The College Football Market Share Report – Week 13 Recap

Hope you had a nice Thanksgiving holiday last week. Because of the holiday I got behind on work and didn’t publish a report. We have just one week left of the regular season and many players are already finished with their regular seasons.

How you might want to interact with this article:
1) Skim the dense parts and read the summaries at the end of each section
2) Find rockstar performances and focus on those in your film-watching endeavors
3) Leave a comment so I can make this content even more beneficial to you

Let’s get to it.

Quarterbacks of the week

Shuler Bentley, Old Dominion, 93.8% of team’s offensive yards

  • 24-42, 287 yards, 3 TD, 18 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs FAU

Blake Kemp, East Carolina, 90.4%

  • 33-50, 315 yards, 1 TD, 33 rush yards vs. Cincinnati

Dane Evans, Tulsa, 87.7%

  • 19-32, 367 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT @ Tulane

Keenan Reynolds, Navy, 86.3%

  • 13-16, 312 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 84 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Houston

Peyton Bender, Washington State, 84.6%

  • 36-58, 288 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT @ Washington

Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 84.4%

  • 27-44, 355 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT vs. Southern Miss

Mitch Leidner, Minnesota, 84.4%

  • 16-37, 223 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT, 10 yards vs. Wisconsin

Jared Goff, Cal, 84.3%

  • 30-51, 542 yards, 5 TD, 31 rush yards vs. Arizona State

Tim Boyle, Connecticut, 82.6%

  • 12-20, 121 yards, 1 INT @ Temple

Brandon Silvers, Troy, 82.4%

  • 20-45, 284 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 15 rush yards, 9 rec. yards @ Georgia State

Keenan Reynolds’ Heisman hopes took a hit with Navy’s loss at Houston, but there’s not much more he could have done. He was brilliant… Jared Goff killed it against ASU and got a shoutout in the latest RotoViz College Football Show. I’m not sure he’s a first round quarterback, but he certainly made a strong closing argument over the final few weeks.

 

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 76.8% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’4, 205lbs, Sophomore

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 76.1%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 75.5%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, Junior

Dak Prescott, Mississippi State, 73%

  • 6’2, 230lbs, Senior

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 71.8%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, Freshman

Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 69.5%

  • 6’4, 231lbs, Senior

Riley Neal, Ball State, 68.7%

  • 6’5, 217lbs, Freshman

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 68.2%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, Senior

Jared Goff, Cal, 67.9%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Junior

Alex McGough, FIU, 67.5%

  • 6’3, 218lbs, Sophomore

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 67.5%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Junior

In case you missed it, Collin Cowherd had a rant about how the SEC has no good quarterbacks and the Big 10 has so many. Prescott and Kelly both appear on this list, which doesn’t necessarily have anything to do with their NFL ability, but I think they, at worst, have been tremendous college quarterbacks and were perhaps too easily dismissed by Cowherd… Also, say what’s up to Jeff Driskel. I professed my curiosity about him on the Chris Burke’s “On The Clock” podcast and I think he could end up being selected in the back half of the draft.

 

Running Backs of the week

Timothy McVey, Air Force, 67.4% of team’s offensive yards

  • 12 carries, 105 yards, 2 TD, 157 rec. yards, 3 rec. TD @ New Mexico

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 63.8%

  • 26 carries, 183 yards, 2 TD, 11 rec. yards @ Florida

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 61.8%

  • 32 carries, 159 yards, 1 TD, 43 rec. yards vs. Texas A&M

Chris Warren III, Texas, 61.7%

  • 25 carries, 276 yards, 4 TD, 12 rec. yards vs. Texas Tech

Kelvin Taylor, Florida, 58.8%

  • 24 carries, 136 yards, 18 rec. yards vs FSU

Derrick Henry, Alabama, 58.3%

  • 46 carries, 271 yards, 1 TD @ Auburn

Joe Williams, Utah, 57.7%

  • 34 carries, 187 yards, 1 TD vs Colorado

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 56%

  • 17 carries, 140 yards, 2 TD @ Nebraska

Ryan Nall, Oregon State, 53.4%

  • 19 carries, 174 yards, 1 TD, 54 rec. yards @ Oregon

Marquis Young, UMass, 53.1%

  • 35 carries, 240 yards, 3 TD, 3 rec. yards @ Buffalo

I don’t watch hardly any Air Force football, but McVey’s performance might be worth going back to see. No matter how you slice it, he was spectacular… Texas fans might be excited about freshman Chris Warren’s first big game, but keep in mind it was against Texas Tech, which has one of the nation’s worst run defenses… Jordan Canzeri was one of the Seasonal RB Leaders for much of the first half of the season until he got injured. To see him back healthy for the Big 10 championship is huge for Iowa.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 42.3% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’1, 230lbs, Sophomore

