The College Football Market Share Report – Week 9 Recap

You know the drill. We’re looking at which players account for the highest percent of their team’s offense in various categories.

How you might want to interact with this article:
1) Skim the dense parts and read the summaries at the end of each section
2) Find rockstar performances and focus on those in your film-watching endeavors
3) Leave a comment so I can make this content even more beneficial to you

Let’s get to it.

Quarterbacks of the week

Deshone Kizer, Notre Dame, 94.6% of team’s offensive yards

  • 23 – 36, 299 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 143 rush yards, 2 rush TD @ Temple

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 93.2%

  • 23 – 37, 226 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 21 rush yards @ Akron

John Fadule, Boston College, 89.9%

  • 8 – 20, 143 yards, 1 INT, 53 rush yards vs Virginia Tech

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 87.4%

  • 16 – 35, 265 yards, 3 TD, 33 rush yards @ Louisiana-Lafayette

Thomas Woodson, Akron, 84.5%

  • 22 – 36, 252 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT vs Central Michigan

Quinton Flowers, South Florida, 82.6%

  • 12 – 20, 208 yards, 15 rush yards @ Navy

Patrick Mahomes, Texas Tech, 81.9%

  • 38 – 55, 480 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT, 46 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs OK State

Chase Litton, Marshall, 78.9%

  • 33 – 48, 486 yards, 2 TD, 11 rush yards @ Charlotte

Luke Falk, Washington State, 78.5%

  • 35 – 63, 354 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT vs Stanford

Nick Mitchell, Oregon State, 78.2%

  • 19 – 35, 204 yards, 1 TD, 40 rush yards @ Utah

In a primetime game where his opponent was dead set on stopping the running attack, Notre Dame’s Deshone Kizer was brilliant against Temple. Without looking, I can’t recall (m)any other major program quarterbacks accounting for such a high percentage of their offense in a single game… Patrick Mahomes and that Texas Tech offense are so much fun. He’s AVERAGING more than 400 all-purpose yards and three touchdowns per game… What could have been for Luke Falk? I expected his Wazzu team to be outmanned by Stanford, but ultimately it was their red zone futility on offense that cost them, kicking six field goals and ultimately losing by two points.

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 79.5% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’4, 205lbs, Sophomore

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 76.8%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 76.7%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, Freshman

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 74.7%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, Junior

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 73.3%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, Senior

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 71.6%

  • 6’2, 220lbs, Sophomore

Trevone Boykin, TCU, 70.0%

  • 6’2, 205lbs, Senior

Alex McGough, FIU, 69.4%

  • 6’3, 218lbs, Sophomore

Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 69.2%

  • 6’4, 231lbs, Senior

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 68.9%

  • 6’3, 220lbs, Senior

Trevone Boykin is incredible. Last week, for the third straight game, he lead the team in passing AND rushing. He almost perfectly fits the historical Heisman prototype for dual-threat quarterbacks… Jeff Driskel is an interesting case. Once upon a time he was the #1 quarterback recruit in America and lead the 2012 Florida Gators to the Sugar Bowl. Now at Louisiana Tech, he has the size and production to make a push into the back half of the NFL Draft.

Running Backs of the week

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 56.9% of team’s offensive yards

  • 26 carries, 201 yards, 1 TD @ Utah State

Ralph Webb, Vanderbilt, 55.1%

  • 26 carries, 99 yards, 3 rec. yards @ Houston

Arkeel Newsome, Connecticut, 54.5%

  • 25 carries, 179 yards, 2 TD, 41 rec. yards, 24 ret. yards vs ECU

Dontrell Hilliard, Tulane, 48.1%

  • 19 carries, 97 yards, 2 TD, 33 rec. yards @ Memphis

Alex Gardner, FIU, 45.8%

  • 20 carries, 105 yards, 15 rec. yards @ Florida Atlantic

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 44.2%

  • 26 carries, 136 yards, 15 rec. yards vs Western Kentucky

Elijhaa Penny, Idaho, 43.9%

  • 35 carries, 192 yards, 2 TD, 58 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ NMSU

Josh Hicks, Rutgers, 43.6%

  • 15 carries, 72 yards @ Wisconsin

Robert Lowe, Texas State, 43.2%

  • 20 carries, 91 yards @ Georgia Southern

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 42.6%

  • 22 carries, 107 yards, 26 rec. yards, 3 ret. yards @ Wash State

This is the second straight appearance for Texas State’s Robert Lowe. The 5’10 195lb senior could be an interesting name in draft season… Elijhaa Penny is exactly the type of player I’m trying to find with this exercise. The 6’2 234lb senior has 17 touchdowns in the last season and a half and could be a sneaky prospect… Brian Hill just posted his third 200 yard game of the season. He and Leonard Fournette are the only players in the country to accomplish that feat.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 43.2% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’1, 230lbs, Sophomore

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 42.3%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 41.3%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, Sophomore

Devontae Booker, Utah, 41.0%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Senior

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 40.8%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 40.8%

  • 5’10, 180lbs, Junior

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 40.2%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, Sophomore

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 39.2%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 38.6%

  • 5’10, 201lbs, Sophomore

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 38.1%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, Sophomore

Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 34.7%

  • 6’0, 225lbs, Junior

Leonard Fournette, your table is ready. It should be fascinating to see him go up against Alabama this weekend… I got asked about Donnel Pumphrey on the Sports Illustrated NFL Draft podcast this week. Be sure to check that out for my discussion with Chris Burke on the SDSU runner… Even though he was on a bye last week, Ezekiel Elliott’s Heisman chances got a boost with another change to his quarterback situation. In what has become a surprisingly turbulent season for the OSU offense, Elliott has been the one consistent force.

Wide Receivers of the Week

Jamal Robinson, Louisiana-Lafayette, 84.4% of team’s receiving yards

  • 4 receptions, 92 yards, 1 TD vs Louisiana-Monroe

Latevius Rayford, Vanderbilt, 84.1%

  • 3 rec., 37 yards @ Houston

Antonio Callaway, Florida, 71.0%

  • 3 rec., 110 yards, 1 TD vs Georgia

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 69.2%

  • 6 rec., 72 yards vs UTSA

Ryan Longoria, Georgia Southern, 67.7%

  • 2 rec., 21 yards vs Texas State

Justin Hobbs, Tulsa, 62.5%

  • 7 rec., 150 yards @ SMU

Isaiah Jones, East Carolina, 62%

  • 9 rec., 85 yards @ UConn

Carlton Agudosi, Rutgers, 59.8%

  • 1 rec, 49 yards @ Wisconsin

Tre’Quan Smith, UCF, 58.4%

  • 5 rec., 59 yards @ Cincinnati

KeVonn Mabon, Ball State, 54.5%

  • 6 rec., 150 yards vs UMass

Travis Rudolph, Florida State, 54%

  • 5 rec,. 191 yards, 3 TD vs Syracuse

KeVonn Mabon showed up in this space recently for his outstanding special teams performance and this week he had a big receiving game. Only a junior, Mabon’s 6’1 219lb frame and intriguing playmaking ability have put him on my radar… Florida State’s Travis Rudolph was the #1 receiver recruit in 2014. Interestingly, it took the backup quarterback to get him going. The Noles desperately need someone to take pressure off Dalvin Cook, if they are to beat Clemson; Rudolph could be arriving at the right time.

Seasonal WR Leaders

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 47.2% of receiving yards

  • 5’10, 175lbs, Senior

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 43.6%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, Junior

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 43.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Junior

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 42.8%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, Senior

Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 42.7%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Pharoh Cooper, South Carolina, 40.9%

  • 5’11, 207lbs, Junior

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 40.4%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, Junior

Josh Doctson, TCU, 40.1%

  • 6’3, 195lbs, Senior

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 40.1%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Senior

Tajae Sharpe, UMass, 39.8%

  • 6’3, 188lbs, Senior

Corey Coleman, Baylor, 39.5%

  • 5’11, 190lbs, Junior

It’s funny how things work themselves out over time. As far as I can tell, the seven guys from Carroo down are among the 10 best wide receiver prospects eligible for the 2016 NFL Draft.

Service Academy footnotes: Jamir Tillman (55.2%, Navy), Garrett Brown (49.7%, Air Force)

Jerome Lane footnotes: 31.0% of Akron’s yards

Tight Ends of the week

Akil Dan-Fodio, FIU, 36.2% of receiving yards

  • 4 receptions, 71 yards @ Florida Atlantic

Brandon Lingen, Minnesota, 35%

  • 5 rec., 111 yards vs Michigan

David Grinnage, NC State, 32.3%

  • 7 rec., 82 yards, 1 TD vs Clemson

Ryan Carden, Texas State, 31%

  • 5 rec., 27 yards @ Georgia Southern

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 29.1%

  • 8 rec., 74 yards, 1 TD, 6 rush 65 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs Clemson

Evan Butts, Virginia, 27.4%

  • 4 rec., 48 yards vs Georgia Tech

Josh Parris, Syracuse, 26.9%

  • 4 rec., 35 yards vs Florida State

Andrew Beck, Texas, 25.9%

  • 1 rec., 22 yards @ Iowa State

Troy Fumagli, Wisconsin, 25.3%

  • 3 rec,. 55 yards vs Rutgers

Trent “Buck” Cowan, Idaho, 24.1%

  • 3 rec., 74 yards @ NMSU

Jake Butt, Michigan, 22.5%

  • 4 rec, 38 yards @ Minnesota

Buck Cowan makes his second-straight appearance here. More of an oversized receiver than a tight end, the junior combines with WR Dezmon Epps, RB Elijhaa Penny and QB Matt Linehan to form a solid core of skill players for the Vandals. Too bad they’re unlikely to miss a bowl, or it could be fun to see them go against a bigger program… Jake Butt continues to be solid in the receiving game, but allergic to the end zone. How does such a good player have only one touchdown this season?… NC State’s David Grinnage is a guy I wrote about last December as a potentially interesting prospect. This is the first game in 2015 in which he’s caught multiple passes or found the end zone. At 6’5 265lbs, he has a lot of promise, but not much production at this point.

