The College Football Market Share Report – Season Recap

That’s all, folks! The 2015-16 College Football season is officially over. It’s almost time to turn our attention to draft season, but before we do here is one final Market Share Report.

For this edition I’ve made a few tweaks, including a section for best past-catching running backs. Also, for anyone who I know is entering the 2016 NFL Draft, I’ve put an asterisk by their name.

How you might want to interact with this article:
1) Skim the dense parts and read the summaries at the end of each section
2) Find rockstar performances and focus on those in your film-watching endeavors
3) Leave a comment because comments are fun

With this being the last article in this series, I ask that, if you enjoyed this publication throughout the season, you consider supporting my work via a paypal donation.

Quarterbacks of Bowl Season

Sean Maguire, Florida State, 92.7% of team’s offensive yards

  • 22-44, 392 yards, 2 TD, 4 INT vs Houston

Patrick Mahomes II, Texas Tech, 85.7%

  • 28-56, 370 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT vs LSU

Lamar Jackson, Louisville, 84.8%

  • 12-26, 227 yards, 2 TD, 226 rush yards, 2 rush TD vs Texas A&M

Tanner Mangum, BYU, 82.4%

  • 25-56, 315 yards, 2 TD, 3 INT, 1 rush TD vs Utah

*Mike Bercovici, Arizona State, 82.3%

  • 29-52, 418 yards, 4 TD, 10 rush yards vs WVU

*Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 82.3%

  • 14-29, 208 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT vs SJSU

Skyler Howard, West Virginia, 82.1%

  • 28-51, 532 yards, 5 TD, 2 INT, 23 rush yards vs ASU

Nick Mullens, Southern Miss, 81.9%

  • 25-38, 331 yards, 2 TD vs Washington

Thomas Woodson, Akron, 81.2%

  • 14-29, 168 yards, 1 INT, 47 rush yards, rec. TD vs Utah St

Josh Rosen, UCLA, 79.8%

  • 26-40, 319 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT vs Nebraska

ACC fans might want to take note of Louisville and QB Lamar Jackson. He posted massive dual-threat production in the bowl game and is just a sophomore next year. Bobby Petrino will be in his third season, which was a fruitful point during his first stay at Louisville and at Arkansas; he lost no more than three games in either of those “year threes”… it might be fun to go back and watch that ASU-WVU bowl game, considering it had two quarterbacks going absolutely bonkers in it.

 

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 76.8% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’4, 205lbs, Sophomore

*Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 75.9%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 74.6%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, Junior

*Dak Prescott, Mississippi State, 73.2%

  • 6’2, 230lbs, Senior

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 71.8%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, Freshman

*Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 69.4%

  • 6’4, 231lbs, Senior

Riley Neal, Ball State, 68.7%

  • 6’5, 217lbs, Freshman

*Jared Goff, Cal, 68.6%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Junior

Brent Stockstill, MTSU, 68%

  • 6’0, 200lbs, Freshman

Patrick Mahomes II, Texas Tech, 67.9%

  • 6’3, 219lbs, Sophomore

Alex McGough, FIU, 67.5%

  • 6’3, 218lbs, Sophomore

Deshaun Watson, Clemson, 67.5%

  • 6’2, 210lbs, Sophomore

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 67.5%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Junior

It’s fun to see Jared Goff end the year with a bang and climb so high up this list. An early declaration, he’s almost certain to go in the first round. Just for fun, I thought I’d check on how first-round quarterbacks from the last two years fared in terms of final-seasons market share of offense:

  • Winston – 67.8%
  • Mariota – 64.0%
  • Bortles – 67.1%
  • Manziel – 69.6%
  • Bridgewater – 67.6%

The average is 67.2%, which is slightly below Goff’s mark (68.9%), and he did himself no favors with his rushing ability… As later-round prospects, it will be fun to see where Dak Prescott and Jeff Driskel end up going… Say hello to Deshaun Watson, Chad Kelly and Patrick Mahomes, who should be among college football’s most exciting quarterbacks in 2016.

 

Running Backs of Bowl Season

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 64.6%

  • 18 carries, 172 yards, 105 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 91 ret. yards, 1 ret. TD vs Iowa

Joe Williams, Utah, 57.4%

  • 25 carries, 91 yards, 2 TD, 22 rec. yards vs BYU

James Butler, Nevada, 54.8%

  • 24 carries, 189 yards, 2 TD vs Colorado St

Romello Ross, Central Michigan, 51.4%

  • 19 carries, 100 yards, 1 TD, 28 rec. yards vs Minnesota

Joel Bouagnon, Northern Illinois, 48.5%

  • 8 carries, 16 yards vs Boise

*Tyler Ervin, SJSU, 45.1%

  • 30 carries, 132 yards, 98 return yards vs Georgia State

Johnny Jefferson, Baylor, 42.7%

  • 23 carries, 299 yards, 3 TD, 24 pass yards vs UNC

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 40.1%

  • 29 carries, 212 yards, 4 TD, 44 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Texas Tech

Donnel Pumphrey, SDSU, 39.9%

  • 25 carries, 99 yards, 1 TD, 19 rec. yards, 16 pass yards vs Cincinnati

Marcus Cox, Appalachian State, 37.9%

  • 24 carries, 162 yards, 1 TD vs Ohio

Bowl season and pretty much everything else for the last two months (except the Heisman) has belonged to Christian McCaffrey. If there’s a single bowl season performance worth going back to re-watch, it’s him in the Rose Bowl. I know this is going to sound absurd, and there will almost certainly be “white running back” stereotypes to overcome, but I think he’s a borderline Reggie Bush caliber prospect… Johnny Jefferson might be the only player in McCaffrey’s tier of bowl-studliness. When looking at his bowl game and last regular season game, he rushed for 457 yards on 46 carries. Bye bye, Shock Linwood. Heeeeeeereeee’s Johnny!… Keep an eye on Marcus Cox next year for App State. That program is on the rise and he’s their best offensive player.