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 41.5%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, Sophomore

Devontae Booker, Utah, 41.2%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Senior

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 40.7%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, Sophomore

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 40.1%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 40%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 38.9%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, Sophomore

Derrick Henry, Alabama, 37.5%

  • 6’3, 242lbs, Junior

Justin Jackson, Northwestern, 37.4%

  • 5’11, 190lbs, Sophomore

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 36.3%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 35.9%

  • 6’0, 225lbs, Junior

Leonard Fournette probably isn’t going to win the Heisman, but his 2015 was remarkable. Same with Dalvin Cook. The college running back landscape is in great hands with both of them back for 2016… The likely winner is Derrick Henry who has been creeping up this list in recent weeks. He should wrap up the award with a 100 yards performance in the SEC title game… More on McCaffrey in a minute.

 

Wide Receivers of the Week

Thadd Smith, Boston College, 100% of team’s receiving yards

  • 1 rec. 9 yards @ Syracuse

Tre’Quan Smith, UCF, 87.9%

  • 7 rec. 102 yards vs USF

Tajae Sharpe, UMass, 84.7%

  • 6 rec. 138 yards @ Buffalo

Alex Erickson, Wisconsin, 83.5%

  • 6 rec. 66 yards, 12 ret. yards @ Minnesota

Shelton Gibson, West Virginia, 73.3%

  • 6 rec. 148 yards, 1 TD, 53 ret. yards vs Iowa State

Courtland Sutton, SMU, 70.3%

  • 2 rec. 45 yards @ Memphis

Trent Bostick, Charlotte, 70.3%

  • 6 rec. 111 yards, 1 TD @ Rice

Warren Redix, UTEP, 60.9%

  • 3 rec. 42 yards, 1 TD, 27 rush yards, 2 ret. yards @ North Texas

Wesley Leftwich, Missouri, 59%

  • 3 rec. 49 yards @ Arkansas

Keyarris Garrett, Tulsa, 58.9%

  • 10 rec. 216 yards, 1 TD @ Tulane

Will Fuller, Notre Dame, 58.1%

  • 6 rec. 136 yards, 1 TD @ Stanford

Tajae Sharpe finished his career with a bang and has delivered on the promise he showed earlier in his career… A million years ago Keyarris Garrett was an intriguing prospect from Tulsa, but injuries and the decline of the Tulsa program set him back. His size will make him a prospect worth monitoring throughout the next few months… West Virginia has gone run-heavy over the second half of this season, but Shelton Gibson is a star in the making for that team. Keep an eye on him next year to breakout on a bigger scale.

Seasonal WR Leaders

Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 43.6% of receiving yards

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 43.6%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, Junior

Tajae Sharpe, UMass, 42.7%

  • 6’3, 188lbs, Senior

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 41.7%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Junior

Kenny Golladay, Northern Illinois, 40.6%

  • 6’4, 200lbs, Junior

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 40.2%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Senior

Tyler Boyd, Pitt, 39.5%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, Junior

Pharoh Cooper, South Carolina, 39.1%

  • 5’11, 207lbs, Junior

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 38.7%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Sophomore

Chris Godwin, Penn State, 38.6%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Sophomore

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 37.5%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, Senior

Minus Laquon Treadwell, nearly every prospect that I expect to be at the center of the 2016 draft conversation is on this list: Carroo, Sharpe, Burbridge, Boyd and Cooper… Looking ahead to next year, JuJu Smith-Schuster will almost certainly be the unicorn wide receiver prospect. He has led the team in receiving yards in ten of 12 games this year and just recently turned 19 in his sophomore year. Beast mode.

Service Academy footnotes: Jamir Tillman (53.4%, Navy), Edgar Poe (41.0%, Army)

Jerome Lane footnotes: 33.1% of Akron’s yards

 

Tight Ends of the week

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 56.5% of team’s receiving yards

  • 1 rec., 35 yards @ Georgia Southern

Jacob Hollister, Wyoming, 48%

  • 5 rec., 119 yards, 1 TD vs. UNLV

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 47.1%

  • 6 rec., 97 yards, 5 rush yards vs UNC

Reece White, New Mexico, 43%

  • 1 rec., 58 yards vs Air Force

Keith Rucker, Georgia State, 41.8%

  • 10 rec. 154 yards vs. Troy

Deon Watson, Idaho, 40.1%

  • 5 rec., 124 yards, 2 TD vs. Texas State

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 39.9%

  • 5 rec., 135 yards, 1 TD vs. Duke

George Kittle, Iowa, 36.1%

  • 2 rec., 35 yards, 1 TD @ Nebraska

Metuisela ‘Unga, Hawaii, 34.5%

  • 1 rec., 40 yards vs ULM

Billy Freeman, San Jose State, 32.4%

  • 7 rec., 109 yards, 1 TD vs. Boise State

I’ve got nothing here.