Seasonal TE Leaders

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 25.9% of team’s receiving yards

  • 5’11, 236lbs, Sophomore

David Morgan II, UTSA, 24.8%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, Senior

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 24.5%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, Junior

Dan Vitale, Northwestern, 23.7%

  • 6’2, 235lbs, Senior

Rodney Mills, UMass, 23.3%

  • 6’1, 205lbs, Senior

Bucky Hodges, Virginia Tech, 22.4%

  • 6’7, 241lbs, R-Sophomore

Jake Butt, Michigan, 21.5%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, Junior

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 21.3%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, Senior

Reece White, New Mexico, 20.4%

  • 6’1, 225lbs, Senior

Austin Hooper, Stanford, 20.1%

  • 6’4, 248lbs, Junior

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 20.2%

  • 6’3, 245lbs, Sophomore

Similar to the wide receiver position, it’s fun to see many of the tight ends who were thought were the best coming into the season actually rise to the top. I’m looking at you Austin Hooper, Jake Butt, Cam Serigne, and Bucky Hodges.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Keelan Ewaliko, Hawaii, WR, 212 return yards, 1 TD vs Air Force

Charles Nelson, Oregon, WR, 185 ret. yards, 1 TD @ Arizona state

Marquan Greene, Georgia State, WR, 169 ret. yards, 1 TD @ Arkansas State

Jakeem Grant, Texas Tech, WR, 177 ret. yards, 1 TD, 13 rec., 178 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Oklahoma State

Derek Keaton, Georgia Southern, WR, 144 ret. yards @ Navy

Rodney Adams, South Florida, WR, 139 ret. yards, 1 TD, 3 rec., 86 rec. yards

Nyheim Hines, NC State, WR, 135 ret. yards, 1 TD, 2 rec., 26 rec. yards vs Clemson

Blake Banham, Eastern Michigan, RB, 135 ret. yards vs Western Michigan

Marques Little, Old Dominion, WR, 130 ret. yards, 21 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 14 rush yards vs Western Kentucky

Braeden West, SMU, RB, 111 ret. yards, 11 rush yards vs Tulsa

Jakeem Grant is here again. Even though he’s miniature, he is exactly the reason we pay attention to special teams: because there is hidden value in finding dynamic all-purpose players.

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Janarion Grant, WR, Rutgers, 89.0 return yds/g

  • 5’11, 170lbs, Junior

Brett Winnegan, RB, UTSA, 87.6

  • 5’9, 185lbs, Freshman

Brisly Estime, WR, Syracuse, 82.5

  • 5’9, 178lbs, Junior

Jakeem Grant, WR, Texas Tech, 80.9

  • 5’7, 168lbs, Senior

Tim White, WR, Arizona State, 80.9

  • 5’11, 185lbs, Junior

Maurice Thomas, RB, Miami OH, 78.2

  • 5’11, 176lb, Freshman

Derek Keaton, Georgia Southern, 78.0

  • 5’11, 185lbs, Senior

Devin Fuller, WR, UCLA, 77.4

  • 6’0, 200lbs Senior

Nyheim Hines, WR, NC State, 75.1

  • 5’9, 190lbs, Freshman

Diontae Johnson, WR, Toledo, 74.2

  • 5’11, 175lbs, Freshman

Again with Jakeem Grant… I wonder if he’s related to Janarion Grant?

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The College Football Market Share Report – Week 7 Recap

Welcome back to the college football market share report. You should know the deal by now, but if not, this is me taking a statistical approach to finding college football’s top workhorses based on their market share of their team’s yards.

How you might want to interact with this article:
1) Skim the dense parts and read the summaries at the end of each section
2) Find rockstar performances and focus on those in your film-watching endeavors
3) Leave a comment so I can make this content even more beneficial to you

Finally, if you are introduced to any new players through this article, and you end up writing about them, please link back to this work. Thanks!

Quarterbacks of the week

Treon Harris, Florida, 89.3% of team’s offensive yards

  • 17 – 32, 271 yards, 2 TD, 20 rush yards @ LSU

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 88.5%

  • 28 – 38, 412 yards, 1 TD, 2 rush TD @ Ball State

Cody Clements, South Alabama, 88.1%

  • 18 – 33, 273 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT vs Arkansas State

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 88.1%

  • 28 – 41, 365 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 100 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs South Florida

Dak Prescott, Mississippi State, 86.6%

  • 30 – 43, 347 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 34 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs La Tech

Deshaun Watson, Clemson, 85%

  • 27 – 41, 420 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT, 32 rush yards, 2 rush TD vs Boston College

Lamar Jackson, Louisville, 83.5%

  • 20 – 35, 307 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 32 rush yards @ Florida State

Trevone Boykin, TCU, 82.1%

  • 27 – 32, 436 yards, 4 TD, 74 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Iowa State

Mitch Leidner, Minnesota, 82%

  • 26 – 40, 301 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 1 rush TD vs Nebraska

DaMarcus Smith, North Texas, 81.2%

  • 17 – 35, 228 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT, 122 rush yards vs WKU

To the extent that people were worried about Treon Harris being a liability to the previously-undefeated Gators, he held up his end of the bargain at LSU last weekend. If the rest of his team would have averaged more than two yards per carry, the Gators might still be undefeated. If he can play anywhere near as good from here on out, Florida will remain in the national championship hunt… For as much as everyone was on his bandwagon last year, Dak Prescott has been even more impressive. The team is down a little bit, but it’s possible that nobody plays LSU closer than they did (19-21 loss) for the rest of the year… Entering the year as one of the top breakout candidates in the nation, Clemson’s Deshaun Watson has been relatively quiet in leading the Tigers to an undefeated start. After his first real “wow” game last weekend, and with the schedule picking up, I wonder if he doesn’t start building some buzz in the next few weeks… Trevone Boykin is amazing.

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 78.7% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’4, 205lbs, Sophomore

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 76.8%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 76.4%

  • 6’2, 220lbs, Sophomore

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 74.3%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, Freshman

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 73.6%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, Junior

Matt Davis, SMU, 73%

  • 6’0, 212lbs, Junior

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 72.5%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, Senior

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 71.7%

  • 6’3, 214lbs, Sophomore

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 70.7%

  • 6’3, 220lbs, Senior

Chuckie Keeton, Utah State, 69.8%

  • 6’2, 210lbs, Senior

Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma, 69.6%

  • 6’1, 209lbs, Junior

I’m honestly not sure what else to say about this quarterback cohort at this point. If there’s one name on the list that keeps standing out to me, it’s Luke Falk from Wazzu. He’s been outstanding the past two weeks as the Cougars have emerged as a Pac 12 North contender. They get Stanford at home on October 31 and could legitimately win the North with a victory in that contest.

Running Backs of the week

Derrick Henry, Alabama, 64.1% of team’s offensive yards

  • 32 carries, 236 yards, 2 TD, 18 rec. yards @ Texas A&M

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 62%

  • 31 carries, 199 yards, 3 TD, 25 rec. yards vs UCF

Saquon Barkley, Penn State, 61.6%

  • 26 carries, 194 yards @ Ohio State

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 56.1%

  • 25 carries, 243 yards, 4 TD, 4 rec. yards, 122 ret. yards vs UCLA

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 54.9%

  • 20 carries, 152 yards, 1 TD, 55 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ SJSU

Malik Roberson, San Jose State, 54.1%

  • 5 carries, 41 yards, 39 rec. yards vs SDSU

C.J. Jones, UCF, 48.5%

  • 19 carries, 37 yards, 28 rec. yards @ Temple

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 46.1%

  • 31 carries, 180 yards, 2 TD, 15 rec. yards vs Florida

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 43.7%

  • 22 carries, 163 yards, 2 TD, 60 rec. yards vs Louisville

Raekwon James, Kent State, 43.1%

  • 20 carries, 85 yards, 56 rec. yards, 41 ret. yards @ UMass

For as much hype as he gets, this is Derrick Henry’s first truly elite performance of the year. Interestingly, since a strong start in week 1, he’s alternated good games with underwhelming games every week… Penn State freshman Saquon Barkley had a remarkable game against Ohio State. He’s a 220lb, 18 year old who is absolutely ballin’ this year. He should be a target in everyone’s devy leagues… Christian McCaffrey says “can you hear me now?” I’ve written about him before in this space, but his value to the Stanford team cannot be overstated; HE DOES EVERYTHING for them… Leonard Fournette is still awesome, but I made the case on the most recent RotoViz College Football Show that Dalvin Cook is more valuable to his team. Both need to be in New York City for the Heisman ceremony.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 45.5% of team’s offensive yards

  • 6’1, 230lbs, Sophomore

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 44.6%

  • 5’10, 180lbs, Junior

Devontae Booker, Utah, 42.7%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Senior

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 41.4%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 40.6%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, Sophomore

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 40%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 38.6%

  • 5’10, 201lbs, Sophomore

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 37.8%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, Sophomore

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 37.6%

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 35.1%

  • 6’0, 225lbs, Junior

Saquon Barkley (SQBK), Penn State, 34.7%

  • 5’11, 22lbs, Freshman

In this week’s ESPN.com Heisman Watch poll they had Devontae Booker with only one (fifth-place) vote. Fournette, Zeke, Dalvin, Derrick Henry, and McCaffrey were all ahead of him, which I mostly “get”, but I find it reeeaaally hard to make a case that Henry has been more important for his team than Booker. So frustrating that as soon as any pre-hyped Alabama player flashes, everyone runs right back to that… If you want to talk about a dark-horse name, try out Jahad Thomas from Temple. I think there’s a real chance they could run the table, which would include wins against ranked teams Notre Dame and Memphis. If they do, don’t be surprised if Thomas sneaks into the bottom of the final Heisman voting results. October 31 vs Notre Dame is everything for him and that team… Zeke Elliott and Fournette remain the only two college backs to surpass 100 rush yards in every game this season.

