • 6’0, 200lbs, SR

Byron Marshall is out for the year with injury and Christian Kirk is still awesome; he received four carries last game in addition to WR and return duties. Translation: Kevin Sumlin, one of the best offensive-minded coaches on planet Earth, has realized that this kid needs touches however he can manufacture them… J.D. McKissic is a small school guy who accounted for 29% of his team’s receiving yards in 2012 (age 19 season). He has more than 2,500 receiving yards for his career and 200 rush yards. He could be a sneaky prospect to keep an eye on.

Questions

  1. The defensive metrics were removed this week. Do you want them back?
  2. What else could I provide to make this article more helpful for you?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.

 

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 4 Recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense AND defense. Yes, this week I’ve added three defensive metrics to the conversation. I also, separated out the Tight End group, so we can start monitoring them.

In the past, my prospect analysis has typically waited until after the season to get going, but by tracking these stats on a weekly basis in season we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment.

Be warned that this article is dense with numbers. I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section.

**Finally, if you are introduced to any new players through this article, and you end up writing about them, please link back to this work. Thanks!**

Quarterbacks of the week

Nick Mullens, Southern Miss, 92.1% of offensive yards

447 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, -25 rush yards @ Nebraska

Ryan Metz, UTEP, 90.2%

275 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 46 rush yards vs Incarnate Word

Cameron Coffman, Wyoming, 87.7%

366 pass yards, 4 TD, 2 INT, -8 rush yards vs New Mexico

Alex McGough, FIU, 87.7%

263 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 7 rush yards @ Louisiana Tech

Dak Prescott, Mississippi State, 87.1%

270 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 14 rush yards @ Auburn

Kyle Allen, Texas A&M, 85.8%

358 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 5 rush yards @ Arkansas

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 85.3%

402 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 58 rush yards @ Purdue

David Blough, Purdue, 84.5%

340 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 11 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs BG

Cody Kessler, USC, 83.7%

375 pass yards, 5 TD, 1 INT, 6 rush yards @ Arizona State

Brenden Motley, Virginia Tech, 83.4%

281 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 85 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ ECU

For as much buzz as Dak Prescott got last year, it feels like he’s under-appreciated this year, despite posting nearly as impressive numbers through four games… Let’s just appreciate BG’s Matt Johnson for a moment; he’s thrown for 400 yards in each game this season, including three road contests against Power-5 foes (@Tennessee, @Maryland, @Purdue). He won two of those games.

QB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Luke Falk, Washington State, 80.5%

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 79.3%

Brandon Doughty, WKU, 78.0%

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 77.0%

Cameron Coffman, Wyoming, 76.7%

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 76.5%

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 75.2%

Matt Lineham, Idaho, 73.9%

Matt Davis, SMU, 73.3%

Johnny McCrary, Vanderbilt, 72.9%

Last week I got a question about “what’s a good market share for quarterbacks?” To be honest, at this point, the metric is more descriptive than predictive, but that doesn’t make it any less interesting in my opinion. Here are how recent Heisman-winning quarterbacks faired in this metric in their trophy-claiming campaign.

Robert Griffin III (2011) – 65.4%

Johnny Manziel (2012) – 70.5%

Jameis Winston (2013) – 58.8%

Marcus Mariota (2014) – 63.7%

Obviously none of the players included in this week’s leaderboard is in the Heisman conversation (or on a team good enough to get them the national spotlight) but it’s something to keep an eye on. For what it’s worth, TCU quarterback Trevone Boykin is at 65.2% so far.

Running backs of the week

Kalif Phillips, Charlotte, 80.1% of team’s offensive yards

165 rush yards vs Florida Atlantic

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 63.5%

300 rush yards, 3 rush TD, 4 rec. 45 rec. yards vs Fresno State

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 59.1%

244 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 1 rec., 7 rec. yards @ Syracuse

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 50.0%

206 rush yards, 1 rec., 38 rec. yards, 59 ret. yards @ Oregon State

Dwayne Washington, Washington, 49.4%

109 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 3 rec., 19 rec. yards vs Cal

Tony Pittman, Marshall, 48.7%

129 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 1 rec., 6 rec. yards @ Kent State

James Butler, Nevada, 46.7%

177 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Buffalo

Greg Howell, Florida Atlantic, 44.6%

56 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 1 rec., 19 rec. yards @ Charlotte

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 44.2%

56 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 4 rec., 51 rec. yards @ Penn State

Kenneth Dixon, Louisiana Tech, 40.7%

169 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 1 rec., 23 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs FIU

More on Leonard Fournette in a moment, but how about SJSU’s Tyler Ervin and SDSU’s Donnel Pumphrey? Both backs are making their second consecutive appearance on this list and have been prolific undersized workhorses… And shoutout to Christian McCaffrey for being the #4 workhorse RB of the week while also contributing 59 return yards in the Cardinal’s road victory over Oregon State.