 

Seasonal RB Leaders

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 44.3% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 42%

  • 6’1, 230lbs, Sophomore

*Devontae Booker, Utah, 41.2%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Senior

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 40.7%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, Sophomore

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 39.7%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 39.2%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, Sophomore

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 37.2%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, Sophomore

Justin Jackson, Northwestern, 37.2%

  • 5’11, 190lbs, Sophomore

*Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 36.8%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

*Derrick Henry, Alabama, 36.1%

  • 6’3, 242lbs, Junior

*Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 35.9%

  • 6’0, 225lbs, Junior

What a remarkable year for college running backs. Not sure how else to say it. And even though  Zeke, Derrick and Devontae are off to the NFL, next year will be loaded to with many of the names on this list returning and a few others like Royce Freeman, Marlon Mack, Saquon Barkley and more to sprinkle in… And for the record, I’m still not over the fact that Derrick Henry won the Heisman, depsite accounting for roughly eight percent less of his offense than McCaffrey did on similarly outstanding teams.

 

Seasonal RB Leaders – Pass Catching

Taquan Mizzell, Virginia, 25.2% of team’s receiving yards

  • 5’10, 195lb, Junior

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 21.8%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

*Jalin Marshall, Ohio State, 21.3%

  • 5’11, 205lbs, RS-Sophomore

Ervin Phillips, Syracuse, 21.3%

  • 5’11, 181lbs, Sophomore

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 20.9%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Arkeel Newsome, Connecticut, 19.3%

  • 5’7, 182lbs, Sophomore

Clinton Lynch, Georgia Tech, 18.7%

  • 6’0, 181lbs, Freshman

*Dwayne Washington, Washington, 17.5%

  • 6’2, 226lbs, Junior

Papi White, Ohio, 17.5%

  • 5’9, 166lbs, Freshman

Raekwon James, Kent State, 17.3%

  • 5’9, 187lbs, Freshman

Ben Lewis, Syracuse, 16.5%

  • 6’2, 213lbs, Junior

*Devontae Booker, Utah, 15.5%

  • 5’11, 212lbs, Senior

This is a new category and I’m not entirely sure how relevant it is, but I thought it was interesting. Two of the more head-scratching NFL Draft early entries – Marshall and Washington – show up on this list, which could help explain their entries despite their substandard rushing production… On the other hand, Devontae Booker is a badass on all fronts… And shoutout to Donnel Pumphrey, who appears on both the overall running back leaderboard and the pass-catching back leaderboard. He’s so tiny, but so talented.

Service academy footnotes: Timothy McVey (Air Force, 22.2%), John Trainor (Army, 20.1%), DeBrandon Sanders (Navy, 19.5%)

 

Wide Receivers of Bowl Season

*Malcolm Mitchell, Georgia, 70.8% of team’s receiving yards

  • 5 rec., 114 yards, 1 TD vs Penn State

Isaiah Ford, Virginia Tech, 66%

  • 12 rec., 227 yards, 1 TD, 23 rush yards vs Tulsa

Josh Reynolds, Texas A&M, 57.7%

  • 11 rec., 177 yards vs Louisville

Jerico Richardson, Nevada, 56.8%

  • 4 rec,. 42 yards vs Colorado St

*Cayleb Jones, Arizona, 55.3%

  • 4 rec., 182 yards, 1 TD vs New Mexico

Corey Davis, Western Michigan, 55.3%

  • 8 rec., 183 yards, 1 TD vs MTSU

Justin Holmes, SJSU, 53.9%

  • 3 rec., 48 yards vs Georgia State

*Mike Thomas, Southern Miss, 53.8%

  • 9 rec., 190 yards, 2 TD, 34 ret. yards vs Washington

Andrew Pratt, Akron, 51.6%

  • 9 rec., 94 yards vs Utah State

Travis Rudolph, Florida State, 50.6%

  • 7 rec., 201 yards, 1 TD vs Houston

Good on Malcolm Mitchell to finish an adventurous career with an epic performance in his bowl game. I’m not that high on him as a prospect (for now), but going over 100 yards and 70% of his team’s passing offense is ridiculous… DEVY OWNERS – keep an eye on Isaiah Ford. He’s just 19 years old, went nuts in his bowl game and accounted for nearly 40% of his team’s receiving yards on the year. That is ELITE… Finally, be aware of Mike Thomas from Southern Miss. Not to be confused with Mike Thomas from Ohio State or a million other Mike Thomases. This kid can play and is almost certainly a top 10 receiver in this draft for me. Much more to come on him.

 

Seasonal WR Leaders

*Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 47.2% of team’s receiving yards

  • 5’10, 175lbs, Senior

*Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 43.6% of receiving yards

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 43.6%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, Junior

*Tajae Sharpe, UMass, 42.7%

  • 6’3, 188lbs, Senior

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 41.8%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Junior

Isaiah Ford, Virginia Tech, 39.6%

  • 6’2, 188lbs, Sophomore

Chris Godwin, Penn State, 39.5%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Sophomore

*Tyler Boyd, Pitt, 39.5%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, Junior

*Pharoh Cooper, South Carolina, 39.1%

  • 5’11, 207lbs, Junior

Kenny Golladay, Northern Illinois, 38.7%

  • 6’4, 200lbs, Junior

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 38.5%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Sophomore

Corey Davis (my love), Western Michigan, 38.4%

  • 6’3, 205lbs, Junior

*Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 38.4%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Senior

Exciting to see that this leaderboard is peppered with players who will be in the 2016 NFL Draft. I’ve already written about a number of them at RotoViz and plan to hit more in the coming weeks:

Looking ahead to 2016, Ford, Godwin, Juju and Corey Davis are among the top returning receiver prospects… About Dezmon Epps, he only played six games this year, and he’s miniature, but he was really good in those games, so I cheated a bit on my games played requirement and included him for draft awareness purposes.

Service Academy footnotes: Jamir Tillman (51.3%, Navy), Edgar Poe (44.6%, Army)

Jerome Lane footnotes: 32% of Akron’s yards

 

Tight Ends of Bowl Season

Cole Hikutini, Louisville, 45.4% of team’s receiving yards

  • 3 rec., 103 yards vs NC State

O.J. Howard, Alabama, 45% (2 games)

  • 8 rec., 267 yards, 2 TD vs Michigan St, Clemson

Pharoah McKever, NC State, 38.3%

  • 1 rec., 82 yards, 1 TD vs Mississippi State

Alex Ellis, Tennessee, 38.1%

  • 3 rec., 74 yards vs Northwestern

Ari Werts, Georgia State, 30.3%

  • 3 rec., 63 yards vs SJSU

*Hunter Henry, Arkansas, 29.2%

  • 5 rec., 92 yards vs Kansas State

*Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 29%

  • 2 rec., 42 yards vs Minnesota

Alec Bloom, UConn, 27.9%

  • 2 rec., 24 yards vs Marshall

Evan Engram, Ole Miss, 27.7%

  • 6 rec., 96 yards vs Oklahoma State

Barrett Burns, Appalachian St, 25.8%

  • 3 rec., 32 yards, 2 TD vs Ohio

After years of hearing about O.J. Howard and not seeing any production, it was exciting to see him blow up in the National Championship game. Paging Lane Kiffin, please use him more next year… Hunter Henry is a name you need to know, if you don’t already. Probably my top TE prospect for the 2016 Draft.