Wide Receivers of the week

Chris Godwin, Penn State, 85.8% of team’s receiving yards

  • 3 receptions, 103 yards @ Ohio State

Kody Cook, Kansas State, 84.4%

  • 2 rec., 38 yards, 19 rush yards, 6 pass yards vs Oklahoma

Rodney Adams, South Florida, 63.4%

  • 5 rec., 118 yards, 3 TD @ UConn

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 63.3%

  • 10 rec., 131 yards, 6 ret. yards @ Troy

Zach Pascal, Old Dominion, 62.9%

  • 11 rec., 231 yards, 3 TD, 69 ret. yards vs Charlotte

Ricardo Louis, Auburn, 60.4%

  • 7 rec., 154 yards @ Kentucky

Pharoh Cooper, South Carolina, 58.8%

  • 7 rec., 160 yards, 1 TD, 4 ret. yards vs Vanderbilt

Devon Breaux, Tulane, 58.7%

  • 3 rec., 88 yards vs Houston

Dylan Collie, Hawaii, 57.9%

  • 7 rec., 113 yards, 1 TD @ New Mexico

Malachi Dupre, LSU, 56.9%

  • 4 rec., 115 yards, 2 TD vs Florida

In Auburn’s first game without their overhyped, overaged, dismissed receiver, Ricardo Louis had a phenomenal showing against Kentucky. The 6’2 215lb senior has hardly been a dominant force during his career, but he’s had an interesting mix of rushing and receiving production and could be an interesting name to monitor down the home stretch… Pharoh Cooper is a name more people need to know. With Spurrier out at South Carolina, it wouldn’t surprise me if third-year junior Cooper entered the draft after this season. He’s played five SEC opponents this year and four times has caught at least seven passes for 100+ yards. With rushing and return ability too, he’s a sure-thing top 100 pick in my eyes… If Malachi Dupre can string together a few more 100 yard receiving games for LSU, I’m not sure they’ll lose this season with the way Fournette is mauling in the ground game.

Service Academy footnotes: Edgar Poe (Army, 87.7%)

Seasonal WR Leaders

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 51.2% of team’s receiving yards

  • 5’10, 175lbs, Senior

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 50.4%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Junior

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 46%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Junior

Pharoh Cooper, South Carolina, 45.3%

  • 5’11, 207lbs, Junior

Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 45.1%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 44.3%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, Senior

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 43.6%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, Junior

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 43.5%

  • 5’10, 174lbs, Junior

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 42.6%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, Junior

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 42%

  • 6’1, 208lbs, Senior

Leonte Carroo DGAF about anything. He’s played in four games this year and has three three-touchdown games. He plays Ohio State this weekend… Tyler Boyd, welcome back… Aaron Burbridge vs Michigan’s Jourdan Lewis last weekend was one of the most entertaining college WR-CB matchups I’ve seen in a while. Burbridge now has five 100+ yard efforts in seven games, but has only found the endzone in two contests.

Service Academy footnotes: Jamir Tillman (Navy, 66.5%), Garrett Brown (Air Force, 56.2%)

Jerome Lane (Akron) footnotes: 32.1%

Tight Ends of the week

Rodney Mills, UMass, 56.1% of team’s receiving yards

  • 4 rec., 96 yards vs Kent State

Reece White, New Mexico, 36.9%

  • 3 rec., 72 yards vs Hawaii

Cody Tuttle, Eastern Michigan, 34.1%

  • 8 rec., 60 yards @ Toledo

Steven Scheu, Vanderbilt, 33.3%

  • 6 rec., 59 yards @ South Carolina

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 33%

  • 6 rec., 65 yards, 1 TD @ UNC

Austin Hooper, Stanford, 32.1%

  • 3 rec., 42 yards, 1 TD vs UCLA

Alec Bloom, Connecticut, 26.6%

  • 5 rec., 97 yards vs USF

O.J. Howard, Alabama, 25.4%

  • 3 rec., 35 yards @ Texas A&M

Jonnu Smith, FIU, 23.8%

  • 5 rec., 62 yards @ MTSU

Sam Browning, Eastern Michigan, 23.3%

  • 2 rec,. 41 yards, 22 rush yards @ Toledo

Vandbilt’s Steven Scheu might be a TE prospect to keep an eye on. The senior currently has 867 receiving yards for his career. If you look at BCS/Power 5 conference tight ends who have 1,000 career receiving yards and are at least 6’4, history says about 75% (36 of 48 since 2005) of guys fitting that profile will get drafted… O.J. Howard, good to see you. After three years of hype, I’m glad to know that you actually have an ounce of production to go along with the buzz… And welcome back, Jonnu Smith. Jonnu was one of my most precocious tight ends a few years back and has been up and down since.

Seasonal TE Leaders

Rodney Mills, UMass, 28.6% of team’s receiving yards

  • 6’1, 205lbs, Senior

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 28%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, Sophomore

David Morgan II, UTSA, 27%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, Senior

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 25.7%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, Junior

Scott Orndoff, Pittsburgh, 24.1%

  • 6’5, 265lbs, Junior

Dan Vitale, Northwestern, 22.4%

  • 6’2, 235lbs, Senior

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 21.4%

  • 6’3, 245lbs, Sophomore

Jake Butt, Michigan, 21.3%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, Junior

Elkanah Dillon, South Florida, 21.1%

  • 6’5, 245lbs, Freshman

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 21.1%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, Senior

Austin Hooper, Stanford, 20.8%

  • 6’4, 248lbs, Junior

Honestly, I have no idea why 6’0 205lb Rodney Smith is listed as a TE, but he is listed like that everywhere… Dan Vitale is a new name on this list. He’s technically a “super back” a.k.a an “H-Back” a.k.a. an undersized, “move” tight end, so I think he may have got lost in the positional shuffle before. With a career stat line of 120-1293-9, he could end up being a Charles Clay-like prospect if he’s got some athleticism… Austin Hooper is good to see on this list. He’s carrying the Stanford TE mantle and is one of the better prospects at that position.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Shelton Gibson, WR, West Virginia, 185 ret. yards, 1 ret. TD, 92 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Baylor

Demarcus Ayers, WR, Houston, 175 ret. yards, 1 ret. TD, 93 rec. yards, 15 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Tulane

Tim White, WR, Arizona State, 169 ret. yards, 1 ret. TD, 25 rec. yards @ Utah

C.J. Sanders, WR, Notre Dame, 160 ret. yards vs USC

Brett Winnegan, RB, UTSA, 138 ret. yards @ So. Miss

Bralon Addison, WR, Oregon, 136 ret. yards, 78 rec. yards, 15 rush yards @ Washington

Jabrill Peppers, RB/DB, Michigan, 129 ret. yards, 35 rec. yards vs Michigan State

Donovan Lee, WR, Colorado, 129 ret. yards, 5 rec. yards, 4 rush yards vs Arizona

Devin Fuller, WR, UCLA, 128 ret. yards, 44 rec. yards @ Stanford

Victor Bolden, WR, Oregon State, 125 ret. yards, 1 ret. TD, 79 rec. yards, 8 rush yards @ Washington State

Shelton Gibson (WVU) is a problem. The next in a line of Mountaineer receivers that includes Tavon Austin, Stedman Bailey and Kevin White, Gibson made a few plays over the weekend that made me shake my head. Kid can fly!… Jabrill Peppers was a highly touted RB/DB recruit, but has mostly played on defense throughout his career. It looks like Harbaugh has reached the point of “he’s too talented to ever be on the sideline” so he’s been getting special teams and offensive touches lately too. If Harbaugh thinks he’s that good, then I am intrigued… Fill it up, Victor Bolden!

FYI, I include a section for special teams stats because my research has shown that there is hidden value in special teams performers.

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Byron Marshall, WR, Oregon, 96.3 return yards/g

  • 5’10, 205lbs, Senior

Brandon Smith, WR, Texas State, 93.2

  • 6’2, 170lbs, Senior

Brisly Estime, WR, Syracuse, 91.3

  • 5’9, 178lbs, Junior

Janarion Grant, WR, Rutgers, 90.3

  • 5’11, 170lbs, Junior

Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M, 88

  • 5’11, 200lbs, Freshman

Devin Fuller, WR, UCLA, 87

  • 6’0, 200lbs Senior

Brett Winnegan, RB, UTSA, 86

  • 5’9, 185lbs, Freshman

Tim White, WR, Arizona State, 85.5

  • 5’11, 185lbs, Junior

Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford, 83.7

  • 6’0, 201lbs, Sophomore

Maurice Thomas, RB, Miami OH, 79.7

  • 5’11, 176lbs, Freshman

This is your weekly reminder: Christian Kirk is downright ridiculous!

Final thought – would you check out the new RotoViz College Football Podcast and make sure you’re subscribing to the RotoViz Radio feed on iTunes?

(cover photo credit to PennStateLive on Flickr)

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 6 Recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense.

By tracking these stats on a weekly basis in season, my hope is that we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment.

Be warned that this article is dense with numbers. I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section. To be included, a player must have played at least three games.

**Finally, if you are introduced to any new players through this article, and you end up writing about them, please link back to this work. Thanks!**

Quarterbacks of the week

Brad Kaaya, Miami (FL), 91.5%

  • 29 – 42, 405 pass yards, 3 TD @ Florida State

Dalton Sturm, UTSA, 87%

  • 18 – 27, 227 pass yards, 4 TD, 2 INT, 34 rush yards vs Louisiana Tech

Eric Dungey, Syracuse, 86.2%

  • 21 – 34, 232 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 31 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ USF

Justin Holman, UCF, 85.4%

  • 27 – 50, 255 pass yards, 1 TD, 3 INT, 14 rush yards vs UConn

John Wolford, Wake Forest, 83.1%

  • 11 – 25, 109 pass yards, 1 INT, 9 rush yards @ Boston College

Joshua Dobbs, Tennessee, 82.9%

  • 25 – 42, 312 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 118 rush yards, 2 rush TD vs Georgia

Brandon Allen, Arkansas, 82.7%

  • 15 – 32, 176 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 6 rush yards @ Alabama

Jeff Driskel, Louisiana Tech, 82.2%

  • 28 – 44, 351 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 14 rush yards @ UTSA

Wes Lunt, Illinois, 81.8%

  • 25 – 42, 317 pass yards, 1 TD @ Iowa

Riley Neal, Ball State, 81.7%

  • 31 – 53, 393 pass yards, 4 TD, 1 INT, 18 rush yards @ Northern Illinois

Playing most of the game from behind, Brad Kaaya had a brilliant game on the road against the Seminoles. Only a sophomore, he’s putting together a pretty solid career and could emerge as one of the most coveted 2017-eligible passers. If and when the hype gets going next summer, it will probably be this game that people talk about… Junior QB Joshua Dobbs was marvelous against Georgia. With one of the deepest receiving corps. in America, and talent throughout the roster, more games like this from Dobbs would go a long way toward putting the Vols back on the map.