 

Seasonal TE Leaders

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 24.6% of team’s receiving yards

  • 6’4, 225lbs, Junior

David Morgan II, UTSA, 24.4%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, Senior

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 23.7%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, Sophomore

Jake Butt, Michigan, 22%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, Junior

Rodney Mills, UMass, 21.9%

  • 6’1, 205lbs, Senior

Billy Freeman, SJSU, 21.7%

  • 6’3, 232lbs, Junior

Dan Vitale, Northwestern, 21.2%

  • 6’2, 235lbs, Senior

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 20.9%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, Senior

Brandon Lingen, Minnesota, 20.8%

  • 6’5, 247lbs, Sophomore

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 20.5

  • 6’3, 245lbs, R-Sophomore

Bucky Hodges, Virginia Tech, 20.5%

  • 6’7, 241lbs, R-Sophomore

Since SJSU’s top receiver got hurt, Billy Freeman has slowly climbed this list. He’s a bit undersized, but has had a really strong season… As we get into early-declarations for the NFL Draft, keep an eye on Hodges, Serigne, and Butt. They are among the handful of underclassmen who could declare to make this class magnitudes better than the 2015 crop.

 

Special Teams Studs of the week

Deandre Reaves, Marshall, WR, 221 return yards, 1 TD, 45 rec. yards @ WKU

Daje Johnson, Texas, WR, 194 ret. yards, 3 rec. yards vs. Texas Tech

C.J. Sanders, Notre Dame, WR, 190 ret. yards, 1 TD @ Stanford

Victor Bolden, Oregon State, WR, 182 ret. yards, 1 TD, 43 rec. yards, 11 rush yards @ Oregon

Alex Ross, Oklahoma, RB, 170 ret. yards @ Oklahoma State

Derek Keaton, Georgia Southern, WR, 164 ret. yards, 23 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs. South Alabama

Derrick Dick, UTSA, WR, 156 ret. yards vs. Middle Tennessee

Quadree Henderson, Pitt, WR, 145 ret. yards vs. Miami FL

Kesean Strong, Old Dominion, RB, 140 ret. yards, 20 rec. yards vs. FAU

Joe Hansley, Colorado State, WR, 136 ret. yards, 2 ret. TD, 46 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Fresno State

I don’t know what Joe Hansley had for breakfast on Saturday, but I want some. DAYUM, kid!

 

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Kylen Towner, Western Kentucky, WR, 91.9% of team’s return yards

  • 5’8, 175lbs, Sophomore

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 91.3

  • 5’11, 170lbs, Junior

Brisly Estime, Syracuse, WR, 89.6%

  • 5’9, 178lbs, Junior

Tyler Ervin, SJSU, RB, 88.8%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Derek Keaton, Georgia Southern, WR, 88.3%

  • 5’11, 185lbs, Senior

Scott Miller, BGSU, WR, 88.2%

  • 5’10, 162lbs, Freshman

KaVontae Turpin, TCU, WR, 87.7%

  • 5’9, 152lbs, Freshman

Jakeem Grant, Texas Tech, WR, 86%

  • 5’7, 168lbs, Senior

Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 85.9%

  • 5’7, 161lbs, Senior

Deandre Reaves, Marshall, WR, 85.5%

  • 5’10, 179lbs, Senior

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, RB, 82.6%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

I promised more commentary on Christian McCaffrey and here it is. In addition to ranking sixth among all running backs in terms of market share of offensive yards, he also ranks highly for market share of special teams return yardage. In almost any other year, he would be the Heisman front runner and I’m not sure it would be particularly close.

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 3 recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense.

In the past, my prospect analysis has typically waited until after the season to get going, but by tracking these metrics on a weekly basis in season we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment.

As this is somewhat dense with numbers, I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section.