 

Seasonal TE Leaders

*David Morgan II, UTSA, 24.4% of team’s receiving yards

  • 6’4, 260lbs, Senior

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 24%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, Junior

*Rodney Mills, UMass, 21.9%

  • 6’1, 205lbs, Senior

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 21.8%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, Sophomore

O.J. Howard, Alabama, 21.2%

  • 6’6, 242lbs, Junior

*Dan Vitale, Northwestern, 21.2%

  • 6’2, 235lbs, Senior

*Hunter Henry, Arkansas, 21.2%

  • 6’5, 253lbs, Junior

Jake Butt, Michigan, 21.2%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, Junior

Billy Freeman, SJSU, 21.2%

  • 6’3, 232lbs, Junior

*Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 20.9%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, Senior

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 20.5%

  • 6’3, 245lbs, R-Sophomore

Brandon Lingen, Minnesota, 20.2%

  • 6’5, 247lbs, Sophomore

The 2016 TE class looks like it’s going to take a hit by not having Serigne, Hodges, Butt and Engram not declare, but I’m intrigued by what David Morgan II and, to a lesser extent, Matt Weiser might have to offer.

 

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 91.3% of team’s return yards

  • 5’11, 170lbs, Junior

Brisly Estime, Syracuse, WR, 89.6%

  • 5’9, 178lbs, Junior

*Derek Keaton, Georgia Southern, WR, 89.6%

  • 5’11, 185lbs, Senior

Kylen Towner, Western Kentucky, WR, 89.4%

  • 5’8, 175lbs, Sophomore

*Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 87.3%

  • 5’7, 161lbs, Senior

KaVontae Turpin, TCU, WR, 86.7%

  • 5’9, 152lbs, Freshman

*Deandre Reaves, Marshall, WR, 86.2%

  • 5’10, 179lbs, Senior

*Tyler Ervin, SJSU, RB, 85.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, RB, 84.6%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

*Jakeem Grant, Texas Tech, WR, 83.6%

  • 5’7, 168lbs, Senior

I’ve written in the past about how special teams contributions are a key to finding hidden value, and I’m curious about how Jakeem Grant will fare in the coming months. He’s pretty dynamic and looked great against LSU in his bowl game.

And, yes, I’m aware that I used the same Christian McCaffrey photo on this article and the last in-season one, but he’s earned it.

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The College Football Market Share Report – Week 13 Recap

Hope you had a nice Thanksgiving holiday last week. Because of the holiday I got behind on work and didn’t publish a report. We have just one week left of the regular season and many players are already finished with their regular seasons.

How you might want to interact with this article:
1) Skim the dense parts and read the summaries at the end of each section
2) Find rockstar performances and focus on those in your film-watching endeavors
3) Leave a comment so I can make this content even more beneficial to you

Let’s get to it.

Quarterbacks of the week

Shuler Bentley, Old Dominion, 93.8% of team’s offensive yards

  • 24-42, 287 yards, 3 TD, 18 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs FAU

Blake Kemp, East Carolina, 90.4%

  • 33-50, 315 yards, 1 TD, 33 rush yards vs. Cincinnati

Dane Evans, Tulsa, 87.7%

  • 19-32, 367 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT @ Tulane

Keenan Reynolds, Navy, 86.3%

  • 13-16, 312 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 84 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Houston

Peyton Bender, Washington State, 84.6%

  • 36-58, 288 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT @ Washington

Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 84.4%

  • 27-44, 355 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT vs. Southern Miss

Mitch Leidner, Minnesota, 84.4%

  • 16-37, 223 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT, 10 yards vs. Wisconsin

Jared Goff, Cal, 84.3%

  • 30-51, 542 yards, 5 TD, 31 rush yards vs. Arizona State

Tim Boyle, Connecticut, 82.6%

  • 12-20, 121 yards, 1 INT @ Temple

Brandon Silvers, Troy, 82.4%

  • 20-45, 284 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 15 rush yards, 9 rec. yards @ Georgia State

Keenan Reynolds’ Heisman hopes took a hit with Navy’s loss at Houston, but there’s not much more he could have done. He was brilliant… Jared Goff killed it against ASU and got a shoutout in the latest RotoViz College Football Show. I’m not sure he’s a first round quarterback, but he certainly made a strong closing argument over the final few weeks.

 

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 76.8% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’4, 205lbs, Sophomore

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 76.1%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 75.5%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, Junior

Dak Prescott, Mississippi State, 73%

  • 6’2, 230lbs, Senior

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 71.8%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, Freshman

Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 69.5%

  • 6’4, 231lbs, Senior

Riley Neal, Ball State, 68.7%

  • 6’5, 217lbs, Freshman

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 68.2%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, Senior

Jared Goff, Cal, 67.9%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Junior

Alex McGough, FIU, 67.5%

  • 6’3, 218lbs, Sophomore

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 67.5%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Junior

In case you missed it, Collin Cowherd had a rant about how the SEC has no good quarterbacks and the Big 10 has so many. Prescott and Kelly both appear on this list, which doesn’t necessarily have anything to do with their NFL ability, but I think they, at worst, have been tremendous college quarterbacks and were perhaps too easily dismissed by Cowherd… Also, say what’s up to Jeff Driskel. I professed my curiosity about him on the Chris Burke’s “On The Clock” podcast and I think he could end up being selected in the back half of the draft.