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 79.6%

  • 6’4, 205lbs, Sophomore

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 77.1%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, Freshman

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 75%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, Junior

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 74.9%

  • 6’3, 220lbs, Senior

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 74.2%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 73.9%

  • 6’3, 214lbs, Sophomore

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 73.3%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, Senior

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 73.2%

  • 6’2, 220lbs, Sophomore

Matt Davis, SMU, 73%

  • 6’0, 212lbs, Junior

Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma, 73%

  • 6’1, 209lbs, Junior

Okay, so maybe I jinxed the Baker Mayfield for Heisman campaign in last week’s article, but it’s not like he played horribly in the loss against the Longhorns; his offensive line got annihilated… Brandon Doughty has now thrown 15 touchdowns in his last three games compared to only one interception. As a sixth-year senior I’m a little skeptical of his prospect status because of his age (think: Brandon Weeden to a lesser extent), but I should probably just relax and learn to love him as a fun & prolific college player… Luke Falk was brilliant in Wazzu’s upset road win against Oregon and, frankly, he’s been brilliant all year. His worst performance saw him complete “only 65.9%” of his passes. Still just a sophomore, don’t be surprised if he goes Graham Harrell over the next 15 months and finishes in the top 10 in the Heisman voting.

Running Backs of the week

Devontae Booker, Utah, 61.4%

  • 34 carries, 222 yards, 2 TD, 45 rec yards vs Cal

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 56.7%

  • 43 carries, 256 yards, 1 TD, 15 rec yards, 1 rec TD vs Illinois

Royce Freeman, Oregon, 54.8%

  • 27 carries, 246 yards, 2 TD, 46 rec yards, 1 rec TD vs Washington State

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 49.9%

  • 22 carries, 222 yards, 2 TD, 47 rec yards, 1 rec TD vs Miami FL

Mike Warren, Iowa State, 49.5%

  • 23 carries, 245 yards @ Texas Tech

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 49%

  • 30 carries, 148 yards, 3 TD, 49 rec yards @ Hawaii

Myles Gaskin, Washington, 45.2%

  • 22 carries, 134 yards, 1 TD, 1 rec yard @ USC

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 43.6%

  • 24 carries, 128 yards, 6 rec. yards @ Air Force

Shannon Brooks, Minnesota, 43.1%

  • 17 carries, 176 yards, 1 TD @ Purdue

C.J. Prosise, Notre Dame, 40.3%

  • 21 carries, 129 yards, 3 TD, 56 rec. yards vs Navy

Speaking of Heisman, has anyone been more valuable to their team this year than Devontae Booker? In a huge national-spotlight game, Booker carried his team to a victory over Cal and has been a workhorse all year. In addition to his rushing prowess he has also accounted for 21% of Utah’s receiving yards for the year. To put that in perspective, buzzy prospect Laquon Treadwell has accounted for 25% of Ole Miss’ receiving yards… Overall there were so many good rushing performances this week. Hat tip to up-and-comer Mike Warren… C.J. Prosise has become a monster for Notre Dame… Royce Freeman almost single-handedly got Oregon past Wazzu.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 48.5%

  • 5’10, 201lbs, Sophomore

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 45.4%

  • 6’1, 230lbs, Sophomore

Devontae Booker, Utah, 44%

  • 5’11, 212lbs, Senior

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 41.5%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Senior

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 41%

  • 5’10, 180lbs, Junior

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 39.9%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, Sophomore

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 38.8%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, Junior

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 36.9%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, Sophomore

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 35.7%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, Sophomore

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 35.5%

  • 5’9, 192lbs, Senior

If we want to talk about the Heisman as a “most valuable player” type award (sorry, I’m not sure why I keep talking about the Heisman), why shouldn’t Dalvin Cook or Jordan Canzeri get more buzz? To different degrees, the market was bearish on both these teams coming into 2015 and they’ve been the driving forces for getting their teams to their current undefeated perches… To this point in the season, Leonard Fournette and Ezekiel Elliott are the only players in the country who have rushed for 100+ yards in all of their teams’ games. Nick Chubb was on track for that too until his injury against Tennessee. For what it’s worth, Ezekiel Elliott barely missed the top 10 in this metric, as he has accounted for 33.2% of Ohio State’s yards this season.

Wide Receivers of the week

Jerico Richardson, Nevada, 72.9%

  • 9 receptions, 121 yards, 1 TD vs New Mexico

Cole Freytag, UTEP, 69.2%

  • 2 rec., 81 yards, 1 TD @ FIU

Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 64.4%

  • 7 rec., 134 yards, 3 TD vs Michigan State

Marcus Johnson, Texas, 63.6%

  • 4 rec., 35 yards, 1 TD vs Oklahoma

Cortez Lewis, Wake Forest, 59.6%

  • 5 rec., 65 yards @ Boston College

Jerminic Smith, Iowa, 59%

  • 4 rec., 118 yards vs Illinois

Charlie Callinan, Boston College, 56.8%

  • 2 rec., 42 yards vs Wake Forest

Tim White, Arizona State, 55.4%

  • 7 rec., 144 yards, 2 TD, 82 return yards vs Colorado

Calvin Ridley, Alabama, 53.4%

  • 9 rec., 140 yards, 1 TD vs Arkansas

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 52.6%

  • 6 rec., 82 yards vs Washington

I gave Leonte Carroo a shoutout on the new RotoViz College Football Show for his performance against Michigan State. In a vacuum, his 7-134-3 stat line is impressive, but it becomes even more so when you consider that he was suspended from the team for the last three weeks and practiced twice before going bonkers against one of the nation’s best teams and defenses… There’s Calvin Ridley again, having a second huge game in a row for Alabama. The true freshman is playing a huge role for them. One thing to note, though, is that it looks like he’s a 21 year old true freshman. Not sure how that works, but definitely creates some confusion for his prospect status… ASU receiver Tim White has been pretty average for the Sun Devils overall, but this last week’s performance might make that ASU-Colorado game worth checking out just to see him… Hi, JuJu 😉

Service Academy footnotes: Garrett Brown (Air Force, 73.8%), Jamir Tillman (Navy, 72.7%)

Seasonal WR Leaders

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 50.6%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, Senior

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 50.4%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, Junior

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 49.5%

  • 5’10, 174lbs, Junior

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 48.8%

  • 5’10, 175lbs, Senior

Leonte Carroo, Rutgers, 47.7%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, Senior

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 46.5%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Junior

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 44.4%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, Junior

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 44.1%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, Junior

Jordan Villamin, Oregon State, 43%

  • 6’5, 231lbs, Sophomore

Ajalen Holley, Louisiana-Monroe, 42%

  • 5’10, 193lbs, Junior

I don’t know too much about Carlos Harris, but maybe it’s time to watch him play. The senior has been pretty solid throughout his career and also has some rushing and special teams production to boost his profile. He could be a sneaky-good small-conference prospect that plays a role on the NFL level, like Albert Wilson or Willie Snead… The most premium prospects on this leaderboard are Carroo, Boyd and Villamin… if you’re wondering about BJ Johnson, who has some decent size, know that his high market share is a function of him playing in an option offense, so there are very limited receiving opportunities (think: Demaryius Thomas at Georgia Tech).

Service Academy footnotes: Jamir Tillman (Navy, 66.5%), Garrett Brown (Air Force, 56.6%)

Tight Ends of the week

Jerome Lane, Akron, 46.8%

  • 4 receptions, 104 yards, 2 TD @ Eastern Michigan

David Morgan II, UTSA, 37.4%

  • 9 rec., 85 yards, 2 TD vs Louisiana Tech

Joshua Perkins, Washington, 34.8%

  • 4 rec., 57 yards, 1 TD @ USC

Marcus Smith, North Texas, 32%

  • 3 rec., 39 yards vs Portland State

Stephen Anderson, California, 29.1%

  • 6 rec., 99 yards @ Utah

Kivon Cartwright, Colorado State, 28.5%

  • 2 rec., 43 yards vs Boise State

Scott Orndoff, Pittsburgh, 28.4%

  • 2 rec., 63 yards, 1 TD vs Virginia

Brandon Lingen, Minnesota, 26.8%

  • 3 rec., 22 yards, 2 TD @ Purdue

A.J. Williams, Michigan, 26.8%

  • 4 rec., 48 yards vs Northwestern

Connor Cella, Rice, 26.8%

  • 3 rec,. 76 yards, 1 TD @ Florida Atlantic

I’m totally going to cheat here and say that Jerome Lane Jr. is a tight end, when really he’s not. He’s something different and probably more exciting. The 6’3 220lb sophomore appeared in 12 games last year for Akron as a linebacker. This year, as a wide receiver conversion, he is leading the team in receiving yards and making boss plays like the one below. The reason he’s here and not in the WR section is because he appears in my data set as an LB, so he only revealed himself when I removed the WRs to look at the TEs. As a 19 year old sophomore, there’s some serious age-production upside here to monitor over the next few years. Oh, and I should probably mention his genetic upside, too: his dad, Jerome Lane was a first round pick in the 1988 NBA Draft. You may remember him for his famous “send it in, Jerome!” glass-shattering dunk at Pitt. Here is one of Lane’s two touchdown receptions from last weekend.  (I tried to get the embed to work, but it’s not, so just click the link.)

https://vine.co/v/eEz9DbuwLiZ/embed/simple 

Service Academy footnotes: Kelvin White (Army, 67.3%)

Seasonal TE Leaders

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 29.5%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, Junior

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 28%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, Sophomore

David Morgan II, UTSA, 27.7%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, Senior

Jake Butt, Michigan, 24.1%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, Junior

Scott Orndoff, Pittsburgh, 24.1%

  • 6’5, 265lbs, Junior

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 21.3%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, Senior

Elkanah Dillon, USF, 21.1%

  • 6’5, 245lbs, Freshman

Chris Loving, North Texas, 20.9%

  • 6’4, 258lbs, Senior

Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 20.6%

  • 6’4, 240lbs, Senior

Connor Cella, Rice, 20.1%

  • 6’3, 260lbs, Junior

I had a thought about Jaylen Samuels this week; he’s too small to be a tight end in the NFL, but maybe he can be a highly effective 3rd down back. In addition to his receiving prowess, he’s also carried the ball 34 times in his two-year career to the tune of 8.2 ypc… In addition to his huge game this week, David Morgan II continues to be among the seasonal leaders. Like Carlos Harris, I think it’s time to find some game highlights on this small-school prospect to see what’s really going on here.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Brandon Smith, Texas State, WR, 158 return yards, 1 TD @ Louisiana-Lafayette

Reggie Davis, Georgia, WR, 143 ret. yards, 1 ret. TD, 101 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Tennessee

Jeremiah Bryson, Middle Tennessee, RB, 124 ret. yards, 79 yards from scrimmage @ Western Kentucky

KaVontae Turpin, TCU, WR, 122 ret. yards, 57 rec. yards @ Kansas State

Jovon Durante, West Virginia, WR, 122 ret. yards, 21 rec. yards vs OK State

Jeffrey Wilson, North Texas, RB, 119 ret. yards, 49 rush yards vs Portland State

Raekwon James, Kent State, RB, 114 ret. yards, 81 yards from scrimmage @ Toledo

Aregeros Turner, Northern Illinois, WR, 114 ret. yards, 70 rec. yards vs Ball State

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, RB, 109 ret. yards vs Louisiana Tech

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR, 109 ret. yards @ BYU

Pereese Joas, Hawaii, RB, 109 ret. yards vs San Diego State

Reggie Davis is the on name that stands out here. He had a marvelous multi-faceted game against Tennessee, but dropped what would have been the game winning touchdown on a gorgeous pass from Greyson Lambert late in the fourth quarter.