Quarterbacks of the week

Shuler Bentley, Old Dominion, 93.9% of team’s offensive yards

  • 151 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, -12 rush yards vs NC State

Blake Frohnapfel, UMass, 87.4%

  • 393 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -10 rush yards vs Temple

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 87.1%

  • 484 pass yards, 3 TD, 2 INT, 11 rush yards @ Indiana

P.J. Walker, Temple, 83.6%

  • 391 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, -8 rush yards @ UMass

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 83.6%

  • 341 pass yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 21 rush yards @ Alabama

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 83.6%

  • 443 pass yards, 4 TD, 0 INT, 41 rush yards vs Memphis

Jake Browning, Washington, 83%

  • 368 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -1 rush yards vs Utah State

C.J. Beathard, Iowa, 81.8%

  • 258 pass yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 39 rush yards vs Pitt

Jerrod Heard, Texas, 81.1%

  • 364 pass yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 163 rush yards vs California

Tyler Jones, Texas State, 79.5%

  • 310 pass yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 160 rush yards vs Southern Miss

There’s a lot to talk about here. Texas’ Jerrod Heard went bananas on national TV against Cal and drew comparisons to Vince Young… Chad “Swag” Kelly took Ole Miss on the road and defeated Alabama. No small feat. The Rebels are now the #3 ranked team in the country… It looks like Washington coach Chris Petersen (formerly at Boise) has his new Kellen Moore. Somewhat undersized freshman Jake Browning has been great so far… Finally, shoutout to Tyler Jones from Texas State, who Benjamin Allbright and I were discussing on Twitter late last week and then Jones proceeds to put up 470 yards of total offense.  Maybe undersized, maybe from a small conference, but maybe really awesome? Time will tell.

QB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Luke Falk, Washington State, 80.5%

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 78.8%

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 77.5%

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 77.0%

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 76.8%

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 75.5%

Johnny McCrary, Vanderbilt, 75.1%

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 74.1%

Matt Davis, SMU, 73.4%

Blake Kemp, East Carolina, 73.2%

Nothing too surprising here – three quarterbacks from pass-happy teams leading the way – but this is probably a helpful list to keep in mind for finding undervalued DFS quarterbacks.

Running backs of the week

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 58.1% of team’s offensive yards

  • 15 rush yards, 71 receiving yards, 1 rec. TD vs NC State

Demario Richard, Arizona State, 56.8%

  • 104 rush yards, 4 receptions, 151 receiving yards, 2 rec. TD vs New Mexico

Devontae Booker, Utah, 55.8%

  • 156 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 5 receptions, 56 receiving yards @ Fresno

Paul Perkins, UCLA, 54.5%

  • 219 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs BYU

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 51.5%

  • 102 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 5 receptions, 55 receiving yards vs South Alabama

Justin Jackson, Northwestern, 50.9%

  • 120 rush yards, 2 receptions, 18 receiving yards @ Duke

Nick Holley, Kent State, 50%

  • 58 rush yards, 3 receptions, 13 receiving yards @ Minnesota

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 48.9%

  • 228 rush yards, 3 rush TD, 1 reception, 9 rec. yards vs Auburn

Tyler Ervin, SJSU, 48.6%

  • 93 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 6 receptions, 30 rec. yards @ Oregon State

Joel Bouagnon, Northern Illinois, 45.3%

  • 78 rush yards, 3 receptions, 8 rec. yards @ Ohio State

On a team with national championship aspirations, but lead by a freshman quarterback, UCLA’s Paul Perkins is quietly putting together a fantastic season. If he can continue to take the load of Josh Rosen and the Bruins win the Pac-12 South (two BIG ifs) I would think Perkins would be a Heisman finalist. And he’s not just a one-hit wonder; he balled in 2014 too.

RB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 51.3%

Aaron Jones, UTEP, 51.0%

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 48.2%

Devontae Booker, Utah, 45.1%

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 44.6%

Kareem Hunt, Toledo, 41.7%

Devon Johnson, Marshall, 38.4%

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 38.0%

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 37.5%

Demario Richard, Arizona State, 37.5%

Maybe you’ve never heard of Ray Lawry (2017 eligible), but it’s time to start paying attention. The 5’11 200b sophomore is a one-man wrecking crew for the Monarchs… speaking of which, how about Leonard Fournette? In consecutive weeks he has torn apart SEC defenses and in the process seen his Heisman odds go from 13-1 on September 8 (eighth-best odds) to 3.5-1 this week, which makes him the Vegas favorite to win the award.