 

Running Backs of the week

Timothy McVey, Air Force, 67.4% of team’s offensive yards

  • 12 carries, 105 yards, 2 TD, 157 rec. yards, 3 rec. TD @ New Mexico

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 63.8%

  • 26 carries, 183 yards, 2 TD, 11 rec. yards @ Florida

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 61.8%

  • 32 carries, 159 yards, 1 TD, 43 rec. yards vs. Texas A&M

Chris Warren III, Texas, 61.7%

  • 25 carries, 276 yards, 4 TD, 12 rec. yards vs. Texas Tech

Kelvin Taylor, Florida, 58.8%

  • 24 carries, 136 yards, 18 rec. yards vs FSU

Derrick Henry, Alabama, 58.3%

  • 46 carries, 271 yards, 1 TD @ Auburn

Joe Williams, Utah, 57.7%

  • 34 carries, 187 yards, 1 TD vs Colorado

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 56%

  • 17 carries, 140 yards, 2 TD @ Nebraska

Ryan Nall, Oregon State, 53.4%

  • 19 carries, 174 yards, 1 TD, 54 rec. yards @ Oregon

Marquis Young, UMass, 53.1%

  • 35 carries, 240 yards, 3 TD, 3 rec. yards @ Buffalo

I don’t watch hardly any Air Force football, but McVey’s performance might be worth going back to see. No matter how you slice it, he was spectacular… Texas fans might be excited about freshman Chris Warren’s first big game, but keep in mind it was against Texas Tech, which has one of the nation’s worst run defenses… Jordan Canzeri was one of the Seasonal RB Leaders for much of the first half of the season until he got injured. To see him back healthy for the Big 10 championship is huge for Iowa.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 42.3% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’1, 230lbs, Sophomore

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 41.5%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, Sophomore

Devontae Booker, Utah, 41.2%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Senior

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 40.7%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, Sophomore

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 40.1%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 40%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 38.9%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, Sophomore

Derrick Henry, Alabama, 37.5%

  • 6’3, 242lbs, Junior

Justin Jackson, Northwestern, 37.4%

  • 5’11, 190lbs, Sophomore

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 36.3%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 35.9%

  • 6’0, 225lbs, Junior

Leonard Fournette probably isn’t going to win the Heisman, but his 2015 was remarkable. Same with Dalvin Cook. The college running back landscape is in great hands with both of them back for 2016… The likely winner is Derrick Henry who has been creeping up this list in recent weeks. He should wrap up the award with a 100 yards performance in the SEC title game… More on McCaffrey in a minute.

 

Wide Receivers of the Week

Thadd Smith, Boston College, 100% of team’s receiving yards

  • 1 rec. 9 yards @ Syracuse

Tre’Quan Smith, UCF, 87.9%

  • 7 rec. 102 yards vs USF

Tajae Sharpe, UMass, 84.7%

  • 6 rec. 138 yards @ Buffalo

Alex Erickson, Wisconsin, 83.5%

  • 6 rec. 66 yards, 12 ret. yards @ Minnesota

Shelton Gibson, West Virginia, 73.3%

  • 6 rec. 148 yards, 1 TD, 53 ret. yards vs Iowa State

Courtland Sutton, SMU, 70.3%

  • 2 rec. 45 yards @ Memphis

Trent Bostick, Charlotte, 70.3%

  • 6 rec. 111 yards, 1 TD @ Rice

Warren Redix, UTEP, 60.9%

  • 3 rec. 42 yards, 1 TD, 27 rush yards, 2 ret. yards @ North Texas

Wesley Leftwich, Missouri, 59%

  • 3 rec. 49 yards @ Arkansas

Keyarris Garrett, Tulsa, 58.9%

  • 10 rec. 216 yards, 1 TD @ Tulane

Will Fuller, Notre Dame, 58.1%

  • 6 rec. 136 yards, 1 TD @ Stanford

Tajae Sharpe finished his career with a bang and has delivered on the promise he showed earlier in his career… A million years ago Keyarris Garrett was an intriguing prospect from Tulsa, but injuries and the decline of the Tulsa program set him back. His size will make him a prospect worth monitoring throughout the next few months… West Virginia has gone run-heavy over the second half of this season, but Shelton Gibson is a star in the making for that team. Keep an eye on him next year to breakout on a bigger scale.

Seasonal WR Leaders

Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 43.6% of receiving yards

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 43.6%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, Junior

Tajae Sharpe, UMass, 42.7%

  • 6’3, 188lbs, Senior

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 41.7%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Junior

Kenny Golladay, Northern Illinois, 40.6%

  • 6’4, 200lbs, Junior

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 40.2%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Senior

Tyler Boyd, Pitt, 39.5%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, Junior

Pharoh Cooper, South Carolina, 39.1%

  • 5’11, 207lbs, Junior

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 38.7%

  • 6’2, 215lbs, Sophomore

Chris Godwin, Penn State, 38.6%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Sophomore

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 37.5%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, Senior

Minus Laquon Treadwell, nearly every prospect that I expect to be at the center of the 2016 draft conversation is on this list: Carroo, Sharpe, Burbridge, Boyd and Cooper… Looking ahead to next year, JuJu Smith-Schuster will almost certainly be the unicorn wide receiver prospect. He has led the team in receiving yards in ten of 12 games this year and just recently turned 19 in his sophomore year. Beast mode.

Service Academy footnotes: Jamir Tillman (53.4%, Navy), Edgar Poe (41.0%, Army)

Jerome Lane footnotes: 33.1% of Akron’s yards

 

Tight Ends of the week

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 56.5% of team’s receiving yards

  • 1 rec., 35 yards @ Georgia Southern

Jacob Hollister, Wyoming, 48%

  • 5 rec., 119 yards, 1 TD vs. UNLV

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 47.1%

  • 6 rec., 97 yards, 5 rush yards vs UNC

Reece White, New Mexico, 43%

  • 1 rec., 58 yards vs Air Force

Keith Rucker, Georgia State, 41.8%

  • 10 rec. 154 yards vs. Troy

Deon Watson, Idaho, 40.1%

  • 5 rec., 124 yards, 2 TD vs. Texas State

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 39.9%

  • 5 rec., 135 yards, 1 TD vs. Duke

George Kittle, Iowa, 36.1%

  • 2 rec., 35 yards, 1 TD @ Nebraska

Metuisela ‘Unga, Hawaii, 34.5%

  • 1 rec., 40 yards vs ULM

Billy Freeman, San Jose State, 32.4%

  • 7 rec., 109 yards, 1 TD vs. Boise State

I’ve got nothing here.