Service Academy footnotes: Dishan Romine (Navy, 136 yards)

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 104.4 return yards/game

  • 5’11, 170lbs, Junior

Brisly Estime, Syracuse, WR, 100.0

  • 5’9, 178lbs, Junior

Byron Marshall, Oregon, WR, 96.3

  • 5’10, 205lbs, Senior

Brandon Smith, Texas State, WR, 93.2

  • 6’2, 170lbs, Senior

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR, 83.8

  • 5’10, 177lbs, Sophomore

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M, WR, 83.4

  • 5’11, 200lbs, Freshman

J.D. McKissic, Arkansas State, WR, 81.2

  • 5’11, 193lbs, Senior

Devin Fuller, UCLA, WR, 78.8

  • 6’0, 200lbs, Senior

Aregeros Turner, Northern Illinois, WR 78.3

  • 5’11, 178lbs, Junior

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, RB, 77.3

  • 5’9, 185lbs, Freshman

I’ve heaped praise on Byron Marshall, Christian Kirk and J.D. McKissic in the past, so anything more would be redundant at this point. Kirk and Texas A&M play a big game this weekend and I’m excited to watch.

Questions

  1. I’m thinking about doing a “mid season all-conference teams” write up next week for each of the power 5. Is that something you’d want to read? I feel like there are some really good performances that are getting overlooked because there are 120+ teams and only ten players on these leaderboards.
  2. What else could I provide here to make this article more helpful for you?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 5 Recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense.

By tracking these stats on a weekly basis in season, my hope is that we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment. For instance, this week I’ve added height and weight based on a reader request.

Be warned that this article is dense with numbers. I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section.

**Finally, if you are introduced to any new players through this article, and you end up writing about them, please link back to this work. Thanks!**

Quarterbacks of the week

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 93.2%

  • 21 – 36, 232 pass yards, 3 TD, 3 INT, 28 rush yards vs. Georgia Southern

Brent Stockstill, MTSU, 92.8%

  • 32 – 51, 286 pass yards, 1 TD, 11 rush yards vs Vanderbilt

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 91.9%

  • 18 – 29, 394 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -22 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs Liberty

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 91.2%

  • 26 – 40, 259 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 40 rush yards @ Florida

Luke Falk, Washington State, 90.3%

  • 35 – 49, 389 pass yards, 2 pass TD, 1 INT, -25 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Cal

Riley Neal, Ball State, 90.1%

  • 23 – 37, 236 pass yards, 1 pass TD vs Toledo

Ryan Metz, UTEP, 88%

  • 23 – 49, 216 pass yards, 1 TD, 4 INT, 26 rush yards vs UTSA

Thomas Sirk, Duke, 87.7%

  • 18 – 36, 195 pass yards, 5 rush yards vs Boston College

DeShone Kizer, Notre Dame, 87.2%

  • 19 – 34, 321 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 60 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Clemson

Patrick Towles, Kentucky, 84.6%

  • 29 – 42, 329 pass yards, 3 pass TD, 2 INT, -4 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs EKU

The two names that stand out to me on this list are Chad Kelly and DeShone Kizer, both quarterbacks from top 10 teams that lost on the road this week. Yes, they both had an interception, but otherwise performed pretty impressively. I think this just speaks to the idea that every quarterback needs a running game to keep the defense honest.

Seasonal QB Leaders

Luke Falk, Washington State, 82.8%

  • 6’4, 205lbs, SO

Garrett Smith, Lousiana-Monroe, 80.7%

  • 6’0, 211lbs, FR

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 78.6%

  • 6’3, 220lbs, SR

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 76%

  • 6’0, 219lbs, SR

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 75%

  • 6’3, 227lbs, JR

Nick Arbuckle, Georgia State, 74.5%

  • 6’1, 215lbs, SR

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 74.5%

  • 6’2, 220lbs, SO

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 73.9%

  • 6’3, 214lbs, SO

Matt Davis, SMU, 72.9%

  • 6’0, 212lbs, JR

Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma, 72.8%

  • 6’1, 209lbs, JR

Of quarterbacks on top 25 teams, Baker Mayfield is pretty easily the “best” quarterback, in terms of market share of offense. Obviously his passing contributions go a long way, but Mayfield gets a huge boost from his legs, having accounted for 21% of Oklahoma’s rushing yards. Prior to a season closing stretch @Baylor, vs TCU, @OK State, he’s got a good chance to get his team to 9-0 and get into the discussion as a serious contender for the Heisman … elsewhere in the top 25, Mason Rudolph (Oklahoma State) has quietly amassed 66.8% of his offense, while national-sweetheart Trevone Boykin (TCU) stands at 64.9%. For reference, the last four Heisman-winning quarterbacks averaged 64.6% of their team’s yards… the best top 25 quarterback from a conference other than the Big 12 is Ole Miss’s Chad Kelly (62.9%).

Running Backs of the week

Jordan Canzeri, Iowa, 62.9%

  • 125 rush yards, 14 rec yards @ Wisconsin

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 62.5%

  • 260 rush yards, 3 rush TD @ New Mexico

Alex Gardner, FIU, 62.2%

  • 59 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 58 rec. yards @ UMass

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 60.4%

  • 160 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 12 rec. yards @ Marshall

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 57.9%

  • 208 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 8 rec. yards @ Appalachian State

Arkeel Newsome, Connecticut, 57%

  • 68 rush yards, 63 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 17 return yards @ BYU

Marcus Cox, Appalachian State, 56.7%

  • 178 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs Wyoming

Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State, 55.3%

  • 274 rush yards, 3 rush TD, 12 rec. yards @ Indiana

Jarveon Williams, UTSA, 53.1%

  • 133 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 45 rec. yards @ UTEP

Markell Jones, Purdue, 52.8%

  • 157 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 2 rec. yards @ Michigan State

Ezekiel Elliott brought his Superman cape to Bloomington and almost single-handedly lifted the Buckeyes past the Hoosiers. Elliott’s young dominance puts him in rare company… Iowa’s Jordan Canzeri not only lifted Iowa past Wisconsin, but he’s also elevated the program into the top 25 in both polls for the first time since 2010… Purdue’s Markell Jones is the reigning Mr. Football in Indiana and made his first big splash on the national scene against Michigan State. Recently turning 19 years old, he’s an exciting true freshman to monitor.

Seasonal RB Leaders

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 51%

  • 6’1, 230lbs, SO

Aaron Jones, UTEP, 51%

  • 5’10, 205lbs, JR

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 48.5%

  • 5’10, 201lbs, SO

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 45.6%

  • 5’10, 180lbs, JR

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 43.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, SR

Devontae Booker, Utah, 39.2%

  • 5’11, 212lbs, SR

Larry Rose III, New Mexico State, 38.7%

  • 5’11, 184lbs, SO

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 36.6%

  • 5’11, 202lbs, SO

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 36.2%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, JR

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 35.9%

  • 6’1, 211lbs, SO

BREAKING: Leonard Fournette is having a dominant season… Confession: I just realized that UTEP’s Aaron Jones is out for the season with an ankle injury. The minimum number of games played to appear in the seasonal leaderboards is two; he’ll phase out next week… I need to find an Old Dominion game to watch. Ray Lawry was solid last year and has been amazing so far this year too.

Wide Receivers of the week

Edgar Poe, Army, 100%

  • 32 rec yards, 15 return yards @ Penn State

Garrett Brown, Air Force, 87.7%

  • 64 rec. yards, 45 rush yards, 15 return yards @ Navy

Matt VandeBerg, Iowa, 79.2%

  • 61 rec. yards @ Wisconsin

Ajalen Holley, Louisiana-Monroe, 71.6%

  • 166 rec. yards vs Georgia Southern

Thadd Smith, Boston College, 70.2%

  • 99 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Duke

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 67.7%

  • 136 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Southern Mississippi

Calvin Ridley, Alabama, 63.2%

  • 120 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Georgia

Roger Lewis, Bowling Green, 62%

  • 201 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Buffalo

Malcolm Mitchell, Georgia, 61.3%

  • 65 rec. yards vs Alabama

Zach Pascal, Old Dominion, 59.4%

  • 60 rec. yards, 24 ret. yards @ Marshall

Alabama freshman Calvin Ridley came into this season as the #1 (or #2, depending on where you look) wide receiver recruit in the country and broke out in a big way against Georgia. For a Crimson Tide team still trying to replace Amari Cooper, and injured an Robert Foster, Ridley’s emergence could have huge implications… BG’s Roger Lewis now has three games of at least 200 yards and one touchdown this season. That’s a good career for most people… And, yes, there’s a guy named Edgar Poe on this list. Nevermore shall I include service academy players.