RB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 51.9%

Aaron Jones, UTEP, 51.0%

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 45.7%

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 44.6%

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 43.4%

Devontae Booker, Utah, 39.2%

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 38.1%

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 38.0%

Demario Richard, Arizona State, 35.6%

Jordan Howard, Indiana, 35.6%

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 35.6%

Leonard Fournette has accounted for 51.9% of LSU’s offense so far. By comparison, the last two running backs to win the Heisman accounted for the following: Reggie Bush ’05 (32.7%)  Mark Ingram ’09 (35.3%)… Keep an eye on Indiana RB Jordan Howard, who was a stud at UAB before transfering to the Hoosier program to take over the role vacated by Tevin Coleman. He takes on Ohio State this week in a game that very well might feature the two best draft-eligible RBs in America.

Receivers of the week

Jordan Williams, Ball State, 74.7% of team’s receiving yards

8 receptions, 133 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD @ Northwestern

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 73.2%

4 receptions, 93 rec. yards @ Idaho

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 72.8%

10 receptions, 123 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Ohio State

Drew Morgan, Arkansas, 68.9%

8 receptions, 155 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Texas A&M

DeAndre Ball, Army, 68.4%

2 receptions, 67 rec. yards @ Eastern Michigan

Ricky Jeune, Georgia Tech, 63.6%

4 receptions, 91 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Duke

Carlos Wiggins, New Mexico, 59.8%

1 reception, 64 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Wyoming

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 58.1%

8 receptions, 165 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD vs Georgia Southern

KeeSean Johnson, Fresno State, 56.6%

7 receptions, 90 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ SJSU

Quinton Pedroza, Hawaii, 55.8%

10 receptions, 134 rec. yards, 0 rec. TD @ WIsconsin

On a weekend when two of my absolute favorite WR prospects, (Tajae Sharpe and Corey Davis, both from the MAC) got their time in the national spotlight, it was Ball State’s Jordan Williams who had the show-stealing performance. He’s not quite Tajae or Corey, but he’s the biggest of the trio and has enjoyed a rock-solid career… Shoutout to Arkansas WR Drew Morgan who came through with a huge game in the absence of top target Keon Hatcher.

WR Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Receiving Yards

Jamir Tillman, Navy, 65.5%

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 55.5%

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 51.2%

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 50.7%

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 50.4%

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 48.3%

Jordan Villamin, Oregon State, 46.6%

Will Fuller, Notre Dame, 46.0%

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 45.7%

Bryan Holmes, Troy, 45.7%

Say hello to Oregon State WR Jordan Villamin, who is a new arrival on this leaderboard. The 6’5 230lb redshirt sophomore (20 years old) is starting to look a lot like a Mike Evans-ish prospect. If you can add him now in a devy league, I would. The kid’s stock is going to skyrocket as the country wakes up to him… And when I say “wake up”, I mean that literally; many of Oregon State’s games finish well after midnight on the east coast.

Tight Ends of the week

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 38.8% of team’s receiving yards

10 receptions, 131 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Nevada

Ryan Yurachek, Marshall, 38.4%

4 receptions, 58 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Kent State

Joshua Perkins, Washington, 36.2%

5 receptions, 55 rec. yards vs Cal

Ethan Wolf, Tennessee, 33.3%

4 receptions, 55 rec. yards @ Florida

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 32.8%

5 receptions, 84 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD, 2 rushes, 28 rush yards @ South Alabama

Austin Hooper, Stanford, 30.7%

2 receptions, 50 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Oregon State

Steven Scheu, Vanderbilt, 29.4%

5 receptions, 57 rec. yards @ Ole Miss

Hayden Plinke, UTEP, 29.1%

4 receptions, 80 rec. yards vs Incarnate Word

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 27.3%

5 receptions, 72 rec. yards, 1 pass attempt vs Indiana

Bucky Hodges, Virginia Tech, 26.0%

5 receptions, 73 rec. yards @ ECU

Honestly, I don’t know very much about this crew except for Hodges and Serigne. The one name that stands out though is Matt Weiser. For one, college tight ends almost never catch 10 passes in a game unless their name is Jace Amaro or Dennis Pitta. Also, homie is 6’5 255lbs, so there’s some meat on those bones.

TE Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Receiving Yards

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 31.1%

David Morgan II, UTSA, 26.2%

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 25.6%

Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 23.9%

Jake Butt, Michigan, 22.3%

Tyler Higbee, WKU, 22.2%

C.J. Conrad, Kentucky, 22.1%

Hayden Plinke, UTEP, 21.3%

Jerell Adams, South Carolina, 21.0%

Chris Loving, North Texas, 20.9%

If there’s an early front runner to be my top-rated TE for the 2016 draft, it’s Jake Butt. Under Harbaugh, Stanford churned out a series of solid NFL prospects and Harbaugh now appears to be working the same mojo on Michigan’s TE. Listed at 6’6 248lbs, Butt has a strong combination of production, size and pro-style experience…Jaylen Samuels interested me at first, but then I realized he’s only 5’11 and is more of an H-back.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Olamide Zaccheaus, RB, Virginia, 231 return yards vs Boise