 

Seasonal TE Leaders

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 24.6% of team’s receiving yards

  • 6’4, 225lbs, Junior

David Morgan II, UTSA, 24.4%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, Senior

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 23.7%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, Sophomore

Jake Butt, Michigan, 22%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, Junior

Rodney Mills, UMass, 21.9%

  • 6’1, 205lbs, Senior

Billy Freeman, SJSU, 21.7%

  • 6’3, 232lbs, Junior

Dan Vitale, Northwestern, 21.2%

  • 6’2, 235lbs, Senior

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 20.9%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, Senior

Brandon Lingen, Minnesota, 20.8%

  • 6’5, 247lbs, Sophomore

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 20.5

  • 6’3, 245lbs, R-Sophomore

Bucky Hodges, Virginia Tech, 20.5%

  • 6’7, 241lbs, R-Sophomore

Since SJSU’s top receiver got hurt, Billy Freeman has slowly climbed this list. He’s a bit undersized, but has had a really strong season… As we get into early-declarations for the NFL Draft, keep an eye on Hodges, Serigne, and Butt. They are among the handful of underclassmen who could declare to make this class magnitudes better than the 2015 crop.

 

Special Teams Studs of the week

Deandre Reaves, Marshall, WR, 221 return yards, 1 TD, 45 rec. yards @ WKU

Daje Johnson, Texas, WR, 194 ret. yards, 3 rec. yards vs. Texas Tech

C.J. Sanders, Notre Dame, WR, 190 ret. yards, 1 TD @ Stanford

Victor Bolden, Oregon State, WR, 182 ret. yards, 1 TD, 43 rec. yards, 11 rush yards @ Oregon

Alex Ross, Oklahoma, RB, 170 ret. yards @ Oklahoma State

Derek Keaton, Georgia Southern, WR, 164 ret. yards, 23 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs. South Alabama

Derrick Dick, UTSA, WR, 156 ret. yards vs. Middle Tennessee

Quadree Henderson, Pitt, WR, 145 ret. yards vs. Miami FL

Kesean Strong, Old Dominion, RB, 140 ret. yards, 20 rec. yards vs. FAU

Joe Hansley, Colorado State, WR, 136 ret. yards, 2 ret. TD, 46 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Fresno State

I don’t know what Joe Hansley had for breakfast on Saturday, but I want some. DAYUM, kid!

 

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Kylen Towner, Western Kentucky, WR, 91.9% of team’s return yards

  • 5’8, 175lbs, Sophomore

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 91.3

  • 5’11, 170lbs, Junior

Brisly Estime, Syracuse, WR, 89.6%

  • 5’9, 178lbs, Junior

Tyler Ervin, SJSU, RB, 88.8%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Derek Keaton, Georgia Southern, WR, 88.3%

  • 5’11, 185lbs, Senior

Scott Miller, BGSU, WR, 88.2%

  • 5’10, 162lbs, Freshman

KaVontae Turpin, TCU, WR, 87.7%

  • 5’9, 152lbs, Freshman

Jakeem Grant, Texas Tech, WR, 86%

  • 5’7, 168lbs, Senior

Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 85.9%

  • 5’7, 161lbs, Senior

Deandre Reaves, Marshall, WR, 85.5%

  • 5’10, 179lbs, Senior

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, RB, 82.6%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

I promised more commentary on Christian McCaffrey and here it is. In addition to ranking sixth among all running backs in terms of market share of offensive yards, he also ranks highly for market share of special teams return yardage. In almost any other year, he would be the Heisman front runner and I’m not sure it would be particularly close.

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 5 Recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense.

By tracking these stats on a weekly basis in season, my hope is that we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment. For instance, this week I’ve added height and weight based on a reader request.

Be warned that this article is dense with numbers. I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section.

**Finally, if you are introduced to any new players through this article, and you end up writing about them, please link back to this work. Thanks!**

Quarterbacks of the week

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 93.2%

  • 21 – 36, 232 pass yards, 3 TD, 3 INT, 28 rush yards vs. Georgia Southern

Brent Stockstill, MTSU, 92.8%

  • 32 – 51, 286 pass yards, 1 TD, 11 rush yards vs Vanderbilt

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 91.9%

  • 18 – 29, 394 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -22 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs Liberty

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 91.2%

  • 26 – 40, 259 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 40 rush yards @ Florida

Luke Falk, Washington State, 90.3%

  • 35 – 49, 389 pass yards, 2 pass TD, 1 INT, -25 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Cal

Riley Neal, Ball State, 90.1%

  • 23 – 37, 236 pass yards, 1 pass TD vs Toledo

Ryan Metz, UTEP, 88%

  • 23 – 49, 216 pass yards, 1 TD, 4 INT, 26 rush yards vs UTSA

Thomas Sirk, Duke, 87.7%

  • 18 – 36, 195 pass yards, 5 rush yards vs Boston College

DeShone Kizer, Notre Dame, 87.2%

  • 19 – 34, 321 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 60 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Clemson

Patrick Towles, Kentucky, 84.6%

  • 29 – 42, 329 pass yards, 3 pass TD, 2 INT, -4 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs EKU

The two names that stand out to me on this list are Chad Kelly and DeShone Kizer, both quarterbacks from top 10 teams that lost on the road this week. Yes, they both had an interception, but otherwise performed pretty impressively. I think this just speaks to the idea that every quarterback needs a running game to keep the defense honest.

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 82.8%

  • 6’4, 205lbs, SO

Garrett Smith, Lousiana-Monroe, 80.7%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, FR

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 78.6%

  • 6’3, 220lbs, SR

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 76%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, SR

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 75%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, JR

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 74.5%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, SR

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 74.5%

  • 6’2, 220lbs, SO

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 73.9%

  • 6’3, 214lbs, SO

Matt Davis, SMU, 72.9%

  • 6’0, 212lbs, JR

Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma, 72.8%

  • 6’1, 209lbs, JR

Of quarterbacks on top 25 teams, Baker Mayfield is pretty easily the “best” quarterback, in terms of market share of offense. Obviously his passing contributions go a long way, but Mayfield gets a huge boost from his legs, having accounted for 21% of Oklahoma’s rushing yards. Prior to a season closing stretch @Baylor, vs TCU, @OK State, he’s got a good chance to get his team to 9-0 and get into the discussion as a serious contender for the Heisman … elsewhere in the top 25, Mason Rudolph (Oklahoma State) has quietly amassed 66.8% of his offense, while national-sweetheart Trevone Boykin (TCU) stands at 64.9%. For reference, the last four Heisman-winning quarterbacks averaged 64.6% of their team’s yards… the best top 25 quarterback from a conference other than the Big 12 is Ole Miss’s Chad Kelly (62.9%).