Seasonal WR Leaders

Jamir Tillman, Navy, 65.5%

  • 6’4, 206lbs, JR

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 53%

  • 6’2, 200lbs, JR

Garrett Brown, Air Force, 52.9%

  • 5’9, 180lbs, SR

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 51.2%

  • 5’8, 185lbs, SR

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 50.4%

  • 6’1, 212lbs, JR

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 49%

  • 5’10, 174lbs, JR

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 48.8%

  • 5’10, 175lbs, SR

Jordan Villamin, Oregon State, 46.6%

  • 6’5, 231lbs, SO

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 45.2%

  • 5’10, 177lbs, JR

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 44.9%

  • 6’2, 201lbs, JR

Off the bye week, and thanks to the slide of others, Daniel Braverman makes his first appearance on this list. I came into this season, and still am, higher on his teammate Corey Davis, but what Braverman has done so far this season has been spectacular. He has at least 10 receptions and 100 receiving yards in every game, including contests against Michigan State and Ohio State.

Tight Ends of the week

Cethan Carter, Nebraska, 60%

  • 63 rec. yards @ Illinois

Sam Browning, Eastern Michigan, 54%

  • 87 rec. yards @ LSU

Bucky Hodges, Virginia Tech, 46.2%

  • 42 rec. yards vs Pittsburgh

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 41%

  • 75 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Louisville

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 38.6%

  • 83 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Florida State

Colin Jeter, LSU, 35%

  • 28 rec. yards vs Eastern Michigan

Jason Reese, Missouri, 34.6%

  • 47 rec. yards vs South Carolina

Jake Butt, Michigan, 33.9%

  • 61 rec. yards @ Maryland

Jeremiah Gaines, SMU, 33.2%

  • 96 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs ECU

Sean Price, South Florida, 33.2%

  • 66 rec. yard vs Memphis

Hey, Bucky Hodges, good to see you! The 20 year old, third-year TE from Virginia Tech came into the season with high expectations and has been solid, if unspectacular so far. It’s good to see him surpass 40 yards in three of his last four games.

Seasonal TE Leaders

Elkanah Dillon, USF, 32.5%

  • 6’5, 245lbs, FR

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 29.5%

  • 6’4, 225lbs, JR

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 28.3%

  • 5’11, 236lbs, SO

David Morgan II, UTSA, 25.6%

  • 6’4, 260lbs, SR

Jake Butt, Michigan, 24.5%

  • 6’6, 248lbs, JR

Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 22.3%

  • 6’4, 240lbs, SR

Scott Orndoff, Pittsburgh, 22.1%

  • 6’5, 265lbs, JR

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 21.3%

  • 6’5, 255lbs, SR

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 21.2%

  • 6’3, 245lbs, SO

Hayden Plinke, UTEP, 21%

  • 6’4, 255lbs, JR

The three seniors on this list – Morgan II, McCord and Weiser all have at least one 100-yard game this season. I know that athletic underclassmen like O.J. Howard, Evan Engram and Hunter Henry get lots of attention, but these three are really helping their prospect status in their final season.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Nyheim Hines, NC State, WR, 169 return yards vs Louisville

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR 134 ret. yards @ SMU

Tim White, Arizona State, WR, 129 ret. yards @ UCLA

Artavis Scott, Clemson, WR, 128 ret. yards vs Notre Dame

Eddie Daugherty, Eastern Michigan, WR, 126 ret. yards @ LSU

Jordan Franks, UCF, WR, 125 ret. yards @ Tulane

Charles Nelson, Oregon, WR, 124 ret. yards @ Colorado

Maurice Thomas, Miami OH, RB, 120 ret. yards @ Kent State

Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 112 ret. yards vs South Alabama

Kermit Whitfield, Florida State, WR, 111 ret. yards @ Wake Forest

Artavis Scott is the most exciting name here. The Clemson sophomore only had one return attempt in 2014, but already has 13 so far this season. The fact that the coaches trusted him in the return game in the rainy conditions against Notre Dame is an encouraging sign… Jordan Franks is a name to keep an eye on. He was a 3-star recruit as a LB / WR and appeared in 13 games on defense as a freshman in 2014. He’s now playing on offense and, apparently, returning kicks. At 6’3 225lbs, he must possess some pretty unique athleticism.

Seasonal Special Teams Leaders

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, WR, 109 return yards/game

  • 5’11, 170lbs, JR

Brisly Estine, Syracuse, WR, 108.8

  • 5’9, 178lbs, JR

Byron Marshall, Oregon, WR, 96.3

  • 5’10, 205lbs, SR

Teddy Ruben, Troy, WR, 83.5

  • 5’7, 161bs, SR

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M, WR, 83.4

  • 5’11, 200lbs, FR

J.D. McKissic, Arkansas State, WR, 81.2

  • 5’11, 193lbs, SR

Kylen Towner, Western Kentucky, WR, 80.2

  • 5’8, 175lbs, SO

Eric Hawkins, Arkansas, WR, 79.5

  • 5’11, 180lbs, JR

Quay Johnson, East Carolina, WR, 79.4

  • 5’10, 177lbs, SO

Devin Fuller, UCLA, WR, 78.8

  • 6’0, 200lbs, SR

Byron Marshall is out for the year with injury and Christian Kirk is still awesome; he received four carries last game in addition to WR and return duties. Translation: Kevin Sumlin, one of the best offensive-minded coaches on planet Earth, has realized that this kid needs touches however he can manufacture them… J.D. McKissic is a small school guy who accounted for 29% of his team’s receiving yards in 2012 (age 19 season). He has more than 2,500 receiving yards for his career and 200 rush yards. He could be a sneaky prospect to keep an eye on.

Questions

  1. The defensive metrics were removed this week. Do you want them back?
  2. What else could I provide to make this article more helpful for you?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.

 

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 4 Recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense AND defense. Yes, this week I’ve added three defensive metrics to the conversation. I also, separated out the Tight End group, so we can start monitoring them.

In the past, my prospect analysis has typically waited until after the season to get going, but by tracking these stats on a weekly basis in season we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment.

Be warned that this article is dense with numbers. I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section.

**Finally, if you are introduced to any new players through this article, and you end up writing about them, please link back to this work. Thanks!**

Quarterbacks of the week

Nick Mullens, Southern Miss, 92.1% of offensive yards

447 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, -25 rush yards @ Nebraska

Ryan Metz, UTEP, 90.2%

275 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 46 rush yards vs Incarnate Word

Cameron Coffman, Wyoming, 87.7%

366 pass yards, 4 TD, 2 INT, -8 rush yards vs New Mexico

Alex McGough, FIU, 87.7%

263 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 7 rush yards @ Louisiana Tech

Dak Prescott, Mississippi State, 87.1%

270 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 14 rush yards @ Auburn

Kyle Allen, Texas A&M, 85.8%

358 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 5 rush yards @ Arkansas

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 85.3%

402 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 58 rush yards @ Purdue

David Blough, Purdue, 84.5%

340 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 11 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs BG

Cody Kessler, USC, 83.7%

375 pass yards, 5 TD, 1 INT, 6 rush yards @ Arizona State

Brenden Motley, Virginia Tech, 83.4%

281 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 85 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ ECU

For as much buzz as Dak Prescott got last year, it feels like he’s under-appreciated this year, despite posting nearly as impressive numbers through four games… Let’s just appreciate BG’s Matt Johnson for a moment; he’s thrown for 400 yards in each game this season, including three road contests against Power-5 foes (@Tennessee, @Maryland, @Purdue). He won two of those games.

QB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Luke Falk, Washington State, 80.5%

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 79.3%

Brandon Doughty, WKU, 78.0%

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 77.0%

Cameron Coffman, Wyoming, 76.7%

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 76.5%

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 75.2%

Matt Lineham, Idaho, 73.9%

Matt Davis, SMU, 73.3%

Johnny McCrary, Vanderbilt, 72.9%

Last week I got a question about “what’s a good market share for quarterbacks?” To be honest, at this point, the metric is more descriptive than predictive, but that doesn’t make it any less interesting in my opinion. Here are how recent Heisman-winning quarterbacks faired in this metric in their trophy-claiming campaign.

Robert Griffin III (2011) – 65.4%

Johnny Manziel (2012) – 70.5%

Jameis Winston (2013) – 58.8%

Marcus Mariota (2014) – 63.7%

Obviously none of the players included in this week’s leaderboard is in the Heisman conversation (or on a team good enough to get them the national spotlight) but it’s something to keep an eye on. For what it’s worth, TCU quarterback Trevone Boykin is at 65.2% so far.

Running backs of the week

Kalif Phillips, Charlotte, 80.1% of team’s offensive yards

165 rush yards vs Florida Atlantic

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 63.5%

300 rush yards, 3 rush TD, 4 rec. 45 rec. yards vs Fresno State

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 59.1%

244 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 1 rec., 7 rec. yards @ Syracuse

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 50.0%

206 rush yards, 1 rec., 38 rec. yards, 59 ret. yards @ Oregon State

Dwayne Washington, Washington, 49.4%

109 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 3 rec., 19 rec. yards vs Cal

Tony Pittman, Marshall, 48.7%

129 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 1 rec., 6 rec. yards @ Kent State

James Butler, Nevada, 46.7%

177 rush yards, 1 rush TD @ Buffalo

Greg Howell, Florida Atlantic, 44.6%

56 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 1 rec., 19 rec. yards @ Charlotte

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 44.2%

56 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 4 rec., 51 rec. yards @ Penn State

Kenneth Dixon, Louisiana Tech, 40.7%

169 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 1 rec., 23 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs FIU

More on Leonard Fournette in a moment, but how about SJSU’s Tyler Ervin and SDSU’s Donnel Pumphrey? Both backs are making their second consecutive appearance on this list and have been prolific undersized workhorses… And shoutout to Christian McCaffrey for being the #4 workhorse RB of the week while also contributing 59 return yards in the Cardinal’s road victory over Oregon State.

RB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 51.9%

Aaron Jones, UTEP, 51.0%

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 45.7%

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 44.6%

Tyler Ervin, San Jose State, 43.4%

Devontae Booker, Utah, 39.2%

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 38.1%

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 38.0%

Demario Richard, Arizona State, 35.6%

Jordan Howard, Indiana, 35.6%

Christian McCaffrey, Stanford, 35.6%

Leonard Fournette has accounted for 51.9% of LSU’s offense so far. By comparison, the last two running backs to win the Heisman accounted for the following: Reggie Bush ’05 (32.7%)  Mark Ingram ’09 (35.3%)… Keep an eye on Indiana RB Jordan Howard, who was a stud at UAB before transfering to the Hoosier program to take over the role vacated by Tevin Coleman. He takes on Ohio State this week in a game that very well might feature the two best draft-eligible RBs in America.