Receivers of the week

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 63.7% of team’s receiving yards

  • 8 receptions, 193 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD vs Rice

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 63.2%

  • 8 receptions, 156 rec. yards, 3 rec. TD vs Air Force

DaeSean Hamilton, Penn State, 61.0%

  • 5 receptions, 86 rec. yards vs Rutgers

Trent Sherfield, Vanderbilt, 60.9%

  • 16 receptions, 240 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Austin Peay

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 60.7%

  • 8 receptions, 164 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ SDSU

Roger Lewis, Bowling Green, 58.9%

  • 7 receptions, 261 rec. yards, 3 rec. TD vs Memphis

Tyler Boyd, Pitt, 57.7%

  • 10 receptions, 131 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 7 rush yards @ Iowa

DeAndre Bell, Army, 57.4%

  • 1 reception, 31 rec. yards vs Wake Forest

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 56.3%

  • 8 receptions, 153 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Stanford

DeBrandon Sanders, Navy, 56.1%

  • 1 reception, 23 rec. yards, 1 rush, 20 rush yards vs East Carolina

Jordan Payton, UCLA, 55.7%

  • 4 receptions, 59 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs BYU

Even if Air Force isn’t exactly a defensive juggernaut, Aaron Burbridge’s performance shouldn’t be discounted. He’s strung together three consecutive 100+ yard games to start the season, is catching passes from Connor Cook and has the size to intrigue NFL types. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a Cody Latimer-esque ascent over the next six months. Just something to monitor.

WR Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Receiving Yards

Jamir Tillman, Navy, 72.2%

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 55.5%

Chris Godwin, Penn State, 55.1%

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 54.1%

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 53.8%

Will Fuller, Notre Dame, 52.1%

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 51.2%

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 49.1%

Devin Scott, Louisiana-Lafayette, 48.1%

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 47.4%

Should I exclude military school players from this list, since their likelihood of NFL relevance is so unlikely?… Tyler Boyd is the most noteworthy player here for several reasons. First, he’s putting together an awesome season as the obvious focal point of the offense and still nobody can stop him. Also, his birth year had been previously reported as 1993, but now the official Pitt website lists it as 1994. If it’s true that he’s a year younger than we originally thought – a 20 year old freshman in 2013 – his dynasty stock gets a significant boost on several fronts… And say what’s up to Will Fuller, who is smallish, but is tearing it up for the Irish.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Earlier this year at Rotoviz I detailed the hidden value of special teams stats in prospect analysis. Keeping with that theme, here’s a look at the top players making an impact in the return game.

Devin Fuller, UCLA, 194 return yards vs BYU

Ryan Switzer, UNC, 168 return yards, 1 ret. TD vs Illinois

Shon Cardon, South Carolina, 162 return yards @ Georgia

Johnny Holton, Cincinnati, 125 return yards @ Miami OH

DJ May, Wyoming, 122 return yards @ Washington State

Brandon Smith, Texas State, 122 return yards vs Southern Miss

Diontae Johnson, Toledo, 119 return yards vs Iowa State

Adoree’ Jackson, USC, 118 return yards vs Stanford

Solomon Vault, Northwestern, 118 return yards, 1 ret. TD @ Duke

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, 112 return yards   @ Oklahoma State

If there’s a Wes Welker-type prospect (undersized, premium special teamer) on this list it’s Ryan Switzer. In his debut campaign in 2013 he averaged more than 20 yards per punt return and is back on a similar path this year after being kept somewhat under wraps last year. Also, randomly, he’s thrown two passes in his career – indicating a high level of trust by the coaching staff – both of which went for touchdowns.

Special Teams Leaders – Seasonal Top 10

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, 129.3 return yards/g

Kylen Towner, WKU, 107.0

Autrey Golden, UTEP, 96.6

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M, 93.7

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, 93.0

De’Chavon “Gump” Hayes, Arizona State, 87.5

Jeremiah Bryson, MTSU, 84.3

Diontae Johnson, Toledo, 82.0

Devin Fuller, UCLA, 79.7

Eric Hawkins, Arkansas, 79.5

One player on this list who made a huge splash on opening weekend and who I’ve been meaning to write about is Texas A&M freshman Christian Kirk. He’s a solid 5’11 200lbs, doesn’t turn 19 until November and is already balling. In addition to his special teams contributions, he’s also contributing on offense. At this point, he’s probably the most valuable 2015 freshman devy prospect in the game.

QUESTIONS

  1. For wide receivers, I like “market share of receiving yards” since we’ve used those for a while and people generally understand the continuum, but what did you think about the QB and RB breakdowns being based on market share of offense? Is there something else you’d rather see?
  2. Should I keep service academy players out of this list since they almost never end up playing in the NFL and part of this exercise is to help in prospect identification?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.