Running Backs of the week

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 62.9%

  • 125 rush yards, 14 rec yards @ Wisconsin

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 62.5%

  • 260 rush yards, 3 rush TD @ New Mexico

Alex Gardner, FIU, 62.2%

  • 59 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 58 rec. yards @ UMass

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 60.4%

  • 160 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 12 rec. yards @ Marshall

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 57.9%

  • 208 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 8 rec. yards @ Appalachian State

Arkeel Newsome, Connecticut, 57%

  • 68 rush yards, 63 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 17 return yards @ BYU

Marcus Cox, Appalachian State, 56.7%

  • 178 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs Wyoming

Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 55.3%

  • 274 rush yards, 3 rush TD, 12 rec. yards @ Indiana

Jarveon Williams, UTSA, 53.1%

  • 133 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 45 rec. yards @ UTEP

Markell Jones, Purdue, 52.8%

  • 157 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 2 rec. yards @ Michigan State

Ezekiel Elliott brought his Superman cape to Bloomington and almost single-handedly lifted the Buckeyes past the Hoosiers. Elliott’s young dominance puts him in rare company… Iowa’s Jordan Canzeri not only lifted Iowa past Wisconsin, but he’s also elevated the program into the top 25 in both polls for the first time since 2010… Purdue’s Markell Jones is the reigning Mr. Football in Indiana and made his first big splash on the national scene against Michigan State. Recently turning 19 years old, he’s an exciting true freshman to monitor.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 51%

  • 6’1, 230lbs, SO

Aaron Jones, UTEP, 51%

  • 5’10, 205lbs, JR

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 48.5%

  • 5’10, 201lbs, SO

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 45.6%

  • 5’10, 180lbs, JR

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 43.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, SR

Devontae Booker, Utah, 39.2%

  • 5’11, 212lbs, SR

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 38.7%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, SO

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 36.6%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, SO

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 36.2%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, JR

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 35.9%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, SO

BREAKING: Leonard Fournette is having a dominant season… Confession: I just realized that UTEP’s Aaron Jones is out for the season with an ankle injury. The minimum number of games played to appear in the seasonal leaderboards is two; he’ll phase out next week… I need to find an Old Dominion game to watch. Ray Lawry was solid last year and has been amazing so far this year too.

Wide Receivers of the week

Edgar Poe, Army, 100%

  • 32 rec yards, 15 return yards @ Penn State

Garrett Brown, Air Force, 87.7%

  • 64 rec. yards, 45 rush yards, 15 return yards @ Navy

Matt VandeBerg, Iowa, 79.2%

  • 61 rec. yards @ Wisconsin

Ajalen Holley, Louisiana-Monroe, 71.6%

  • 166 rec. yards vs Georgia Southern

Thadd Smith, Boston College, 70.2%

  • 99 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Duke

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 67.7%

  • 136 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Southern Mississippi

Calvin Ridley, Alabama, 63.2%

  • 120 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Georgia

Roger Lewis, Bowling Green, 62%

  • 201 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Buffalo

Malcolm Mitchell, Georgia, 61.3%

  • 65 rec. yards vs Alabama

Zach Pascal, Old Dominion, 59.4%

  • 60 rec. yards, 24 ret. yards @ Marshall

Alabama freshman Calvin Ridley came into this season as the #1 (or #2, depending on where you look) wide receiver recruit in the country and broke out in a big way against Georgia. For a Crimson Tide team still trying to replace Amari Cooper, and injured an Robert Foster, Ridley’s emergence could have huge implications… BG’s Roger Lewis now has three games of at least 200 yards and one touchdown this season. That’s a good career for most people… And, yes, there’s a guy named Edgar Poe on this list. Nevermore shall I include service academy players.

Seasonal WR Leaders

Jamir Tillman, Navy, 65.5%

  • 6’4, 206lbs, JR

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 53%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, JR

Garrett Brown, Air Force, 52.9%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, SR

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 51.2%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, SR

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 50.4%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, JR

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 49%

  • 5’10, 174lbs, JR

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 48.8%

  • 5’10, 175lbs, SR

Jordan Villamin, Oregon State, 46.6%

  • 6’5, 231lbs, SO

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 45.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, JR

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 44.9%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, JR

Off the bye week, and thanks to the slide of others, Daniel Braverman makes his first appearance on this list. I came into this season, and still am, higher on his teammate Corey Davis, but what Braverman has done so far this season has been spectacular. He has at least 10 receptions and 100 receiving yards in every game, including contests against Michigan State and Ohio State.

Tight Ends of the week

Cethan Carter, Nebraska, 60%

  • 63 rec. yards @ Illinois

Sam Browning, Eastern Michigan, 54%

  • 87 rec. yards @ LSU

Bucky Hodges, Virginia Tech, 46.2%

  • 42 rec. yards vs Pittsburgh

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 41%

  • 75 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Louisville

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 38.6%

  • 83 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Florida State

Colin Jeter, LSU, 35%

  • 28 rec. yards vs Eastern Michigan

Jason Reese, Missouri, 34.6%

  • 47 rec. yards vs South Carolina

Jake Butt, Michigan, 33.9%

  • 61 rec. yards @ Maryland

Jeremiah Gaines, SMU, 33.2%

  • 96 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs ECU

Sean Price, South Florida, 33.2%

  • 66 rec. yard vs Memphis

Hey, Bucky Hodges, good to see you! The 20 year old, third-year TE from Virginia Tech came into the season with high expectations and has been solid, if unspectacular so far. It’s good to see him surpass 40 yards in three of his last four games.