Receivers of the week

Jordan Williams, Ball State, 74.7% of team’s receiving yards

8 receptions, 133 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD @ Northwestern

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 73.2%

4 receptions, 93 rec. yards @ Idaho

Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan, 72.8%

10 receptions, 123 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Ohio State

Drew Morgan, Arkansas, 68.9%

8 receptions, 155 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Texas A&M

DeAndre Ball, Army, 68.4%

2 receptions, 67 rec. yards @ Eastern Michigan

Ricky Jeune, Georgia Tech, 63.6%

4 receptions, 91 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Duke

Carlos Wiggins, New Mexico, 59.8%

1 reception, 64 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Wyoming

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 58.1%

8 receptions, 165 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD vs Georgia Southern

KeeSean Johnson, Fresno State, 56.6%

7 receptions, 90 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ SJSU

Quinton Pedroza, Hawaii, 55.8%

10 receptions, 134 rec. yards, 0 rec. TD @ WIsconsin

On a weekend when two of my absolute favorite WR prospects, (Tajae Sharpe and Corey Davis, both from the MAC) got their time in the national spotlight, it was Ball State’s Jordan Williams who had the show-stealing performance. He’s not quite Tajae or Corey, but he’s the biggest of the trio and has enjoyed a rock-solid career… Shoutout to Arkansas WR Drew Morgan who came through with a huge game in the absence of top target Keon Hatcher.

WR Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Receiving Yards

Jamir Tillman, Navy, 65.5%

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 55.5%

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 51.2%

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 50.7%

BJ Johnson, Georgia Southern, 50.4%

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 48.3%

Jordan Villamin, Oregon State, 46.6%

Will Fuller, Notre Dame, 46.0%

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 45.7%

Bryan Holmes, Troy, 45.7%

Say hello to Oregon State WR Jordan Villamin, who is a new arrival on this leaderboard. The 6’5 230lb redshirt sophomore (20 years old) is starting to look a lot like a Mike Evans-ish prospect. If you can add him now in a devy league, I would. The kid’s stock is going to skyrocket as the country wakes up to him… And when I say “wake up”, I mean that literally; many of Oregon State’s games finish well after midnight on the east coast.

Tight Ends of the week

Matt Weiser, Buffalo, 38.8% of team’s receiving yards

10 receptions, 131 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Nevada

Ryan Yurachek, Marshall, 38.4%

4 receptions, 58 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Kent State

Joshua Perkins, Washington, 36.2%

5 receptions, 55 rec. yards vs Cal

Ethan Wolf, Tennessee, 33.3%

4 receptions, 55 rec. yards @ Florida

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 32.8%

5 receptions, 84 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD, 2 rushes, 28 rush yards @ South Alabama

Austin Hooper, Stanford, 30.7%

2 receptions, 50 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ Oregon State

Steven Scheu, Vanderbilt, 29.4%

5 receptions, 57 rec. yards @ Ole Miss

Hayden Plinke, UTEP, 29.1%

4 receptions, 80 rec. yards vs Incarnate Word

Cam Serigne, Wake Forest, 27.3%

5 receptions, 72 rec. yards, 1 pass attempt vs Indiana

Bucky Hodges, Virginia Tech, 26.0%

5 receptions, 73 rec. yards @ ECU

Honestly, I don’t know very much about this crew except for Hodges and Serigne. The one name that stands out though is Matt Weiser. For one, college tight ends almost never catch 10 passes in a game unless their name is Jace Amaro or Dennis Pitta. Also, homie is 6’5 255lbs, so there’s some meat on those bones.

TE Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Receiving Yards

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 31.1%

David Morgan II, UTSA, 26.2%

Jaylen Samuels, NC State, 25.6%

Ben McCord, Central Michigan, 23.9%

Jake Butt, Michigan, 22.3%

Tyler Higbee, WKU, 22.2%

C.J. Conrad, Kentucky, 22.1%

Hayden Plinke, UTEP, 21.3%

Jerell Adams, South Carolina, 21.0%

Chris Loving, North Texas, 20.9%

If there’s an early front runner to be my top-rated TE for the 2016 draft, it’s Jake Butt. Under Harbaugh, Stanford churned out a series of solid NFL prospects and Harbaugh now appears to be working the same mojo on Michigan’s TE. Listed at 6’6 248lbs, Butt has a strong combination of production, size and pro-style experience…Jaylen Samuels interested me at first, but then I realized he’s only 5’11 and is more of an H-back.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Olamide Zaccheaus, RB, Virginia, 231 return yards vs Boise

J.D. McKissic, WR, Arkansas State, 211 @ Toledo

Brisly Estime, WR, Syracuse, 202 vs LSU

Byron Marshall, WR, Oregon, 178 vs Utah

DeAndre Reaves, WR, Marshall, 170 @ Kent State

Austin Waller, RB, Rice, 140 @ Baylor

Daje Johnson, WR, Texas, 137 vs Oklahoma State

Rashaad Penny, RB, San Diego State, 137 @ Penn State

Jae’Lon Oglesby, RB, Memphis, 132 vs Cincinnati

Aregeros Turner, WR, Northern Illinois, 117 @ BC

Earlier this year at Rotoviz I wrote about the hidden value of special teams stats for prospects, so I like to monitor these performances.

Special Teams Leaders – Seasonal Top 10

Janarion Grant, WR, Rutgers, 109 return yards/game, 3 return TD

Brisly Estime, WR, Syracuse, 109 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

J.D. McKissic, WR, Arkansas State, 102 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

Byron Marshall, WR, Oregon, 96 ret. yds/gm

Kylen Towner, WR, WKU, 90 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

Rashaad Penny, RB, SDSU, 90 ret. yds/gm, 2 ret. TD

Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M, 90 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

Brett Winnegan, RB, UTSA, 89 ret. yds/gm

Daje Johnson, WR, Texas, 89 ret. yds/gm, 1 ret. TD

Devin Fuller, WR, UCLA, 85 ret. yds/gm

If there’s one name here that I’m really high on (besides Christian Kirk) it is Oregon’s Byron Marshall, who I think could be a Randall Cobb-ish, multi-threat prospect.

Defensive Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Total Tackles

Kentrell Brothers, LB, Missouri, 18.8% of total team tackles

Blake Martinez, ILB, Stanford, 18.7%

Steve Longa, LB, Rutgers, 16.4%

Anthony Walker, LB, Northwestern, 16.1%

Elandon Roberts, ILB, Houston, 16.1%

Skai Moore, LB, South Carolina, 15.9%

Christian Tago, LB, San Jose State, 15.4%

Kavon Frazier, DB, Central Michigan, 15.3%

Jalen Reeves-Maybin, LB, Tennessee, 15.2%

Nick Vigil, LB, Utah State, 15.1%

If you’re looking for a reference point here, Luke Kuechly has the TWO best seasons in my IDP database for this metric going back to 2005. In his final season he tallied 22% and in his second-to-last season he accounted for 20.7%. Anything north of 17% should be held in very high regard… Kavon Frazier is the only defensive back on this list.

Defensive Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Tackles for Loss

Ben Goodman Jr., DE, Kansas, 56.3% of team’s tackles for loss

Darius Latham, DT, Indiana, 41.7%

Jerrian Roberts, DE, North Texas, 41.7%

Woody Baron, DT, Virginia Tech, 38.9%

Bernard Dawson, DE, Georgia Southern, 37.5%

Anthony Walker, LB, Northwestern, 33.3%

Jon Schobert, OLB, Wisconsin, 32.8%

Trevon Coley, DT, Florida Atlantic, 31.6%

Nick Gilbo, LB, Buffalo, 30.6%

Alvin Jones, LB, UTEP, 30.0%

Alonzo McGee, LB, Georgia State, 30.0%

Quinton Bradley, DE, Idaho, 30.0%

Dominique Tovell, LB, Louisiana-Lafayette, 30.0%

If you’re looking for a flag bearer here, look at Aaron Donald, who accounted for 33.1% of Pitt’s tackles for loss in his final season. Anything above 25% is quite good, which all of these guys are now, but expect them to come back to earth as the sample size grows… Note that Indiana’s Darius Latham has been suspended for this weekend’s game against Ohio State, which is a killer for that D… Also, Anthony Walker from Northwestern is the only player to appear on both the tackles and tackles-for-loss leaderboards.

Defensive Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Passes Broken Up

Latrell Gibbs, DB, Appalachian State, 75% of team’s PBU

Tyree Simmons, DB, Colorado State, 70%

Mike Stevens, CB, NC State, CB, 66.7%

Heath Harding, CB, Miami OH, 66.7%

D.J. May, LB, Wyoming, 60%

Nick Nelson, DB, Hawaii, 57.1%

Jalen Davis, CB, Utah State, 50%

Anthony Makransky, DB, Wyoming, 50%

Jeremiah Harris, DL, Eastern Michigan, 50%

Brian Peavy, DB, Iowa State, 50%

Avonte Maddox, DB, Pittsburgh, 50%

Kevin Vaccaro, S, Texas, 50%

Lance Austin, DB, Georgia Tech, 50%

Anything above 35% is really strong. Again, expect regression here. Oh, and say hi to another Texas Vaccaro.

Questions

  1. Did you like seeing the defensive metrics, or are those overkill?
  2. I heard some feedback that the old layout was tough to read. Is this new wordpress theme better?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.

The College Football Market Share Report – Week 3 recap

Welcome to the College Football Market Share Report, where each week I’ll be running through the players who are shouldering an exceptional percentage of their team’s offense.

In the past, my prospect analysis has typically waited until after the season to get going, but by tracking these metrics on a weekly basis in season we can more easily identify exceptional talents before everyone else does.

Note that the commentary below will highlight the most recent week’s top performers as well as seasonal leaders. Also, since this is somewhat of an experimental article, I’m going to ask for your feedback on how this should evolve moving forward, so feel free to leave a comment.

As this is somewhat dense with numbers, I’d recommend skimming through the names and then checking out the blurbs at the bottom of each section.