J.D. McKissic, WR, Arkansas State, 211 @ Toledo

Brisly Estime, WR, Syracuse, 202 vs LSU

Byron Marshall, WR, Oregon, 178 vs Utah

DeAndre Reaves, WR, Marshall, 170 @ Kent State

Austin Waller, RB, Rice, 140 @ Baylor

Daje Johnson, WR, Texas, 137 vs Oklahoma State

Rashaad Penny, RB, San Diego State, 137 @ Penn State

Jae’Lon Oglesby, RB, Memphis, 132 vs Cincinnati

Aregeros Turner, WR, Northern Illinois, 117 @ BC

Earlier this year at Rotoviz I wrote about the hidden value of special teams stats for prospects, so I like to monitor these performances.

Special Teams Leaders – Seasonal Top 10

Janarion Grant, WR, Rutgers, 109 return yards/game, 3 return TD

Brisly Estime, WR, Syracuse, 109 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

J.D. McKissic, WR, Arkansas State, 102 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

Byron Marshall, WR, Oregon, 96 ret. yds/gm

Kylen Towner, WR, WKU, 90 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

Rashaad Penny, RB, SDSU, 90 ret. yds/gm, 2 ret. TD

Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M, 90 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

Brett Winnegan, RB, UTSA, 89 ret. yds/gm

Daje Johnson, WR, Texas, 89 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

Devin Fuller, WR, UCLA, 85 ret. yds/gm

If there’s one name here that I’m really high on (besides Christian Kirk) it is Oregon’s Byron Marshall, who I think could be a Randall Cobb-ish, multi-threat prospect.

Defensive Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Total Tackles

Kentrell Brothers, LB, Missouri, 18.8% of total team tackles

Blake Martinez, ILB, Stanford, 18.7%

Steve Longa, LB, Rutgers, 16.4%

Anthony Walker, LB, Northwestern, 16.1%

Elandon Roberts, ILB, Houston, 16.1%

Skai Moore, LB, South Carolina, 15.9%

Christian Tago, LB, San Jose State, 15.4%

Kavon Frazier, DB, Central Michigan, 15.3%

Jalen Reeves-Maybin, LB, Tennessee, 15.2%

Nick Vigil, LB, Utah State, 15.1%

If you’re looking for a reference point here, Luke Kuechly has the TWO best seasons in my IDP database for this metric going back to 2005. In his final season he tallied 22% and in his second-to-last season he accounted for 20.7%. Anything north of 17% should be held in very high regard… Kavon Frazier is the only defensive back on this list.

Defensive Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Tackles for Loss

Ben Goodman Jr., DE, Kansas, 56.3% of team’s tackles for loss

Darius Latham, DT, Indiana, 41.7%

Jerrian Roberts, DE, North Texas, 41.7%

Woody Baron, DT, Virginia Tech, 38.9%

Bernard Dawson, DE, Georgia Southern, 37.5%

Anthony Walker, LB, Northwestern, 33.3%

Jon Schobert, OLB, Wisconsin, 32.8%

Trevon Coley, DT, Florida Atlantic, 31.6%

Nick Gilbo, LB, Buffalo, 30.6%

Alvin Jones, LB, UTEP, 30.0%

Alonzo McGee, LB, Georgia State, 30.0%

Quinton Bradley, DE, Idaho, 30.0%

Dominique Tovell, LB, Louisiana-Lafayette, 30.0%

If you’re looking for a flag bearer here, look at Aaron Donald, who accounted for 33.1% of Pitt’s tackles for loss in his final season. Anything above 25% is quite good, which all of these guys are now, but expect them to come back to earth as the sample size grows… Note that Indiana’s Darius Latham has been suspended for this weekend’s game against Ohio State, which is a killer for that D… Also, Anthony Walker from Northwestern is the only player to appear on both the tackles and tackles-for-loss leaderboards.

Defensive Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Passes Broken Up

Latrell Gibbs, DB, Appalachian State, 75% of team’s PBU

Tyree Simmons, DB, Colorado State, 70%

Mike Stevens, CB, NC State, CB, 66.7%

Heath Harding, CB, Miami OH, 66.7%

D.J. May, LB, Wyoming, 60%

Nick Nelson, DB, Hawaii, 57.1%

Jalen Davis, CB, Utah State, 50%

Anthony Makransky, DB, Wyoming, 50%

Jeremiah Harris, DL, Eastern Michigan, 50%

Brian Peavy, DB, Iowa State, 50%

Avonte Maddox, DB, Pittsburgh, 50%

Kevin Vaccaro, S, Texas, 50%

Lance Austin, DB, Georgia Tech, 50%

Anything above 35% is really strong. Again, expect regression here. Oh, and say hi to another Texas Vaccaro.

Questions

  1. Did you like seeing the defensive metrics, or are those overkill?
  2. I heard some feedback that the old layout was tough to read. Is this new wordpress theme better?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.