Seasonal TE Leaders

Elkanah Dillon, USF, 32.5%

  • 6’5, 245lbs, FR

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 29.5%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, JR

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 28.3%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, SO

David Morgan II, UTSA, 25.6%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, SR

Jake Butt, Michigan, 24.5%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, JR

Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 22.3%

  • 6’4, 240lbs, SR

Scott Orndoff, Pittsburgh, 22.1%

  • 6’5, 265lbs, JR

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 21.3%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, SR

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 21.2%

  • 6’3, 245lbs, SO

Hayden Plinke, UTEP, 21%

  • 6’4, 255lbs, JR

The three seniors on this list – Morgan II, McCord and Weiser all have at least one 100-yard game this season. I know that athletic underclassmen like O.J. Howard, Evan Engram and Hunter Henry get lots of attention, but these three are really helping their prospect status in their final season.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Nyheim Hines, NC State, WR, 169 return yards vs Louisville

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR 134 ret. yards @ SMU

Tim White, Arizona State, WR, 129 ret. yards @ UCLA

Artavis Scott, Clemson, WR, 128 ret. yards vs Notre Dame

Eddie Daugherty, Eastern Michigan, WR, 126 ret. yards @ LSU

Jordan Franks, UCF, WR, 125 ret. yards @ Tulane

Charles Nelson, Oregon, WR, 124 ret. yards @ Colorado

Maurice Thomas, Miami OH, RB, 120 ret. yards @ Kent State

Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 112 ret. yards vs South Alabama

Kermit Whitfield, Florida State, WR, 111 ret. yards @ Wake Forest

Artavis Scott is the most exciting name here. The Clemson sophomore only had one return attempt in 2014, but already has 13 so far this season. The fact that the coaches trusted him in the return game in the rainy conditions against Notre Dame is an encouraging sign… Jordan Franks is a name to keep an eye on. He was a 3-star recruit as a LB / WR and appeared in 13 games on defense as a freshman in 2014. He’s now playing on offense and, apparently, returning kicks. At 6’3 225lbs, he must possess some pretty unique athleticism.

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 109 return yards/game

  • 5’11, 170lbs, JR

Brisly Estine, Syracuse, WR, 108.8

  • 5’9, 178lbs, JR

Byron Marshall, Oregon, WR, 96.3

  • 5’10, 205lbs, SR

Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 83.5

  • 5’7, 161bs, SR

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M, WR, 83.4

  • 5’11, 200lbs, FR

J.D. McKissic, Arkansas State, WR, 81.2

  • 5’11, 193lbs, SR

Kylen Towner, Western Kentucky, WR, 80.2

  • 5’8, 175lbs, SO

Eric Hawkins, Arkansas, WR, 79.5

  • 5’11, 180lbs, JR

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR, 79.4

  • 5’10, 177lbs, SO

Devin Fuller, UCLA, WR, 78.8

  • 6’0, 200lbs, SR

Byron Marshall is out for the year with injury and Christian Kirk is still awesome; he received four carries last game in addition to WR and return duties. Translation: Kevin Sumlin, one of the best offensive-minded coaches on planet Earth, has realized that this kid needs touches however he can manufacture them… J.D. McKissic is a small school guy who accounted for 29% of his team’s receiving yards in 2012 (age 19 season). He has more than 2,500 receiving yards for his career and 200 rush yards. He could be a sneaky prospect to keep an eye on.

Questions

  1. The defensive metrics were removed this week. Do you want them back?
  2. What else could I provide to make this article more helpful for you?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.

 

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 3 recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense.

In the past, my prospect analysis has typically waited until after the season to get going, but by tracking these metrics on a weekly basis in season we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment.

As this is somewhat dense with numbers, I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section.

Quarterbacks of the week

Shuler Bentley, Old Dominion, 93.9% of team’s offensive yards

  • 151 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, -12 rush yards vs NC State

Blake Frohnapfel, UMass, 87.4%

  • 393 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -10 rush yards vs Temple

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 87.1%

  • 484 pass yards, 3 TD, 2 INT, 11 rush yards @ Indiana

P.J. Walker, Temple, 83.6%

  • 391 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, -8 rush yards @ UMass

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 83.6%

  • 341 pass yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 21 rush yards @ Alabama

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 83.6%

  • 443 pass yards, 4 TD, 0 INT, 41 rush yards vs Memphis

Jake Browning, Washington, 83%

  • 368 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -1 rush yards vs Utah State

C.J. Beathard, Iowa, 81.8%

  • 258 pass yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 39 rush yards vs Pitt

Jerrod Heard, Texas, 81.1%

  • 364 pass yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 163 rush yards vs California

Tyler Jones, Texas State, 79.5%

  • 310 pass yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 160 rush yards vs Southern Miss

There’s a lot to talk about here. Texas’ Jerrod Heard went bananas on national TV against Cal and drew comparisons to Vince Young… Chad “Swag” Kelly took Ole Miss on the road and defeated Alabama. No small feat. The Rebels are now the #3 ranked team in the country… It looks like Washington coach Chris Petersen (formerly at Boise) has his new Kellen Moore. Somewhat undersized freshman Jake Browning has been great so far… Finally, shoutout to Tyler Jones from Texas State, who Benjamin Allbright and I were discussing on Twitter late last week and then Jones proceeds to put up 470 yards of total offense.  Maybe undersized, maybe from a small conference, but maybe really awesome? Time will tell.

QB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Luke Falk, Washington State, 80.5%

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 78.8%

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 77.5%

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 77.0%

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 76.8%

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 75.5%

Johnny McCrary, Vanderbilt, 75.1%

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 74.1%

Matt Davis, SMU, 73.4%

Blake Kemp, East Carolina, 73.2%

Nothing too surprising here – three quarterbacks from pass-happy teams leading the way – but this is probably a helpful list to keep in mind for finding undervalued DFS quarterbacks.