Quarterbacks of the week

Shuler Bentley, Old Dominion, 93.9% of team’s offensive yards

  • 151 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, -12 rush yards vs NC State

Blake Frohnapfel, UMass, 87.4%

  • 393 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -10 rush yards vs Temple

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 87.1%

  • 484 pass yards, 3 TD, 2 INT, 11 rush yards @ Indiana

P.J. Walker, Temple, 83.6%

  • 391 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, -8 rush yards @ UMass

Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 83.6%

  • 341 pass yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 21 rush yards @ Alabama

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 83.6%

  • 443 pass yards, 4 TD, 0 INT, 41 rush yards vs Memphis

Jake Browning, Washington, 83%

  • 368 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, -1 rush yards vs Utah State

C.J. Beathard, Iowa, 81.8%

  • 258 pass yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 39 rush yards vs Pitt

Jerrod Heard, Texas, 81.1%

  • 364 pass yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 163 rush yards vs California

Tyler Jones, Texas State, 79.5%

  • 310 pass yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 160 rush yards vs Southern Miss

There’s a lot to talk about here. Texas’ Jerrod Heard went bananas on national TV against Cal and drew comparisons to Vince Young… Chad “Swag” Kelly took Ole Miss on the road and defeated Alabama. No small feat. The Rebels are now the #3 ranked team in the country… It looks like Washington coach Chris Petersen (formerly at Boise) has his new Kellen Moore. Somewhat undersized freshman Jake Browning has been great so far… Finally, shoutout to Tyler Jones from Texas State, who Benjamin Allbright and I were discussing on Twitter late last week and then Jones proceeds to put up 470 yards of total offense.  Maybe undersized, maybe from a small conference, but maybe really awesome? Time will tell.

QB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Luke Falk, Washington State, 80.5%

Brandon Doughty, Western Kentucky, 78.8%

Matt Johnson, Bowling Green, 77.5%

Cooper Rush, Central Michigan, 77.0%

Garrett Smith, Louisiana-Monroe, 76.8%

Bryant Shirreffs, Connecticut, 75.5%

Johnny McCrary, Vanderbilt, 75.1%

Matt Linehan, Idaho, 74.1%

Matt Davis, SMU, 73.4%

Blake Kemp, East Carolina, 73.2%

Nothing too surprising here – three quarterbacks from pass-happy teams leading the way – but this is probably a helpful list to keep in mind for finding undervalued DFS quarterbacks.

Running backs of the week

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 58.1% of team’s offensive yards

  • 15 rush yards, 71 receiving yards, 1 rec. TD vs NC State

Demario Richard, Arizona State, 56.8%

  • 104 rush yards, 4 receptions, 151 receiving yards, 2 rec. TD vs New Mexico

Devontae Booker, Utah, 55.8%

  • 156 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 5 receptions, 56 receiving yards @ Fresno

Paul Perkins, UCLA, 54.5%

  • 219 rush yards, 1 rush TD vs BYU

Donnel Pumphrey, San Diego State, 51.5%

  • 102 rush yards, 1 rush TD, 5 receptions, 55 receiving yards vs South Alabama

Justin Jackson, Northwestern, 50.9%

  • 120 rush yards, 2 receptions, 18 receiving yards @ Duke

Nick Holley, Kent State, 50%

  • 58 rush yards, 3 receptions, 13 receiving yards @ Minnesota

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 48.9%

  • 228 rush yards, 3 rush TD, 1 reception, 9 rec. yards vs Auburn

Tyler Ervin, SJSU, 48.6%

  • 93 rush yards, 2 rush TD, 6 receptions, 30 rec. yards @ Oregon State

Joel Bouagnon, Northern Illinois, 45.3%

  • 78 rush yards, 3 receptions, 8 rec. yards @ Ohio State

On a team with national championship aspirations, but lead by a freshman quarterback, UCLA’s Paul Perkins is quietly putting together a fantastic season. If he can continue to take the load of Josh Rosen and the Bruins win the Pac-12 South (two BIG ifs) I would think Perkins would be a Heisman finalist. And he’s not just a one-hit wonder; he balled in 2014 too.

RB Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Offensive Yards

Ray Lawry, Old Dominion, 51.3%

Aaron Jones, UTEP, 51.0%

Leonard Fournette, LSU, 48.2%

Devontae Booker, Utah, 45.1%

Jahad Thomas, Temple, 44.6%

Kareem Hunt, Toledo, 41.7%

Devon Johnson, Marshall, 38.4%

Dalvin Cook, Florida State, 38.0%

Brian Hill, Wyoming, 37.5%

Demario Richard, Arizona State, 37.5%

Maybe you’ve never heard of Ray Lawry (2017 eligible), but it’s time to start paying attention. The 5’11 200b sophomore is a one-man wrecking crew for the Monarchs… speaking of which, how about Leonard Fournette? In consecutive weeks he has torn apart SEC defenses and in the process seen his Heisman odds go from 13-1 on September 8 (eighth-best odds) to 3.5-1 this week, which makes him the Vegas favorite to win the award.

Receivers of the week

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 63.7% of team’s receiving yards

  • 8 receptions, 193 rec. yards, 2 rec. TD vs Rice

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 63.2%

  • 8 receptions, 156 rec. yards, 3 rec. TD vs Air Force

DaeSean Hamilton, Penn State, 61.0%

  • 5 receptions, 86 rec. yards vs Rutgers

Trent Sherfield, Vanderbilt, 60.9%

  • 16 receptions, 240 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Austin Peay

Gerald Everett, South Alabama, 60.7%

  • 8 receptions, 164 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD @ SDSU

Roger Lewis, Bowling Green, 58.9%

  • 7 receptions, 261 rec. yards, 3 rec. TD vs Memphis

Tyler Boyd, Pitt, 57.7%

  • 10 receptions, 131 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD, 7 rush yards @ Iowa

DeAndre Bell, Army, 57.4%

  • 1 reception, 31 rec. yards vs Wake Forest

JuJu Smith-Schuster, USC, 56.3%

  • 8 receptions, 153 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs Stanford

DeBrandon Sanders, Navy, 56.1%

  • 1 reception, 23 rec. yards, 1 rush, 20 rush yards vs East Carolina

Jordan Payton, UCLA, 55.7%

  • 4 receptions, 59 rec. yards, 1 rec. TD vs BYU

Even if Air Force isn’t exactly a defensive juggernaut, Aaron Burbridge’s performance shouldn’t be discounted. He’s strung together three consecutive 100+ yard games to start the season, is catching passes from Connor Cook and has the size to intrigue NFL types. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a Cody Latimer-esque ascent over the next six months. Just something to monitor.

WR Leaders – Seasonal Top 10 – Market Share of Receiving Yards

Jamir Tillman, Navy, 72.2%

Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh, 55.5%

Chris Godwin, Penn State, 55.1%

Carlos Harris, North Texas, 54.1%

Aaron Burbridge, Michigan State, 53.8%

Will Fuller, Notre Dame, 52.1%

Dameon Gamblin, New Mexico, 51.2%

Tanner Gentry, Wyoming, 49.1%

Devin Scott, Louisiana-Lafayette, 48.1%

Dezmon Epps, Idaho, 47.4%

Should I exclude military school players from this list, since their likelihood of NFL relevance is so unlikely?… Tyler Boyd is the most noteworthy player here for several reasons. First, he’s putting together an awesome season as the obvious focal point of the offense and still nobody can stop him. Also, his birth year had been previously reported as 1993, but now the official Pitt website lists it as 1994. If it’s true that he’s a year younger than we originally thought – a 20 year old freshman in 2013 – his dynasty stock gets a significant boost on several fronts… And say what’s up to Will Fuller, who is smallish, but is tearing it up for the Irish.

Special Teams Studs of the week

Earlier this year at Rotoviz I detailed the hidden value of special teams stats in prospect analysis. Keeping with that theme, here’s a look at the top players making an impact in the return game.

Devin Fuller, UCLA, 194 return yards vs BYU

Ryan Switzer, UNC, 168 return yards, 1 ret. TD vs Illinois

Shon Cardon, South Carolina, 162 return yards @ Georgia

Johnny Holton, Cincinnati, 125 return yards @ Miami OH

DJ May, Wyoming, 122 return yards @ Washington State

Brandon Smith, Texas State, 122 return yards vs Southern Miss

Diontae Johnson, Toledo, 119 return yards vs Iowa State

Adoree’ Jackson, USC, 118 return yards vs Stanford

Solomon Vault, Northwestern, 118 return yards, 1 ret. TD @ Duke

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, 112 return yards   @ Oklahoma State

If there’s a Wes Welker-type prospect (undersized, premium special teamer) on this list it’s Ryan Switzer. In his debut campaign in 2013 he averaged more than 20 yards per punt return and is back on a similar path this year after being kept somewhat under wraps last year. Also, randomly, he’s thrown two passes in his career – indicating a high level of trust by the coaching staff – both of which went for touchdowns.

Special Teams Leaders – Seasonal Top 10

Janarion Grant, Rutgers, 129.3 return yards/g

Kylen Towner, WKU, 107.0

Autrey Golden, UTEP, 96.6

Christian Kirk, Texas A&M, 93.7

Brett Winnegan, UTSA, 93.0

De’Chavon “Gump” Hayes, Arizona State, 87.5

Jeremiah Bryson, MTSU, 84.3

Diontae Johnson, Toledo, 82.0

Devin Fuller, UCLA, 79.7

Eric Hawkins, Arkansas, 79.5

One player on this list who made a huge splash on opening weekend and who I’ve been meaning to write about is Texas A&M freshman Christian Kirk. He’s a solid 5’11 200lbs, doesn’t turn 19 until November and is already balling. In addition to his special teams contributions, he’s also contributing on offense. At this point, he’s probably the most valuable 2015 freshman devy prospect in the game.

QUESTIONS

  1. For wide receivers, I like “market share of receiving yards” since we’ve used those for a while and people generally understand the continuum, but what did you think about the QB and RB breakdowns being based on market share of offense? Is there something else you’d rather see?
  2. Should I keep service academy players out of this list since they almost never end up playing in the NFL and part of this exercise is to help in prospect identification?
  3. Would you like access to the data set that helped generate this article? If so, you could email me at THECFX at GMAIL dot COM, or I could just set up a link with a free download. Let me know.