Running backs of the week

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 58.1% of team’s offensive yards

  • 15 rush yards, 71 receiving yards, 1 rec. TD vs NC State

Demario Richard, Arizona State, 56.8%

  • 104 rush yards, 4 receptions, 151 receiving yards, 2 rec. TD vs New Mexico

Devontae Booker, Utah, 55.8%

  • 156 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 5 receptions, 56 receiving yards @ Fresno

Paul Perkins, UCLA, 54.5%

  • 219 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs BYU

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 51.5%

  • 102 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 5 receptions, 55 receiving yards vs South Alabama

Justin Jackson, Northwestern, 50.9%

  • 120 rush yards, 2 receptions, 18 receiving yards @ Duke

Nick Holley, Kent State, 50%

  • 58 rush yards, 3 receptions, 13 receiving yards @ Minnesota

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 48.9%

  • 228 rush yards, 3 rush TD, 1 reception, 9 rec. yards vs Auburn

Tyler Ervin, SJSU, 48.6%

  • 93 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 6 receptions, 30 rec. yards @ Oregon State

Joel Bouagnon, Northern Illinois, 45.3%

  • 78 rush yards, 3 receptions, 8 rec. yards @ Ohio State

On a team with national championship aspirations, but lead by a freshman quarterback, UCLA’s Paul Perkins is quietly putting together a fantastic season. If he can continue to take the load of Josh Rosen and the Bruins win the Pac-12 South (two BIG ifs) I would think Perkins would be a Heisman finalist. And he’s not just a one-hit wonder; he balled in 2014 too.

RB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 51.3%

Aaron Jones, UTEP, 51.0%

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 48.2%

Devontae Booker, Utah, 45.1%

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 44.6%

Kareem Hunt, Toledo, 41.7%

Devon Johnson, Marshall, 38.4%

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 38.0%

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 37.5%

Demario Richard, Arizona State, 37.5%

Maybe you’ve never heard of Ray Lawry (2017 eligible), but it’s time to start paying attention. The 5’11 200b sophomore is a one-man wrecking crew for the Monarchs… speaking of which, how about Leonard Fournette? In consecutive weeks he has torn apart SEC defenses and in the process seen his Heisman odds go from 13-1 on September 8 (eighth-best odds) to 3.5-1 this week, which makes him the Vegas favorite to win the award.

Receivers of the week

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 63.7% of team’s receiving yards

  • 8 receptions, 193 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD vs Rice

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 63.2%

  • 8 receptions, 156 rec. yards, 3 rec. TD vs Air Force

DaeSean Hamilton, Penn State, 61.0%

  • 5 receptions, 86 rec. yards vs Rutgers

Trent Sherfield, Vanderbilt, 60.9%

  • 16 receptions, 240 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Austin Peay

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 60.7%

  • 8 receptions, 164 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ SDSU

Roger Lewis, Bowling Green, 58.9%

  • 7 receptions, 261 rec. yards, 3 rec. TD vs Memphis

Tyler Boyd, Pitt, 57.7%

  • 10 receptions, 131 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 7 rush yards @ Iowa

DeAndre Bell, Army, 57.4%

  • 1 reception, 31 rec. yards vs Wake Forest

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 56.3%

  • 8 receptions, 153 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Stanford

DeBrandon Sanders, Navy, 56.1%

  • 1 reception, 23 rec. yards, 1 rush, 20 rush yards vs East Carolina

Jordan Payton, UCLA, 55.7%

  • 4 receptions, 59 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs BYU

Even if Air Force isn’t exactly a defensive juggernaut, Aaron Burbridge’s performance shouldn’t be discounted. He’s strung together three consecutive 100+ yard games to start the season, is catching passes from Connor Cook and has the size to intrigue NFL types. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a Cody Latimer-esque ascent over the next six months. Just something to monitor.

WR Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Receiving Yards

Jamir Tillman, Navy, 72.2%

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 55.5%

Chris Godwin, Penn State, 55.1%

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 54.1%

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 53.8%

Will Fuller, Notre Dame, 52.1%

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 51.2%

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 49.1%

Devin Scott, Louisiana-Lafayette, 48.1%

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 47.4%

Should I exclude military school players from this list, since their likelihood of NFL relevance is so unlikely?… Tyler Boyd is the most noteworthy player here for several reasons. First, he’s putting together an awesome season as the obvious focal point of the offense and still nobody can stop him. Also, his birth year had been previously reported as 1993, but now the official Pitt website lists it as 1994. If it’s true that he’s a year younger than we originally thought – a 20 year old freshman in 2013 – his dynasty stock gets a significant boost on several fronts… And say what’s up to Will Fuller, who is smallish, but is tearing it up for the Irish.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Earlier this year at Rotoviz I detailed the hidden value of special teams stats in prospect analysis. Keeping with that theme, here’s a look at the top players making an impact in the return game.

Devin Fuller, UCLA, 194 return yards vs BYU

Ryan Switzer, UNC, 168 return yards, 1 ret. TD vs Illinois

Shon Cardon, South Carolina, 162 return yards @ Georgia

Johnny Holton, Cincinnati, 125 return yards @ Miami OH

DJ May, Wyoming, 122 return yards @ Washington State

Brandon Smith, Texas State, 122 return yards vs Southern Miss

Diontae Johnson, Toledo, 119 return yards vs Iowa State

Adoree’ Jackson, USC, 118 return yards vs Stanford

Solomon Vault, Northwestern, 118 return yards, 1 ret. TD @ Duke

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, 112 return yards   @ Oklahoma State

If there’s a Wes Welker-type prospect (undersized, premium special teamer) on this list it’s Ryan Switzer. In his debut campaign in 2013 he averaged more than 20 yards per punt return and is back on a similar path this year after being kept somewhat under wraps last year. Also, randomly, he’s thrown two passes in his career – indicating a high level of trust by the coaching staff – both of which went for touchdowns.

Special Teams Leaders – Seasonal Top 10

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, 129.3 return yards/g

Kylen Towner, WKU, 107.0

Autrey Golden, UTEP, 96.6

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M, 93.7

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, 93.0

De’Chavon “Gump” Hayes, Arizona State, 87.5

Jeremiah Bryson, MTSU, 84.3

Diontae Johnson, Toledo, 82.0

Devin Fuller, UCLA, 79.7

Eric Hawkins, Arkansas, 79.5

One player on this list who made a huge splash on opening weekend and who I’ve been meaning to write about is Texas A&M freshman Christian Kirk. He’s a solid 5’11 200lbs, doesn’t turn 19 until November and is already balling. In addition to his special teams contributions, he’s also contributing on offense. At this point, he’s probably the most valuable 2015 freshman devy prospect in the game.

QUESTIONS

  1. For wide receivers, I like “market share of receiving yards” since we’ve used those for a while and people generally understand the continuum, but what did you think about the QB and RB breakdowns being based on market share of offense? Is there something else you’d rather see?
  2. Should I keep service academy players out of this list since they almost never end up playing in the NFL and part of this exercise is to help in prospect identification?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.